A Winning Day at the Races!
Monthly Archives: August 2023
August 4th, 2023 Daily Picks
August 4th, 2023 Today’s Plays
August 4th, 2023 Daily Comments
August 4th, 2023 Stakes
August 3rd, 2023 Free Picks & Plays
*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…
*Since the launch of this site seven years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,708/19,435, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 8,910/19,435. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Wednesday/Thursday will be Free through the meet…Weekends will require the purchase of a pass…
*Early Pick 5/4 for us last Wednesday at Saratoga…Pick 5 $5217.25 on a $72 ticket…Pick 4 $704.50 on a $48 ticket…
*Late Pick 5 for us last Thursday at Saratoga… $993.75 on a $144 ticket…
*Middle Pick 4 for us Sunday at Saratoga…$701 on a $64 ticket…
*Early Pick 5/4 for us yesterday at Saratoga…Pick 5 $611.25 on a $72 ticket…
*Visit the Membership Page to Purchase a “Saratoga Weekend Pass” Thursday or Friday…$25.99 for Full Access to Friday, Saturday, and Sunday’s Saratoga Picks/Plays…
*Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…
Saratoga Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#2 Get Spooled 8-1 18 1st $14.80
#1 B D Saints 5-2 17 4th
#8 Frozen Four 9-2 16 3rd $4.00
#5 Dancing Mischief 6-1 15 2nd $5.50 Spr $425
Race 2:
#2 Bert Bert Bert 6-1 26 4th
#6 Union Lights 3-1 26 2nd $2.80
#5 Cumberland Blues 7-2 25 3rd $2.30
#1a Cheeky Tico 10-1 24 scratched
Race 3:
#6 Implementation 6-5 30 1st $5.00
#1a Inevtabl Conection 2-1 29 2nd $3.20 Ex $17.40
#5 Playingwithmatches 5-1 28
#1 Sainthoodforbrian 2-1 27
Race 4:
#1 Suspended Campaign 6-5 27 1st $4.70 Dbl $15
#4 Greatest Love 10-1 26
#8 Its Cold in Dehere 5-2 25 2nd $3.20
#5 Run Devil 6-1 25 3rd $2.50
Race 5:
#2 Let’s Go Big Blue 4-1 28 1st $7.10 Dbl $20.40
#9 One Headlight 2-1 27 Pk 3 $80
#5 Gem Mint Ten 6-1 27 2nd $6.00
#1 Timbuktu 5-2 26
Race 6:
#8 Hidden Class 10-1 18 2nd $6.10
#9 Leslie’s Loot 6-1 18 3rd $4.60
#3 Gala Brand 8-1 17 1st $18.80 Tri $509
#5 Stuck On You 8-1 17 scratched
Race 7:
#6 Security Code 7-2 28 2nd $3.30
#4 I’mhavingamoment 5-2 28 1st $3.70
#8 Cinderella’s Cause 8-1 27
#3 Diva Banker 6-1 26
Race 8:
#3 Mystic Night 15-1 34 3rd $6.50
#2 Pipeline 3-5 33
#1 Guntown 5-1 31 2nd $5.90
#4 Galt 7-2 30
Race 9:
#1 War Like Goddess 3-5 39 2nd $2.40
#5 Sopran Basilea (IRE) 15-1 35 4th
#2 Virginia Joy (GER) 8-1 34
#3 Amazing Grace (GER) 5-1 32 3rd $2.80
Race 10:
#1 Bankingonachance 7-2 16 4th
#9 Ripe for Mischief 3-1 15 2nd $3.20
#2 Whiskey and Wine 8-1 15 3rd $3.10
#8 P Money 12-1 14 1st $27.20 Spr $1530
Saratoga Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 2,1,8,5 2
Race 2: 2,6,5 x
Race 3: 6,1a/1 6
Race 4: 1,4 1
Race 5: 2,9,5 2
$.50 Ticket: $72
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 2,6,5,1a/1 x
Race 3: 6,1a/1 6
Race 4: 1,4,8 1
Race 5: 2,9,5 2
$.50 Ticket: $36
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 1,4,8,5 1
Race 5: 2,9,5,1 2
Race 6: 8,9,3,5 *5 scratched using 8,9,3,1/1a 3
Race 7: 6,4 4
$.50 Ticket: $64 $93.87
Pick 6:
Race 5: 2,9,5,1 2
Race 6: 8,9,3,5 *5 scratched using 8,9,3,1/1a 3
Race 7: 6,4 4
Race 8: 3,2 x
Race 9: 1
Race 10: 1,9
$1.00 Ticket: $128
Late Pick 5:
Race 6: 8,9,3,5 *5 scratched using 8,9,3,1/1a 3
Race 7: 6,4 4
Race 8: 3,2 x
Race 9: 1,5,2,3 x
Race 10: 1,9,2 x
$.50 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 4:
Race 7: 6,4,8,3 4
Race 8: 3,2 x
Race 9: 1,5,2 x
Race 10: 1,9,2,8 8
$.50 Ticket: $48
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
August 2nd, 2023 Free Picks & Plays
*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…
*Since the launch of this site seven years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,702/19,426, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 8,906/19,426. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Wednesday/Thursday will be Free through the meet…Weekends will require the purchase of a pass…
*Early Pick 5/4 for us last Wednesday at Saratoga…Pick 5 $5217.25 on a $72 ticket…Pick 4 $704.50 on a $48 ticket…
*Late Pick 5 for us last Thursday at Saratoga... $993.75 on a $144 ticket…
*Middle Pick 4 for us Sunday at Saratoga…$701 on a $64 ticket…
*Wednesday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…
Saratoga Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#5 Barbados (IRE) 3-1
#2 Merry Maker (IRE) 6-1
#3 Caramelised (GB) 7-2
#7 McTigue (IRE) 8-1
Race 2:
#7 Flying in Style 3-1 18 2nd $3.80
#5 Fast Buck Freddy 7-2 17 1st $11.40 Ex $38.80
#6 Stavros 9-2 16
#2 Nobilis 7-2 15 3rd $2.80
Race 3:
#4 Seven Scents 8-1 32
#2 Chess Master 6-5 31 1st $4.30
#1 Chuck Willis (IRE) 4-1 30 2nd $5.00
#3 Brazillionaire 12-1 29 4th
Race 4:
#1 Shadow Dragon 9-5 33 4th
#3 Olympic Dreams 2-1 32 1st $6.40
#6 Mason Mania 6-1 31
#5 Wild Banker 6-1 30 3rd $5.00
Race 5:
#3 Brocknardini 7-2 17 1st $14.00
#2 Once an Eagle 4-1 17
#7 Find Your Joy 12-1 16
#4 Coach Sessa 6-1 16 2nd $9.60
Race 6:
#2 Kannon Fire 5-1 28
#3 Stir Crazy 5-2 27 1st $9.30
#8 More Mango 15-1 26
#1 Miss M M 8-1 26 2nd $4.50
Race 7:
#10 Lord Captain 9-5 33 4th
#3 Portos 10-1 32 2nd $5.30
#2 Lost in Rome 4-1 31
#6 Salto de Tigre 6-1 30 3rd $6.90
Race 8:
#1 White Frost 3-1 34 2nd $3.60
#6 Regal Realm 5-1 33 3rd $4.40
#5 Technical Analysis (IRE) 9-5 33 1st $3.80 Tri $72
#2 Evvie Jets 9-2 32
Race 9:
#3 Spun Glass 12-1 36
#2 Scotish Star (ARG) 3-1 35 2nd $4.20
#4 Adaay In Asia (GB) 8-1 35
#7 Kaufymaker 4-1 34 1st $7.40
Race 10:
#6 La Aguililla 7-2 27
#1 Perpetual Praise 8-1 26
#7 Vax 7-5 26
#4 Baby Sox 6-1 25
Saratoga Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 2: 7,5,6,2 5
Race 3: 4,2,1 2
Race 4: 1,3 3
Race 5: 3,2,7 3
Race 6: 2,3 3
$.50 Ticket: $72 $611.25
Early Pick 4:
Race 3: 4,2,1,3 2
Race 4: 1,3,6,5 3
Race 5: 3,2,7,4 3
Race 6: 2,3 3
$.50 Ticket: $64 $112.62
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 1,3 3
Race 5: 3,2,7,4 3
Race 6: 2,3,8,1 3
Race 7: 10,3,2,6 x
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 6:
Race 5: 3,2,7,4 3
Race 6: 2,3 3
Race 7: 10 x
Race 8: 1,6,5 5
Race 9: 3,2,4 x
Race 10: 6
$1.00 Ticket: $72
Late Pick 5:
Race 6: 2,3,8,1 3
Race 7: 10,3,2,6 x
Race 8: 1,6,5 5
Race 9: 3,2 x
Race 10: 6,1,7 *7 scratched using 6,1,4
$.50 Ticket: $144
Late Pick 4:
Race 7: 10,3,2,6 x
Race 8: 1,6,5,2 5
Race 9: 3,2,4 x
Race 10: 6,1,7 *7 scratched using 6,1,4
$.50 Ticket: $72
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.