A Winning Day at the Races!

Monthly Archives: March 2024

March 10th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,347/20,470 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,406/20,470. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*No Picks Thursday…

March 9th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,341/20,461 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,403/20,461. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Catching Heat 7-5                18 3rd $2.40
#1 Roman Grace 5-2                  17 2nd $3.90
#5 I’m Thinking 7-2                   16 4th
#3 Looks First 6-1                       15

Race 2:

#5 Pit Boss 1-1                           27 1st $3.80
#6 Swift Tap 7-2                         26 4th
#3 Mount Travers 10-1             25 2nd $3.90
#2 My Friends Beer 10-1          24 3rd

Race 3:

#1 Qorokwe 8-1                         15
#7 Friday I’m in Love 7-5         15 1st $3.50
#6 Ring Me 8-1                           14 4th
#5 Wafir 9-2                                13

Race 4:

#3 Magic Express 2-1                18 1st $6.20
#2 Midway Lights 4-1                17 4th
#5 Majestic Michael 3-1            17 3rd $3.00
#7 Cage Match 8-1                     16 2nd $6.80 Spr $652

Race 5:

#3 M B’s Munning 6-1              30 4th
#8 Mandatory 7-5                      30 1st $3.30
#7 Notah 4-1                               29 2nd $4.00
#4 Blue Plate Special 9-2          28

Race 6:

#7 Kentucky Joker 6-1              29
#2 Paschal Moon 8-1                28 2nd $7.90
#5 Locke and Key 5-2                27 1st $5.20
#3 P Money 8-1                          27 4th

Race 7:

#9 Lucency 9-2                           31
#8 Mistical Curlin 4-1               30
#7 Suerte 6-1                               29
#5 Expected Value 7-2               28

Race 8:

#5 Hot Fudge 1-1                       33
#1 Music City Star 12-1            32
#4 Kant Hurry Love 5-2            31
#3 Quick Money 4-1                  30

Race 9:

#6 True Connection 7-2           18
#1 J D Factor 3-1                        17
#2 Cuando 5-2                            16
#8 Society Man 6-1                    16

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,1,5

Race 2:  5,6

Race 3:  1,7,6,5

Race 4:  3,2,5

Race 5:  3,8,7

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,6

Race 3:  1,7,6,5

Race 4:  3,2,5,7

Race 5:  3,8,7,4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  1,7,6,5

Race 4:  3,2

Race 5:  3,8,7,4

Race 6:  7,2,5,3

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  3,2,5

Race 5:  3,8

Race 6:  7,2,5

Race 7:  9,8,7 *9 scratched using 8,7,5

Race 8:  5

Race 9:  6,1

$1.00 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  3,8,7,4

Race 6:  7,2,5,3

Race 7:  9,8,7,5

Race 8:  5,1

Race 9:  6,1

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  7,2,5,3

Race 7:  9,8,7,5

Race 8:  5,1,4

Race 9:  6,1,2,8

$.50 Ticket:  $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 

May 4th, 2024

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March 3rd, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,336/20,453 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,398/20,453. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*6 on top winners on last Saturday’s Oaklawn card…

*Early & Middle Pick 4 for us last Saturday at Aqueduct$470.50 on a $64 ticket…$695.50 on a $96 ticket…

*Middle Pick for us yesterday at Aqueduct$315 on a $48 ticket…

*No Picks Friday…

 

March 2nd, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,322/20,429 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,388/20,429. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*6 on top winners on last Saturday’s Oaklawn card…

*Early & Middle Pick 4 for us last Saturday at Aqueduct$470.50 on a $64 ticket…$695.50 on a $96 ticket…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Gulfstream Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 Mitole’s Girl 9-2                    14 1st $6.00
#7 Luna Patina 7-2                     13 2nd $3.90 Ex $22.40
#1 Top of the Table 6-1             12
#2 Brooklyn Dantz 5-1               11 scratched

Race 2:

#6 Apollo Rising 6-5                  29 2nd $2.70
#2 Stjames 8-1                             28 scratched
#5 Masterwork 8-5                      28
#1 Cheeky Tico 5-1                      27 1st $15.00

Race 3:

#2 Accelerina 7-5                       15 2nd $2.90
#1 Debbie Darling 4-1               14
#7 Montauk Mystique3-1         12 3rd $2.20
#9 Maxing the Bank 15-1          11 scratched

Race 4:

#6 Highway Harmony 6-1        27 4th
#2 Reigning Chick 7-2               26
#4 Liberty Flame 9-2                 25 3rd $3.50
#1 Chasing Daylight 3-1           25

Race 5:

#7 First Glimpse 9-5                  28 scratched
#4 Goldini 15-1                           27 2nd $4.90
#1 Funkenstein 2-1                    26 scratched
#2 Gut Feeling 4-1                      26 1st $7.00 Ex $32.80

Race 6:

#6 Got Thunder 8-1                   32
#9 Radio Red 9-5                        31 2nd $3.30
#5 Factually Correct 4-1           30 1st $6.20
#1 Hero’s Medal 12-1                 29 4th

Race 7:

#6 Jody’s Pride 4-5                   30 1st $3.90
#2 Gin Gin 4-1                           29 3rd $2.60
#4 Princess Mayfair 10-1         28
#1 Regulatory Risk 8-1             27

Race 8:

#8 Petulante 5-2                        34 3rd $3.10
#6 Castle Chaos 2-1                  33
#1 Kinetic Sky 4-1                     32 1st $11.80
#3 Double Crown 8-1                31 scratched

Race 9:

#6 Twenty Four Mamba 8-1     33 4th
#2 Listentoyourheart 6-1          32
#3 Super Chow 7-2                      32 1st $7.60
#1 Downtownchalybrown 30-1 31

Race 10:

#10 Just a Touch 5-2                 32
#8 Bergen 9-2                             31
#3 Deterministic 9-2                 30
#9 Eliminate 15-1                      30

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  4,7,1,2

Race 2:  6,2,5 *2 scratched 6,5,1

Race 3:  2,1,7

Race 4:  6,2,4,1

Race 5: 7 *7 scratched using 4

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,2,5,1

Race 3:  2,1,7,9

Race 4:  6,2,4,1

Race 5:  7,4 *7 scratched using 4,2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  6,2,4,1

Race 5:  7,4,1,2

Race 6:  6,9,5

Race 7:  6,2

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 5:  7

Race 6:  6,9,5

Race 7:  6

Race 8:  8,6,1

Race 9:  6,2,3

Race 10: 10,8,3

$1.00 Ticket:  $81

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  6,9,5

Race 7:  6,2,4,1

Race 8:  8,6,1

Race 9:  6,2,3

Race 10: 10,8

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  6,2,4,1

Race 8:  8,6

Race 9:  6,2,3,1

Race 10: 10,8,3,9

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Gulfstream Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#7 Linesman 4-1                        18
#6 Thornbury 6-1                      17 3rd $8.00
#2 Jhirsch 10-1                           17
#1 El Rezeen 6-1                        16 4th

Race 2:

#6 Acclaimed Victor 4-1          19 4th
#8 Jefferson Street 3-1             18 3rd $2.80
#3 Tapakena 9-2                        18
#1 Big City 5-2                           17 2nd $3.60

Race 3:

#7 Royal Majesty (GB) 8-1      29
#8 Cugino 5-2                            29 2nd $3.40
#6 Silent Heart 4-1                   28 3rd $5.20
#5 Abrumar 7-2                         27 1st $8.00

Race 4:

#10 Exact Estimate 7-2             35 1st $6.20
#2 Skyro 3-1                                34 2nd $2.80 Ex $19.40
#4 Lure Him In 10-1                  33 scratched
#1 Amstrong 9-2                        32

Race 5:

#2 J P Hellish 8-1                       34 3rd $4.00
#11 Quality G 8-1                      33 1st $10.20
#6 Risk Manager 8-1                 32
#5 English Bee 6-1                     32

Race 6:

#4 Implementation 9-2            33 3rd $2.80
#5 Kingsbarns 8-5                      33 1st $3.20
#3 Dangerous Ride 15-1           32
#9 Positive Review 4-1              31 4th

Race 7:

#6 Dynadrive 4-1                      35
#4 Starting Over 5-1                 34 1st $24.00
#3 Headline News 12-1            33
#1 Main Event 8-1                     32

Race 8:

#3 Ozara (IRE) 2-1                    30 3rd $2.10
#7 Life’s an Audible 5-2           29 2nd $3.40
#9 Time to Dazzle 15-1            28
#1 Mystic Lake 5-1                    27

Race 9:

#2 Leslie’s Rose 8-5                  34 3rd $2.10
#8 Into Champagne 6-1           33 2nd $6.20
#3 Just F Y I 7-5                         32 scratched
#6 Queen’s Martini 10-1          31 4th

Race 10:

#10 R Calli Kim 7-2                  33 1st $4.40
#5 Sister Lou Ann 5-2              32
#2 Highland Grace 20-1           31
#9 Angel Nadeshiko10-1         30

Race 11:

#5 Tumbarumba 8-5                 36 2nd $3.00
#2 Wit 3-1                                   35 scratched
#3 Steal Sunshine 5-2               34 1st $5.00
#4 Il Miracolo 9-2                      33 3rd $2.20

Race 12:

#10 Ice Chocolat (BRZ) 8-1     37 3rd $4.20
#5 Siege of Boston 8-1             36 2nd $4.60
#4 Turf King (IRE) 8-1              35
#2 Smokin’ T 6-1                       35

Race 13:

#7 For the Flag 8-1                   33
#3 Be My Sunshine 9-2            32
#4 Spansive 12-1                       32
#1 Miss Carol Ann (IRE) 12-1 31

Race 14:

#3 Victory Avenue 4-1            34
#5 Dornoch 2-1                        34
#1 Speak Easy 9-2                    33
#8 Locked 5-2                           32

Gulfstream Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  7,6,2,1

Race 2:  6,8,3,1

Race 3:  7,8,6

Race 4:  10,2

Race 5:  2,11,6,5

$.50 Ticket:  $192

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,8,3,1

Race 3:  7,8,6,5

Race 4:  10,2

Race 5:  2,11,6,5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  10,2,4,1 10

Race 5:  2,11,6,5 11

Race 6:  4,5 5

Race 7:  6,4,3,1 4

$.50 Ticket:  $64 $315

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  2,11,6,5

Race 6:  4,5

Race 7:  6,4,3,1

Race 8:  3,7,9,1

Race 9:  2,8,3

$.50 Ticket:  $192

Pick 4 (7-10):

Race 7:  6,4,3,1

Race 8:  3,7

Race 9:  2,8,3

Race 10: 10,5

$.50 Ticket:  $24

Pick 6:

Race 9:  2,8,3

Race 10: 10,5

Race 11:  5,2,3,4

Race 12:  10,5,4,2

Race 13:  7,3,4,1

Race 14:  3,5 *3 scratched using 5,1

$.20 Ticket:  $153.60

Late Pick 5:

Race 10:  10,5,2,9

Race 11:  5,2,3 *2 scratched using 5,3,4

Race 12:  10,5,4,2

Race 13:  7,3,4,1

Race 14:  3,5 *3 scratched using 5,1

$.50 Ticket:  $192

Late Pick 4:

Race 11:  5,2 *2 scratched using 5,3

Race 12:  10,5,4,2

Race 13:  7,3,4,1

Race 14:  3,5,1,8

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.