March 9th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,341/20,461 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,403/20,461. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#2 Catching Heat 7-5 18 3rd $2.40
#1 Roman Grace 5-2 17 2nd $3.90
#5 I’m Thinking 7-2 16 4th
#3 Looks First 6-1 15

Race 2:

#5 Pit Boss 1-1 27 1st $3.80
#6 Swift Tap 7-2 26 4th
#3 Mount Travers 10-1 25 2nd $3.90
#2 My Friends Beer 10-1 24 3rd

Race 3:

#1 Qorokwe 8-1 15
#7 Friday I’m in Love 7-5 15 1st $3.50
#6 Ring Me 8-1 14 4th
#5 Wafir 9-2 13

Race 4:

#3 Magic Express 2-1 18 1st $6.20
#2 Midway Lights 4-1 17 4th
#5 Majestic Michael 3-1 17 3rd $3.00
#7 Cage Match 8-1 16 2nd $6.80 Spr $652

Race 5:

#3 M B’s Munning 6-1 30 4th
#8 Mandatory 7-5 30 1st $3.30
#7 Notah 4-1 29 2nd $4.00
#4 Blue Plate Special 9-2 28

Race 6:

#7 Kentucky Joker 6-1 29
#2 Paschal Moon 8-1 28 2nd $7.90
#5 Locke and Key 5-2 27 1st $5.20
#3 P Money 8-1 27 4th

Race 7:

#9 Lucency 9-2 31
#8 Mistical Curlin 4-1 30
#7 Suerte 6-1 29
#5 Expected Value 7-2 28

Race 8:

#5 Hot Fudge 1-1 33
#1 Music City Star 12-1 32
#4 Kant Hurry Love 5-2 31
#3 Quick Money 4-1 30

Race 9:

#6 True Connection 7-2 18
#1 J D Factor 3-1 17
#2 Cuando 5-2 16
#8 Society Man 6-1 16

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 2,1,5

Race 2: 5,6

Race 3: 1,7,6,5

Race 4: 3,2,5

Race 5: 3,8,7

$.50 Ticket: $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 5,6

Race 3: 1,7,6,5

Race 4: 3,2,5,7

Race 5: 3,8,7,4

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3: 1,7,6,5

Race 4: 3,2

Race 5: 3,8,7,4

Race 6: 7,2,5,3

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 4: 3,2,5

Race 5: 3,8

Race 6: 7,2,5

Race 7: 9,8,7 *9 scratched using 8,7,5

Race 8: 5

Race 9: 6,1

$1.00 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 3,8,7,4

Race 6: 7,2,5,3

Race 7: 9,8,7,5

Race 8: 5,1

Race 9: 6,1

$.50 Ticket: $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 7,2,5,3

Race 7: 9,8,7,5

Race 8: 5,1,4

Race 9: 6,1,2,8

$.50 Ticket: $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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