A Winning Day at the Races!

April 11th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,192/25,028 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 11,543/25,028. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*6 on top winners for us last Saturday at Keeneland

*Pick 6 for us yesterday at Aqueduct$907.16 on a $108 ticket…

*Late Pick 5 for us yesterday at Aqueduct$372.62 on a $72 ticket…

*Saturday’s Full Card #Aqueduct, Keeneland & Oaklawn Picks/Plays below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Asleep At Eight 6-1             29
#5 Castle Chaos 1-1                  29
#3 Caramel Chip 4-1                 28
#4 Moment’s Notice 8-1           27

Race 2:

#3 Camm’ Duke 4-1                  26
#2 Panagiotis 7-2                       25
#6 Enduring Spirit 5-2              25
#5 Focusyn 2-1                           24

Race 3:

#2 Magni 6-5                              25
#1 Monte Avi 6-1                       24
#6 Essentially Fast 6-1              23
#4 Majestic Arc 4-1                    23

Race 4:

#6 Restless Renegade 9-5         16
#1 Chess Match 7-5                    15
#5 Ruby’s Trouble 12-1              14
#2 Xcel 7-2                                    14

Race 5:

#1 Nabokov 5-2                         26
#3 Timaeus 8-5                          25
#6 Sin Nombre 10-1                  24
#5 Graywing 2-1                         24

Race 6:

#5 Sculcos Folly 1-1                  33
#4 Illmatic 7-5                            32
#1 Sunday Boy 9-2                     29
#3 Gallant One 10-1                  28

Race 7:

#5 Hot Currency 1-1                  29
#3 Greek Goddess 5-2                28
#4 Power of Women 8-1            27
#8 Irish Fortune 10-1                 26

Race 8:

#4 Take Me to Londyn 3-1         26
#8 Itwillbefun 9-2                        25
#3 Chocolatechocolate 2-1         25
#1 Cathedral Aisle 9-2                 24

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,5,3

Race 2:  3,2,6,5

Race 3:  2,1

Race 4:  6,1

Race 5:  1,3

  $.50 Ticket:  $48

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  3,2,6,5

Race 3:  2,1,6,4

Race 4:  6,1

Race 5:  1,3,6,5

  $.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 3:  2

Race 4:  6,1

Race 5:  1,3

Race 6:  5,4

Race 7:  5,3

Race 8:  4,8,3

  $1.00 Ticket:  $48

Late Pick 5:

Race 4:  6,1

Race 5:  1,3,6,5

Race 6:  5,4

Race 7:  5,3

Race 8:  4,8,3,1

  $.50 Ticket:  $64

Late Pick 4:

Race 5:  1,3

Race 6:  5,4,1

Race 7:  5,3

Race 8:  4,8,3,1

  $.50 Ticket:  $24

Keeneland Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#7 Galatina 8-1                         16
#6 Nuts and Bolts 9-2              15
#8 Buckeye Bombshell 4-1      15
#9 West Coast Dream 6-1        14

Race 2:

#3 Standard Deduction 7-2      16
#14 Next Time 8-1 AE               16
#6 Beale Street Boy 3-1             15
#1 Frosted Mug 8-1                    14
#4 September Silver 5-1            14

Race 3:

#4 Money Run 5-2                      32
#7 Eye Dee Kay 8-5                    30
#3 King of Hollywood 4-1         29
#6 Fountain Run 12-1                29

Race 4:

#4 Shewontbudge 1-1               17
#8 Rockin Robin 3-1                  16
#9 Pinto 9-2                                15
#7 Mon Reve 10-1                      15

Race 5:

#6 Minotaur 4-1                         18
#3 Comprehensive 5-2              18
#12 Wrathchild 5-1                    17
#10 Newman 8-1                        16

Race 6:

#7 Conquest Warrior 9-5          33
#1 Excite 7-2                                32
#2 Authentic Strike 2-1             32
#4 Curlin’s Malibu 6-1               31

Race 7:

#4 Ciro di Marzio 4-1                 34
#6 Arkhipov 8-5                          33
#7 Noble Confessor 3-1             32
#3 Sicilian Defense 8-1              31

Race 8:

#3 Right Timing 5-2                  19
#2 Arcana 10-1                           19
#12 Al Ghadeer 8-1                    18
#8 Epic Proud Mary 10-1          17

Race 9:

#1 Expensive Queen (IRE) 8-1  35
#7 Lush Lips (GB) 5-2                 34
#10 Segesta 7-2                            34
#8 Destino d’Oro 4-1                  33

Race 10:

#1 Corona de Oro 6-1                33
#10 Confessional 7-2                 32
#9 Ezum 2-1                                 31
#4 Enforced Agenda 10-1          30

Race 11:

#6 West End Kid 9-2                   19
#11 Coordinator 4-1                   19
#3 Royal Guard 5-1                     18
#4 Heeere’s Johnny 7-2              18

Keeneland Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  7,6,8,9

Race 2:  3,14,6,1

Race 3:  4,7

Race 4:  4,8

Race 5:  6,3,12

  $.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  3,14,6,1

Race 3:  4,7,3

Race 4:  4,8

Race 5:  6,3,12,10

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  4,8

Race 5:  6,3,12,10

Race 6:  7,1,2

Race 7:  4,6,7,3

  $.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 6:  7,1

Race 7:  4,6

Race 8:  3

Race 9:  1,7,10

Race 10: 1,10

Race 11:  6,11,3,4

  $1.00 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  4,6,7,3

Race 8:  3,2,12,8

Race 9:  1,7,10

Race 10: 1,10,9

Race 11:  6,11,3

  $.50 Ticket:  $216

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  3,2,12,8

Race 9:  1,7,10

Race 10: 1,10,9,4

Race 11:  6,11,3,4

  $.50 Ticket:  $96

Oaklawn Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1 Lottery Win 7-2                    28
#4 Mitty’s Griddy 3-1                27
#6 Gun Fire 5-1                           26
#2 Big Tech 9-2                           25

Race 2:

#4 Camp Daddy 5-2                  30
#8 Speed Bias 2-1                      29
#2 Bolt At Midnight 7-2           28
#1 Tis Charming 8-1                 27

Race 3:

#7 Poppa Echo 7-5                    31
#4 Bourbon’s Fault 5-2            30
#1 Culpa 5-1                               29
#3 Trouble Ahead 8-1               28

Race 4:

#9 Good News Rocket 3-1        26
#2 Amentum 6-1                        25
#7 He Is Heaven Sent 6-1         25
#5 Ky Do Declare 5-2                 24

Race 5:

#4 Surveillance 8-5                   33
#7 Mish 7-5                                 32
#6 Nasty Habit 4-1                    31
#1 Barksdale 15-1                      30

Race 6:

#8 Tiz in Sight 5-1                     28
#9 Empath 8-1                            27
#5 You’re in Heaven 8-5            27
#6 Sassy Fox 15-1                       26

Race 7:

#3 Bettys Cash 8-1                    29
#7 Patton’s Tizzy 5-1                28
#10 Bossofmi 12-1                     27
#5 Al’s Romeo 2-1                      27

Race 8:

#8 Dreaminblue 8-1                 38
#7 Tejano Twist 6-1                  37
#5 Roll On Big Joe 2-1              37
#4 Mad House 15-1                   36

Race 9:

#9 Munnings Challenge 6-5    19
#7 Extremist 10-1                      18
#4 Jazz Man 4-1                          17
#8 Titan King 6-1                       17

Race 10:

#3 Regaled 3-1                          36
#8 Claret Beret 8-1                   35
#2 Majestic Oops 9-2               34
#1 Nitrogen 9-5                         34

Race 11:

#8 Classic Legacy 3-1               33
#10 Fort Sam 6-1                       32
#9 Bourbon Society 12-1          31
#6 Expect the Best 7-2              31

Race 12:

#7 Conway 3-1                           14
#8 Convolution 5-1                   13
#10 Ripple’s Rocket 4-1            12
#6 El Chavo 7-2                           11

Oaklawn Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  1,4,6,2

Race 2:  4,8,2

Race 3:  7,4

Race 4:  9,2,7,5

Race 5:  4,7

  $.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  4,8,2

Race 3:  7,4

Race 4:  9,2,7,5

Race 5:  4,7

  $.50 Ticket:  $24

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 7,4

Race 4:  9,2,7,5

Race 5:  4,7

Race 6:  8,9,5

Race 7:  3,7,10,5

  $.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  9,2,7,5

Race 5:  4,7

Race 6:  8,9,5,6

Race 7:  3,7,10,5

  $.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  4,7

Race 6:  8,9,5

Race 7:  3,7,10,5

Race 8:  8,7,5

Race 9:  9,7,4,8

  $.50 Ticket:  $144

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  8,9,5,6

Race 7:  3,7,10,5

Race 8:  8,7,5

Race 9:  9,7,4

  $.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 6:

Race 7:  3,7,10,5

Race 8:  8,7,5

Race 9:  9

Race 10: 3,8,2,1

Race 11:  8

Race 12:  7,8

  $1.00 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 8:  8,7,5

Race 9:  9,7,4,8

Race 10: 3,8,2

Race 11:  8,10

Race 12:  7,8

  $.50 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 4:

Race 9:  9,7,4,8

Race 10: 3,8,2,1

Race 11:  8,10,9,6

Race 12:  7,8,10

  $.50 Ticket:  $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 


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