April 26th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

• April 26, 2025
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,930/22,972 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,633/22,972. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*6 on top winners last Saturday at Keeneland…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Churchill Downs Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Tabeguache 4-1                   33
#1a Alternate Reality 7-5        32 2nd $2.10
#6 Power Seeker 7-2                 31 scratched 
#4 Just Call Ray 8-1                  31

Race 2:

#2 Brew Pub 6-1                        29 2nd $3.20 
#3 Amundson 9-5                     28 1st $4.30 Ex $12.60
#5 Forward Move 3-1               27 4th
#4 Montebello 5-2                    27

Race 3:

#7 Enduring Spirit 7-2             27
#6 Tapwrits Temper 8-1          26 3rd $3.90
#5 Shoot the Nickel 5-2           25 2nd $2.80
#2 Executive Order 9-5            25 1st $4.80

Race 4:

#5 Portos 5-1                             28 scratched 
#4 Prove Worthy 5-2                27 1st $4.90
#8 Provision 10-1                      27 2nd $10.40 Ex $46.00
#2 Active Duty 9-2                    26

Race 5:

#9 Moontown 9-2                      14 4th
#3 Eleni 8-1                                13
#5 Syl’s Pleasure 8-1                 12
#1 The Splendid One 20-1       11

Race 6:

#4 Revolutionnaire (FR) 5-1    32 4th
#1 Septarian 3-1                         31 2nd $4.40
#2 End of Romance 5-1             30
#6 Tiz Dashing 4-1                     30

Dirt Selections

#1 Septarian 3-1
#7 Sounds Like a Plan 6-1
#3 Dream On

Race 7:

#10 Moonlight Ready 10-1       14
#5 Lackadaisical 8-1                  13
#6 Lucy Playa 20-1                     12
#3 Just Add Water 4-1                11

Dirt Selections

#12 Will of a Womanne 6-1 2nd $2.90
#14 Work Away 6-1 scratched 
#5 Lackadaisical 8-1 scratched 
#9 Widdershins 30-1

Race 8:

#2 Grace Reformed 5-2             27
#10 Splashy 5-1                          26
#6 Embraceable Gal 4-1            25
#3 Top of the Table 8-1             24

Race 9:

#9 Summer Whirl 7-2                29
#12 Spool 6-1                              28
#11 Firsttimeinforever 5-2       28
#4 Tongue Twister 9-2               27

Dirt Selections

#8 Walk With Me 15-1
#15 Higher Force 20-1
#2 Lady Wisdom 15-1
#5 Lucky and Gorgeous 50-1
#4 Tongue Twister 9-2

Race 10:

#10 Nostalgic One 7-2              28
#7 Omey Island 15-1                 27
#1 Barnstorming 6-1                 26
#3 Mr Flowers 5-1                      26

Dirt Selections

#2 Scat Tu Tap 8-1
#7 Omey Island 15-1
#12 Toscano 8-1
#8 Neon Bordeaux 12-1
#15 Broderick

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,1a/1,6 *6 scratched using 5,1,4

Race 2:  2,3,5

Race 3:  7,6,5,2

Race 4:  5,4

Race 5:  9,3,5

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  2,3

Race 3:  7,6,5,2

Race 4:  5,4,8,2

Race 5:  9,3,5,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  7,6,5,2

Race 4:  5,4

Race 5:  9,3,5

Race 6:  4,1,2 Dirt: 1,7,3

Race 7:  10,5,6,3 Dirt: 12,9,7,13

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  5,4

Race 5:  9,3,5,1

Race 6:  4,1,2,6 Dirt: 1,7,3

Race 7:  10,5,6,3 Dirt: 12,9,7,13

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  9,3,5,1

Race 6:  4,1 Dirt: 1,7

Race 7:  10,5,6,3 Dirt: 12,9,7,13

Race 8:  2 *2 scratched using 10

Race 9:  9,12,11 Dirt: 8,15,2

Race 10: 10 Dirt: 2

$1.00 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  4,1,2,6 Dirt: 1,7,3

Race 7:  10,5,6,3 Dirt: 12,9,7,13

Race 8:  2,10,6 *2 scratched using 10,6,3

Race 9:  9,12,11 Dirt: 8,15,2

Race 10: 10,7,1 Dirt: 2,7,12

$.50 Ticket:  $216

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  10,5,6,3 Dirt: 12,9,7,13

Race 8:  2,10,6 *2 scratched using 10,6,3

Race 9:  9,12,11,4 Dirt: 8,15,2,5

Race 10: 10,7,1,3 Dirt: 2,7,12,8

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Churchill Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#7 Synthesis 7-2                       29 *Best Bet
#1 Tiberius Mercurius 4-1      28
#8 Hoodlum 3-1                        27
#5 Peruvian Lucky 5-1             26

Race 2:

#4 Justifiable Belle 3-1            32
#7 No Mo Candy 2-1                32
#5 Mission of Joy 9-5               31
#3 Lucky Speech 5-1                30

Dirt Selections

#7 No Mo Candy 2-1
#3 Lucky Speech 5-1
#2 Neverwalkalone (BRZ) 10-1
#4 Justifiable Belle 3-1

Race 3:

#6 Beach Bunny 15-1               27
#7 Creative Quality 5-2            26
#2 Bolt On the Rocks 5-1         25
#8 Big Dig 4-1                             25

Race 4:

#4 Outrageously 12-1              29
#6 Sundance Feature 2-1        29
#5 Twirl Around 7-2                 28
#3 Sam’s Treasure 3-1              27

Race 5:

#4 Carolo Rapido 5-2               28
#3 Our Dream Rye’d 5-1          27
#2 Mucho Mojo 4-1                  26
#7 Evening News 5-1                26

Race 6:

#4 Tapakena 4-1                        16
#9 Daiquiri Sommelier 10-1    15
#2 Shadow Coast 5-1                 14
#3 Holster 9-2                             14

Race 7:

#6 Ashes and Diamonds 9-2    18
#8 Vino Tiempo 5-1                   17
#2 Plaza Cue 5-2                         17
#4 Churning Berni 4-1               16

Race 8:

#4 Bread to Run 9-2                   28
#9 Life Advice 5-1                       27
#8 Angel of Faith 4-1                  27
#7 Cheyenne Moon 15-1            26

Dirt Selections

#8 Angel of Faith 4-1
#7 Cheyenne Moon 15-1
#9 Life Advice 5-1
#3 Faire Plaisir 8-1

Race 9:

#6 Harbor Springs 3-1                33
#1 Non Violence 9-2                   32
#5 Miuccia 8-1                              31
#7 Girls Weekend 12-1                30

Race 10:

#7 Where Y’at 15-1                    19
#2 Outdoor Cat 12-1                  18
#3 Evan On Earth 7-5                 18
#1 Studeny 6-1                            17

Churchill Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  7,1,8 *7 scratched using 1,8,5

Race 2:  4,7,5 Dirt: 7,3,2 *4,7 scratched using 5,3

Race 3:  6,7,2,8

Race 4:  4,6,5

Race 5:  4,3

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  4,7,5,3 Dirt: 7,3,2,4 *4,7 scratched using 5,3

Race 3:  6,7,2,8

Race 4:  4,6,5

Race 5:  4,3,2

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  6,7,2,8

Race 4:  4,6,5,3

Race 5:  4,3

Race 6:  4,9,2

Race 7:  6,8,2 *2 scratched using 6,8,4

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  4,6,5,3

Race 5:  4,3,2,7

Race 6:  4,9,2,3

Race 7:  6,8,2 *2 scratched using 6,8,4

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 6:

Race 5:  4,3,2,7

Race 6:  4,9,2,3

Race 7:  6,8,2 *2 scratched using 6,8,4

Race 8:  4,9,8 Dirt: 8,7,9

Race 9:  6,1

Race 10: 7,2,3,1

$.20 Ticket:  $230.40

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  4,9,2,3

Race 7:  6,8,2,4

Race 8:  4,9,8 Dirt: 8,7,9

Race 9:  6,1

Race 10: 7,2,3,1

$.50 Ticket:  $192

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  6,8,2,4

Race 8:  4,9,8 Dirt: 8,7,9

Race 9:  6,1,5,7

Race 10: 7,2,3 *3 scratched using 7,2,1

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.