A Winning Day at the Races!

April 3rd, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,160/24,979 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 11,518/24,979. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Friday’s Full Card #Aqueduct Keeneland Picks/Plays below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Gran Judgment 9-5                14
#3 Bengalese 5-1                         13
#1 Combatant’s Song 6-1           12
#5 Scoring Points 8-1                  11

Race 2:

#1 Kid Rich 7-2                             26
#3 Reside 3-1                                25
#4 Mercilesanihilator 2-1           25
#6 Lucky Larry 9-2                       24

Race 3:

#4 Who’s Your Zaddy 9-5           17
#3 Judge Boushay 2-1                 16
#6 Crowbar Artist 12-1               15
#2 Sfumato 5-2                             14

Race 4:

#6 Directive 5-1                           18
#3 Smart Sugar 9-2                      18
#4 Lights Out Leni 2-1                17
#1 Asset Light 5-2                        16

Race 5:

#4 So Vain 5-2                             15
#2 Flee 9-2                                   14
#5 Yolo 9-5                                   14
#6 Saratoga Sunset 4-1              13

Race 6:

#7 Spirit of Esther 6-5               25
#4 Widdershins 15-1                  24
#3 That’sthefactjack 5-1           23
#6 Mia Nipotina 5-1                   23

Race 7:

#4 Playa Del Mar 7-5                 28
#5 Egyptian 3-1                          27
#3 Moment’s Notice 6-1            27
#6 Antietam 4-1                          26

Race 8:

#6 Texas Red Hot 9-2                 27
#7 Brew Pub 7-2                          27
#2 Skylander 3-1                         26
#3 Aleah Aleah 5-1                      25

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,3,1

Race 2:  1,3,4

Race 3:  4,3

Race 4:  6,3,4

Race 5:  4,2,5

  $.50 Ticket:  $81

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1,3,4

Race 3:  4,3

Race 4:  6,3,4,1

Race 5:  4,2,5

  $.50 Ticket:  $36

Pick 6:

Race 3:  4,3

Race 4: 6,3,4

Race 5:  4,2

Race 6:  7

Race 7:  4,5

Race 8:  6,7,2

  $1.00 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 4:  6,3,4,1

Race 5:  4,2,5

Race 6:  7,4,3

Race 7:  4,5

Race 8:  6,7,2

  $.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 5:  4,2,5

Race 6:  7,4,3,6

Race 7:  4,5

Race 8:  6,7,2

  $.50 Ticket:  $36

Keeneland Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Joe Joe Dude 4-1                  16
#6 Waggley 7-5                          15
#5 Bourbon Town 6-1               14
#9 Cross Power 30-1                 14

Race 2:

#4 Edey 9-2                                28
#5 Miss Call 5-2                         28
#11 N Z Holly 12-1                    27
#8 Menkaure 6-1                        26

Race 3:

#2 Our Starry Night 10-1          34
#8 Spiced Up 4-1                         33
#9 Donut God 6-1                       32
#7 Amoudi Bay 8-1                     32

Dirt Selections 

#9 Donut God 6-1
#4 Whatchatalkinabout 5-2
#6 Hogie the Player 20-1
#3 Camp Hale 3-1

Race 4:

#11 Movie Night 12-1                 20
#9 Phantom Blue 4-1                  20
#5 Only Me 5-1                             19
#8 Lady Diversity 9-2                  19

Race 5:

#2 Knock It Off 2-1                    33
#4 Trouble Calling 7-2               32
#3 Arctic Beast 3-1                     32
#1 Comport 6-1                           31

Race 6:

#1 Without (IRE) 9-5                  32
#4 Bite and Strike 12-1               31
#14 States’ Rights 9-2 AE           31
#6 Domingo 15-1                         30
#10 Tiz Freedom 15-1                 29

Dirt Selections 

#5 House United 8-1
#6 Domingo 15-1
#10 Tiz Freedom 15-1
#4 Bite and Strike 12-1

Race 7:

#7 A Fine Chardonnay 5-2        31
#3 Sneaky Good 9-5                   30
#5 Baracca 6-1                             29
#2 Just Bluffing 3-1                     28

Race 8:

#1 Proton 4-1                              32
#2 Vasy (IRE) 9-2                        31
#4 Attfield 12-1                           30
#3 Noble Dynasty 8-1                29

Dirt Selections 

#11 Ganaas 15-1
#8 Zeppelin 15-1
#5 Street Beast 6-1
#6 Time for America 30-1

Race 9:

#3 Zany 4-5                                 34
#7 Star Actress 6-1                     33
#4 French Friction 9-2               33
#2 Percy’s Bar 7-2                       32

Race 10:

#2 Heading 6-1                           18
#5 Supercharger 10-1                17
#3 Ravenous 10-1                       17
#7 Obelus 8-1                              16

Dirt Selections 

#1 Prize Pick 5-1
#5 Supercharger 10-1
#15 Tilson 15-1
#7 Obelus 8-1

Keeneland Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,6,5

Race 2:  4,5

Race 3:  2,8,9,7 Dirt: 9,4,6,3

Race 4:  11,9,5,8

Race 5:  2,4,3

  $.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  4,5,11,8

Race 3:  2,8,9,7 Dirt: 9,4,6,3

Race 4:  11,9,5,8

Race 5:  2,4

  $.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  2,4,3

Race 6:  1 Dirt: 5

Race 7:  7,3

Race 8:  1,2,4,3 Dirt: 11,8,5,6

Race 9:  3

Race 10: 2,5,3,7 Dirt: 1,5,15,7

  $1.00 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  1,4 Dirt: 5,6

Race 7:  7,3,5,2

Race 8:  1,2 Dirt: 11,8

Race 9:  3,7,4

Race 10: 2,5,3,7 Dirt: 1,5,15,7

  $.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  7,3

Race 8:  1,2,4,3 Dirt: 11,8,5,6

Race 9:  3,7,4,2

Race 10: 2,5,3,7 Dirt: 1,5,15,7

  $.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.


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