A Winning Day at the Races!

August 11th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,182/17,039, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,622/17,039. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*28 on top winners out of the last 62 Saratoga races…

*Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Salt Cay 9-5                              17
#6 Catching Cupid 5-2                 15 1st $6.40
#4 Patrick the Great 4-1              14
#3 Sensibleconclusion 6-1          13 4th

Race 2:

#3 Olive Kat 9-5                           27
#4 Violent Point 6-1                    26 3rd $2.90
#6 Weekend Fun 8-1                    25 4th
#2 Angelinka (FR) 7-5                  25 1st $5.40

Race 3:

#5 Dame Cinco 6-5                       27 1st $3.60
#2 Preposterous 7-2                     26 2nd $3.10
#1 Belarus 5-1                                25 3rd $2.10
#3 Clara Belle 4-1                          24 scratched

Race 4:

#2 Barrage 5-2                               31 4th
#8 Not Phar Now 6-1                    30 3rd $8.90
#7 Straw Into Gold 3-1                 29
#1 Ghost Giant 5-1                        28 1st $14.80

Race 5:

#3 Addicted to You 6-1                 16 2nd $7.50
#2 Top Envoy 15-1                         15 1st $71.00 Ex $625
#7 Sense a Giant 9-2                     15
#6 Pivotal Run 8-1                         14

Race 6:

#8 Impressor 3-1                            17
#9 Mama’s Gold 6-1                       16
#3 Pop Coyer 15-1                          15
#6 Donegal Surges 4-1                   15 1st $7.00

Race 7:

#1 Air Attack 3-1                            33 2nd $3.80
#5 Truculent 6-1                             32
#7 Grumps Little Tots 9-2             31 4th
#3 Pioneer Spirit 8-1                      30 scratched

Race 8:

#3 Backyard Money 3-1                 28 2nd $5.20
#7 Cupids Girl 10-1                         27
#1 Echo Foxtrot 7-2                        26
#8 Maybe Later 9-2                         25 3rd $3.40

Race 9:

#7 Empress Tigress 5-2                   34 2nd $3.10
#2 Delmona (FR) 15-1                     33 3rd $5.60
#3 Benbang 10-1                              32 scratched
#1 Poppy Flower 5-1                        31 1st $10.40 Tri $473

Race 10:

#6 Aleste 6-1                                     15
#9 Jecosity 4-1                                   14 4th
#2 Lem Me Drink 10-1                     13
#11 Succulent 10-1                           12 2nd $7.00

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,6,4,3 6

Race 2:  3,4,6,2 2

Race 3:  5

Race 4:  2,8,7 x

Race 5:  3,2,7,6 2

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  3,4,6,2 2

Race 3:  5,2 5

Race 4:  2,8,7,1 1

Race 5:  3,2,7,6 2

$.50 Ticket:  $64 $1117

Pick 6:

Race 5:  3,2,7,6 2

Race 6:  8,9,3 x

Race 7:  1 x

Race 8:  3,7,1 x

Race 9:  7 x

Race 10: 6,9,2 x

$1.00 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  8,9,3,6 6

Race 7:  1,5 x

Race 8:  3,7,1 x

Race 9:  7,2,3 x

Race 10: 6,9,2 x

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  1,5,7 x

Race 8:  3,7,1,8 x

Race 9:  7,2,3,1 1

Race 10: 6,9,2 x

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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