August 13th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,193/17,059, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,634/17,059. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#1 Full Coverage 7-2 19
#5 Calycanthus 5-2 19
#3 I’m Very Busy 3-1 18 1st $5.30
#8 Fire Baron 12-1 17

Race 2:

#3 Mount Athos 8-5 31 2nd $2.80
#1 Leddy 7-2 29 scratched
#9 Resist the Devil 10-1 28
#1a Charger 7-2 27

Race 3:

#6 Rigby 3-1 28
#2 Cadencia 5-2 27 scratched
#5 Take the Backroads 6-1 26
#3 Blazing Star (GB) 4-1 26 3rd $3.20

Race 4:

#4 Gulfport 4-5 33 2nd $2.10
#2 Damon’s Mound 7-5 32 1st $5.70
#5 Owen’s Leap 8-1 29 scratched
#1 Super Chow 8-1 28 3rd

Race 5:

#2 Sweet Mystery 3-1 27 2nd $5.00
#8 Captainsdaughter 7-2 26
#1 Tosconova Beauty 7-2 25 3rd $3.00
#5 Early Edition 5-1 24 4th

Race 6:

#3 Neuro 5-2 30 1st $4.50
#7 Sheriff Bianco 2-1 29 scratched
#9 Courageoous Oh La 15-1 28 3rd $8.60
#8 Me ‘n Sap 12-1 27

Race 7:

#7 General Jim 6-1 20 3rd $3.90
#9 Black Rain 3-1 19 scratched
#5 Skellig 4-1 18 4th
#1 Bourbon Bash 4-1 17 1st $10.20

Race 8:

#1 Portfolio Company 2-1 32 1st $3.80
#12 Seal Beach 10-1 31 scratched
#2 Midnight Worker 12-1 30
#10 Constitutionlawyer 6-1 29

Race 9:

#3 Citizen Mack 8-1 20 4th
#1 Unlimitedpotential 3-1 20 1st e $5.90
#8 Final Approach 6-1 19
#7 Happy Bob 9-2 19

Race 10:

#3 Regal Glory 6-5 39 2nd $2.40
#4 Mason (GB) 2-1 38 3rd $2.30
#1 Casa Creed 5-2 37 1st $10.40
#2 Front Run the Fed 10-1 36

Race 11:

#7 Greg’s Honor 3-1 16
#3 Good Soldier 5-2 15
#10 Empire Ridge 10-1 15
#9 Calloway Peak 8-1 14

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 1,5,3,8 3

Race 2: 3,1/1a x

Race 3: 6,2,5 *2 scratched using 6,5,3 x

Race 4: 4,2 2

Race 5: 2,8,1 x

$.50 Ticket: $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 3,1/1a,9 x

Race 3: 6,2,5,3 x

Race 4: 4,2 2

Race 5: 2,8,1 x

$.50 Ticket: $27

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4: 4,2 2

Race 5: 2,8,1,5 x

Race 6: 3,7 *7 scratched using 3,9,8 3

Race 7: 7,9,5,1 1

Race 8: 1,12,2,10 1

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5: 2,8,1,5 x

Race 6: 3,7 *7 scratched using 3,9,8 3

Race 7: 7,9,5,1 1

Race 8: 1,12,2,10 1

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 6:

Race 6: 3,7 *7 scratched using 3,9,8 3

Race 7: 7,9,5 *9 scratched using 7,5,1 1

Race 8: 1 1

Race 9: 3,1,8,7 1

Race 10: 3,4 x

Race 11: 7,3,10

$1.00 Ticket: $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 7,9,5,1 1

Race 8: 1,12,2,10 1

Race 9: 3,1,8 1

Race 10: 3,4 x

Race 11: 7,3

$.50 Ticket: $54

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 1,12,2,10 1

Race 9: 3,1,8,7 1

Race 10: 3,4 x

Race 11: 7,3,10,9

$.50 Ticket: $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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