August 16th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

• August 15, 2024
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,901/21,341 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,826/21,341. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Friday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#7 Pretti Xtreme 2-1                  28
#2 April Antics 10-1                   27 2nd $9.00
#6 Trade Secret 6-1                    27 3rd $4.20
#5 Whistler’s Style 7-2               26

Race 2:

#6 Raise the Bar 9-5                 32 scratched
#3 Governor Sam 7-5                31 scratched
#1 Jet Sweep Joe 5-1                 30 2nd $2.70
#5 Spiralizer 8-1                        29 3rd

Dirt Selections

Leaving as is…

Race 3:

#4 Toscano 3-1                          29
#6 Boss Tweed 6-1                    28 1st $9.20
#5 Brown Eyed Cat 4-1             27 scratched 
#1 Land d’ Oro 2-1                     27 scratched 

Race 4:

#2 Refuah 6-1                            28 scratched
#3 Andy Cant 5-1                      28 3rd $2.90
#5 Whiskey N Soda 2-1            27 1st $5.40
#1a Chalky Cat 7-2                    27 4th

Race 5:

#2 Highway Harmony 4-1      29 2nd $4.30
#10 Sacred Image 5-2              28
#7 From Hello 8-1                    27 4th
#4 Sizzle 6-1                              26 scratched

Dirt Selections

Leaving as is…

Race 6:

#6 Braca 4-1                              26 4th
#8 Disco Dancer 8-1                25
#5 Irie Man 7-2                         25 3rd $3.70
#3 Dunedin Causeway 8-1      24 1st $11.20

Race 7:

#7 Pay the Juice 9-5                 20 *Best Bet 1st $3.10
#3 Army Proud 5-1                   18 3rd $2.40
#4 Swift Magic 4-1                    17 4th
#1 One Vision 6-1                     17 2nd $5.50 Spr $104.40

Dirt Selections

Leaving as is…

Race 8:

#1 Tax Implications (GB) 6-5  35
#8 Caroline Street 8-1              33
#4 Swoop to Finish 12-1           32
#2 Breath Away (GB) 9-2          31

Dirt Selections

#1a Signal From Noise 6-5
#11 Street Jam 9-2
#10 Into Happiness 8-1
#7 Tilted Lady 20-1

Race 9:

#1 Cara’s Time 7-2                   33
#7 Leeloo 6-5                             32
#4 Tricky Temper 4-1               31
#5 Cousin Kristi 6-1                  31

Race 10:

#9 Vino Rouge 9-2                   31
#1 Dancing Dean 4-1               30
#2 Goa (IRE) 7-2                       30
#4 Wrigleyville 8-1                   29

Dirt Selections

#9 Vino Rouge 9-2
#14 Wonder Ride 9-2
#11 Standoutsensation 2-1
#12 Camera 6-1
#13 Reliable Lady 10-1

Race 11:

#10 Our Finest Hour 4-1        17
#12 Z Train (IRE) 5-1              16
#4 True Myth 6-1                     15
#7 Bobby Jean 20-1                  14

Dirt Selections

#16 Looking for Ginny 7-2
#15 Not Guilty 2-1
#1 Philly’s Finest 5-2
#7 Bobby Jean 20-1
#3 Capo Donna 8-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  7,2,6,5

Race 2:  6,3 *6,3 scratched using 1,5

Race 3:  4,6,5,1

Race 4:  2,3,5 *2 scratched using 3,5,1a

Race 5:  2,10,7

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,3 *6,3 scratched using 1,5

Race 3:  4,6,5,1

Race 4:  2,3,5,1a/1

Race 5:  2,10,7,4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4:  2,3,5,1a/1

Race 5:  2,10,7,4

Race 6:  6,8,5

Race 7:  7,3

Race 8:  1 Dirt: 1a

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5:  2,10,7,4

Race 6:  6,8,5,3

Race 7:  7,3

Race 8:  1,8,4,2 Dirt: 1a,11,10,7

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 6:  6,8,5

Race 7:  7

Race 8:  1 Dirt: 1a

Race 9:  1,7 *1 scratched using 7,4

Race 10: 9,1,2 Dirt: 9,14,11

Race 11:  10,12,4 Dirt: 16,15,1

$1.00 Ticket:  $54

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  7,3,4

Race 8:  1,8,4,2 Dirt: 1a,11,10,7

Race 9:  1,7 *1 scratched using 7,4

Race 10: 9,1,2 Dirt: 9,14,11

Race 11:  10,12,4,7 Dirt: 16,15,1,7

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  1,8,4,2 Dirt: 1a,11,10,7

Race 9:  1,7 *1 scratched using 7,4

Race 10: 9,1,2,4 Dirt: 9,14,11,12

Race 11:  10,12,4,7 Dirt: 16,15,1,7

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.