
A Winning Day at the Races!
August 16th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,379/23,707 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,950/23,707. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*No “Membership” needed, all content will continue to be posted here daily through the Saratoga meet…
*Thank you for all the well wishes!!…Dealing with a significant health issue, got quite a scare…Will post Picks when up to it…
*Saturday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…
Saratoga Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#3 Norwich 4-1 30
#4 House United 3-1 30
#1a Zippy Mark 4-1 29
#5 Sweettalkingbourbon 7-2 28
Race 2:
#4 One Holy Roller 5-1 17
#1 Victory Hall 5-2 16
#7 Pinky Brier 9-2 16
#3 Avery’s Wonderland 4-1 15
Race 3:
#2 Treaty Obligation 5-2 32
#1 Magnolia Midnight 3-1 31
#3 Gun It 4-1 30
#6 Alternate Reality 7-2 29
Race 4:
#4 Nonna Teresa 7-2 19
#6 Tennessee Belle 7-5 18
#1 Sun Kiss 8-1 17
#2 Run Wild 15-1 16
Race 5:
#4 Fuerteventura 2-1 34
#5 Il Sicilliano 4-1 33
#7 Investment Mandate 6-1 32
#6 Zverev 3-1 32
Race 6:
#7 Sadie Earp 9-2 19
#5 Headspin 6-1 18
#3 Keto Drink 5-2 17
#2 Santina 7-2 17
Race 7:
#8 Tiger Rocket 12-1 20
#1 Talkin 8-1 19
#2 Renegade 4-1 18
#4 Hero Declared 5-2 18
Race 8:
#6 Shared Success 6-1 31
#7 Aggregation 4-1 30
#3 Get a Job 7-2 30
#1 Palace Boss 6-1 29
Race 9:
#8 Spirit of New York 7-2 29
#1 Schwarzenegger 4-1 28
#2 Sandal’s Song 2-1 28
#4 Tough Critic 6-1 27
Race 10:
#4 Nitrogen 9-5 36
#6 La Cara 5-2 35
#1 Margie’s Intention 8-1 34
#2 Good Cheer 8-5 33
Race 11:
#7 Landman Friday 6-1 28
#1 Assertiveness 2-1 28
#5 Mo Go 9-2 27
#10 Kid Kreesa 7-2 27
Race 12:
#10 Pay the Juice 4-1 29
#2 Not for Hire 3-1 28
#5 Courtly Banker 9-2 27
#1 Spoken Bluntly 9-2 27
* No Plays today…
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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