August 18th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

• August 18, 2024
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

**Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,914/21,364 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,839/21,364. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Early Pick 4 for us yesterday…$1,141.25 on a $64 ticket…

*Sunday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Claire’s Charm 6-1                 20 2nd $2.90
#1a Vanilla Sundae 7-5               19
#5 Briland 5-2                               19 1st $7.10
#6 Rational Theory 7-2               18 4th

Race 2:

#5 Competitive Threat 4-1         18
#1 Shade of Pale 5-1                    17
#2 Jitterbug 2-1                             17
#9 Past Tense 9-2                         16

Dirt Selections

#2 Jitterbug 2-1 3rd $2.60
#10 The Taco Lady 5-1 2nd $7.20
#9 Past Tense 9-2 4th
#8 Miss Hebrides 8-1 1st $7.70 Spr $430.40

Race 3:

#5 Donegal Surges 9-5               35 *Best Bet
#6 Whittington Park 9-2            33
#3 Bank Frenzy 7-2                     32 1st $10.80
#4 Maker’s Candy 3-1                 31 2nd $4.80

Race 4:

#10 Inflation Nation (IRE) 5-2 30
#8 Raging 7-2                               29
#5 Schnittker 9-2                         28
#2 Playground Legend 6-1         28

Dirt Selections

#8 Raging 7-2 2nd $3.00
#5 Schnittker 9-2 scratched 
#16 Tommy Two Socks 5-1 1st $6.80 Ex $22
#12 Musical Maestro 10-1 scratched
#7 Forward Move 12-1 3rd $3.80 Tri $131

Race 5:

#4 I Got No Munny 5-2               31
#5 Squire Creek 7-2                     30
#3 Floki’s Flight 3-1                     29 2nd $5.00
#2 Synthesis 8-1                           28

Race 6:

#6 Dubawi Wowie 6-1                  16
#2 Lady Laoban 7-2                      15
#1 Starlight Dancer 10-1             14
#10 Lu’s Redemption 9-2            14

Dirt Selections

#16 Corri Felice 5-2 3rd $2.70
#4 Hayes Bay 12-1
#8 Spirit of Esther 4-1 1st $13.60
#11 Lucky and Gorgeous 6-1 4th

Race 7:

#6 Lady Orient 7-2                      30
#8 Abientot 4-1                           29
#5 Me Governor 6-1                    28
#2 Mighty Eriu (IRE) 5-2            28

Dirt Selections

#11 Obliging 3-1
#9 Kimchi Cat 9-2 1st $8.00
#5 Me Governor 6-1 4th
#4 Viggiedal 9-2 3rd $2.80
#10 Fortuna Mia 10-1

Race 8:

#6 Berning Beauty 5-2                15
#9 Barron’s Bounce 6-1              14 1st $14.00
#4 Senegal 8-1                              14
#7 Tiz the Prince 4-1                   13 2nd $7.80

Race 9:

#7 Playingwithmatches 8-1        28
#12 Thank You Jon 10-1              27 4th
#11 South Street 10-1                  26
#10 Uncle Marty 5-1                     26

Race 10:

#4 Better Humor Me 5-1            28 2nd $5.20
#8 Foxy Cara 4-1                          27 1st $25.40 Ex $123.50
#9 Easy Play 8-1                           26 3rd $4.60 Tri $584
#2 Enfuega 4-1                             25

Race 11:

#10 Bourbon Day 5-2                  32
#4 Street Ready 5-1                     31
#2 Marwad (GB) 6-1                    30
#8 American Diamond 8-1         29

Dirt Selections

#14 Ice Time 12-1 scratched
#13 Skylander 4-1 3rd $2.70
#16 Colloquy 5-1 1st $13.80
#11 Suerte 3-1 scratched 
#15 Rocco Strong 6-1 2nd $5.40 Tri $153

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  3,1a/1,5,6

Race 2:  5,1,2 Dirt: 2,10,9

Race 3:  5,6

Race 4:  10,8,5 Dirt:  8,5,16 *5 scratched using 8,16,7

Race 5:  4,5

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,1,2,9 Dirt: 2,10,9,8

Race 3:  5,6,3,4

Race 4:  10,8,5,2 Dirt:  8,5,16,12 *5 scratched using 8,16,7

Race 5:  4,5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4:  10,8,5,2 Dirt: 8,5,16,12 *5 scratched using 8,16,7

Race 5:  4,5,3

Race 6:  6,2,1,10 Dirt: 16,4,8,11

Race 7:  6,8,5,2 Dirt: 11,9,5,4

Race 8:  6,9

$.50 Ticket:  $192

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5:  4,5

Race 6:  6,2,1,10 Dirt: 16,4,8,11

Race 7:  6,8,5,2 Dirt: 11,9,5,4

Race 8:  6,9,4,7

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 6:  6,2,1,10 Dirt: 16,4,8,11

Race 7:  6,8 Dirt: 11,9

Race 8:  6,9,4

Race 9:  7,12,11

Race 10: 4,8

Race 11:  10 Dirt: 13

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  6,8,5,2 Dirt: 11,9,5,4

Race 8:  6,9,4,7

Race 9:  7,12,11,10

Race 10: 4,8

Race 11:  10,4 Dirt: 14,13 *14 scratched using 13,16

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  6,9,4,7

Race 9:  7,12,11,10

Race 10: 4,8,9,2

Race 11:  10,4 Dirt: 14,13 *14 scratched using 13,16

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.