A Winning Day at the Races!

August 20th , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9759/14834, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6544/14834. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Please visit the “Membership Page” for a One DayTwo Day or a Full Meet Pass…

*Saratoga Meet Pass for the remainder of the 2021 Spa Meet $79.99

*This weekend all content will be posted here on the Free Page…

*Friday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#7 Chao 3-1                                   28
#6 Subsidize 7-2                           28
#4 City Magic 6-1                         27
#2 Hilliard 5-2                               27

Dirt Selections

#3 Fingal 4-1 3rd
#1 Mr. Briggs 7-5 1st $4.50
#4 City Magic 6-1 2nd $5.50
#6 Subsidize 7-2 scratched

Race 2 :

#6 Makin My Move 9-5                  17 1st $4.50
#4 Empire Lily 3-1                          16
#3 Speranza 5-2                              15 scratched
#7 Bells On Her Toes 12-1             14

Race 3 :

#6 Scuttlebuzz 9-5                          30
#1 Alphalfa 9-2                                29
#2 Three Outlaws 7-2                     28
#5 Scocciatore 4-1                           27

Dirt Selections

#3 Market Alert 8-5 2nd $3.20
#5 Scocciatore 4-1 1st $4.90
#7 Call Me Harry 5-1 scratched

Race 4 :

#1a Recidivist 7-5                           17 scratched
#6 Clemenza 3-1                             16 scratched
#3 My Cousin Rich 4-1                   16 2nd $2.40
#1 Abdan 7-5                                    15 scratched

Race 5 :

#2 Resilient Courage 7-2               15
#8 Achilles Heel 5-2                       14
#3 Kingham Hill 12-1                     13
#9 Kingdom On Paws 8-1              12

Dirt Selections

#4 Sundaeswithsandy 6-1 4th
#5 Excursionniste 10-1 3rd $5.40
#2 Resilient Courage 7-2 2nd $4.80
#8 Achilles Heel 5-2 1st $7.60 Spr $1183

Race 6 :

#4 Capital Structure (GB) 2-1      32
#2 Flighty Lady (IRE) 9-5              31 3rd $2.70
#3 La Dragontea (GB) 4-1             30 1st $8.80
#1 Bramble Bay 20-1                      28

Dirt Selections

#7 Singita Dreams 1-1
#1 Bramble Bay 20-1
#5 Emilia’s Moon 8-1
#9 Enjoyitwhilewecan 8-1

Race 7 :

#1 Road to Success 2-1                   27 2nd $2.90
#6 Gimme Some Mo 5-2                 26 1st $5.10
#8 Moonlight Now 8-1                    25
#7 Breaking Stones 10-1                 25 scratched

Race 8 :

#7 Full Court Press 12-1                  29 1st $34.20
#6 Mister Luigi 10-1                         28 2nd $4.90
#1 Wicked Indeed 6-1                      28 4th Ex $126
#2 Likeable 8-1                                  27

Race 9 :

#8 Pure Panic 2-1                             28
#9 Overbore 5-2                                28
#6 Bonus Appreciation 12-1           27
#1 Barone Cesco 8-1                         26

Dirt Selections

#2 Averly Jane 2-1 1st $5.20
#6 Bonus Appreciation 12-1 Dbl $97
#4 Backnthewoods 6-1
#7 Golden Bell 5-1

Race 10 :

#5 Hard Won 8-1                              17 *Best Bet
#10 Never Content (IRE) 7-2         15
#9 Sweet Mission 5-1                      15
#3 Gabby Squared 3-1                     14

Dirt Selections

#6 Malibu Anthem 15-1 4th
#1 Salino 6-1 3rd $2.90
#5 Hard Won 8-1 scratched
#8 Dearest Kitten 8-1 2nd $5.90

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  7,6,4,2 Dirt : 3,1,4,6 1

Race 2 :  6,4,3 6

Race 3 :  6,1,2 Dirt : 3,5 5

Race 4 :  1a/1,6 *6 scratched using 1a/1,3 1/5

Race 5 :  2,8 Dirt : 4,5 x

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  6,4,3,7 6

Race 3 :  6,1,2,5 Dirt : 3,5,7 5

Race 4 :  1a/1,6 *6 scratched using 1a/1,3 1/5

Race 5 :  2,8,3,9 Dirt : 4,5,2,8 8

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Pick 6 :

Race 5 :  2,8 Dirt : 4,5 x

Race 6 :  4,2,3 Dirt : 7,1,5 3

Race 7 :  1,6 6

Race 8 :  7,6,1 7

Race 9 :  8,9 Dirt : 2,6 2

Race 10 : 5,10,9 Dirt : 6,1,5 *5 scratched using 6,1,8 x

$1.00 Ticket :  $216

Late Pick 5 :

Race 6 :  4,2,3,1 Dirt : 7,1,5,9 3

Race 7 :  1,6,8 6

Race 8 :  7,6,1,2 7

Race 9 :  8,9 Dirt : 2,6 2

Race 10 : 5,10,9 Dirt : 6,1,5 x

$.50 Ticket :  $144

Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  1,6 6

Race 8 :  7,6,1,2 7

Race 9 :  8,9,6,1 Dirt : 2,6,4,7 2

Race 10 : 5,10,9,3 Dirt : 6,1,5,8 x

$.50 Ticket :  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 


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