August 21st, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

• August 20, 2024
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,922/21,375 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,842/21,375. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Wednesday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Vintage Vino 7-2                   20
#1 Factor Analysis 5-2               19
#3 The Jackal 8-1                        18
#7 De La Cruz 8-1                       18

Dirt Selections

#4 Protective 8-5 1st $2.10
#8 Accidental Bid 10-1 4th
#9 Elko County 9-2 2nd $2.60

Race 2:

#8 Joker On Fire 5-1                  18 4th
#10 Toga Life 8-1                       17
#7 Bold Fortune 4-1                  17 3rd $3.70
#2 Just Licorice 8-1                    16 scratched

Race 3:

#3 Foreign Relations 5-2          34 scratched
#2 Andthewinneris 3-1             33 3rd $2.20
#1 Six Minus 3-1                         32 2nd $3.80
#6 Cathkin Peak (IRE) 2-1         31 1st $9.90 Tri $32

Dirt Selections

#8 Costa Terra 3-1
#4 Curbstone 12-1
#7 Kuchar 7-5

Race 4:

#1 Six Percent 2-1                       31 4th
#5 Accidental Hero 8-5              30 1st $4.30
#7 Roman Empire 10-1              29
#8 Daddy Knows 12-1                 28 scratched

Race 5:

#3 Ice Road 6-1                          29
#5 More Vino 9-5                       29 1st $5.00
#7 Bonne Chance 8-1                28 scratched
#6 Barrell Craft 5-1                    27 2nd $5.20

Race 6:

#4 Playful Lass 10-1                   19
#10 Heavenly Light 10-1           18
#8 Marvelous Madison 4-1       18
#5 Grace and Grit 5-1                 17

Dirt Selections

#4 Playful Lass 10-1 1st $8.10
#13 Open Flame 5-2
#12 Cha Cha Wren 7-2 3rd $3.20
#5 Grace and Grit 5-1 scratched
#10 Heavenly Light 10-1 2nd $6.80

Race 7:

#2 Runnin’ Ray 7-2                   33 1st $5.50 Dbl $29.60
#8 Complete Agenda 5-1         32 4th
#6 St Andrews 6-1                     31
#3 It’s Viper 6-1                         31

Race 8:

#4 Twisted Filigree 5-1            29
#5 Li’l Lang 4-1                          28
#9 Big Prankster 7-2                 27
#6 Your Man Alex 6-1               27

Dirt Selections

#13 On the Hill 2-1
#9 Big Prankster 7-2 1st $7.90
#1 Limit Up 15-1
#1a Graywing 15-1 3rd $3.50
#12 Scaramanga 6-1 scratched

Race 9:

#11 Dignified Response 9-2    17
#4 Sweet Fantasy 4-1               16
#2 Shoot the Waves 8-1           15
#9 Mythical Man 5-2                15

Dirt Selections

#14 Tapwrits Temper 4-1
#12 Ameria’s Honor 8-1 AE
#6 Reteko 10-1
#13 King’s Leap 5-1
#2 Shoot the Waves 8-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,1 Dirt: 4,8

Race 2:  8,10,7,2

Race 3:  3,2,1,6 Dirt: 8,4,7

Race 4:  1,5

Race 5:  3,5,7,6

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  8,10,7,2

Race 3:  3,2,1,6 Dirt: 8,4,7

Race 4:  1,5

Race 5:  3,5,7,6

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  3,2,1,6 Dirt: 8,4,7

Race 4:  1,5,7,8

Race 5:  3,5

Race 6:  4,10,8,5 Dirt: 4,13,12,5 *5 scratched using 4,13,12,10

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  1

Race 5:  3,5

Race 6:  4,10,8,5 Dirt: 4,13,12,5 *5 scratched using 4,13,12,10

Race 7:  2,8

Race 8:  4,5 Dirt: 13,9

Race 9:  11,4 Dirt: 14,12 *12 scratched using 14,6

$1.00 Ticket:  $128

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  3,5,7,6

Race 6:  4,10,8,5 Dirt: 4,13,12,5 *5 scratched using 4,13,12,10

Race 7:  2,8,6

Race 8:  4,5,9 Dirt: 13,9,1/1a

Race 9:  11,4 Dirt:  14,12 *12 scratched using 14,6

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  4,10,8,5 Dirt: 4,13,12,5 *5 scratched using 4,13,12,10

Race 7:  2,8,6,3

Race 8:  4,5,9,6 Dirt: 13,9,1/1a,12

Race 9:  11,4 Dirt: 14,12 *12 scratched using 14,6

$.50 Ticket:  $64

 “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.