A Winning Day at the Races!

August 22nd, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,930/21,384 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,846/21,384. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*No Picks Friday & will not be able to make adjustments if any races come off turf Thursday…

*Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays…

Saratoga Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Miss Welch 3-1                     18 scratched
#7 Five G 6-1                              18
#8 With the Angels 6-1            17 1st $4.00
#6 Pretty Magical 12-1             16

Race 2:

#4 Beaute Cachee (FR) 5-2      37 1st $7.10
#3 Delahaye 4-1                         36 3rd
#1 Surprisingly 6-1                    35 4th
#2 Coppice (GB) 5-2                  34 scratched 

Race 3:

#3 Sy B 2-1                                 34 3rd $2.60
#1 In Time (FR) 3-1                  33 1st $5.60
#4 Glittering Lights (GB) 9-5  33
#7 Justdeny 4-1                         32 2nd $6.10

Race 4:

#5 Saffa’s Day 8-1                     29
#1a Mister J T 5-1                     28 3rd $2.30
#9 Briterdayzahead 4-1           27 2nd $4.00
#6 Master of Arms 9-5             27 1st $7.10

Race 5:

#5 Stingy 8-1                             28 scratched
#2 Improbable Journey 9-5    27 scratched
#3 Anthracite 10-1                   27 scratched
#1 Upside Potential 5-1           26 scratched

Race 6:

#9 Authenticate Now 6-1        16
#10 Someone 5-1                      15
#5 Mezcalifornia 4-1                15
#6 Teca 9-2                                 14

Race 7:

#7 Headline Numbers 8-5       32
#2 Central Avenue 9-2              31
#4 Whocouldaskformo 9-2      30
#3 Fade to Grey 5-1                   29

Race 8:

#3 Gulfport 8-5                          33
#7 Runninsonofagun 8-1         32
#5 Kavod 5-1                               31
#6 Gun It 9-2                               31

Race 9:

#3 Can’t Fool Me 7-2                29
#10 Im Just Kiddin 4-1             28
#9 Solib 5-1                                 27
#4 Overacting 5-2                      27

Race 10:

#5 Blackfoot Daisy 15-1           19
#3 Arrasou 7-2                           18
#2 Precisely 8-1                         17
#9 Seine 12-1                              17

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,7,8

Race 2:  4,3

Race 3:  3,1,4

Race 4:  5,1a/1,9,6

Race 5:  5,2,3,1 *5,2,3,1 scratched using 9,6

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  4,3,1,2

Race 3:  3,1,4,7

Race 4:  5,1a/1,9

Race 5:  5,2,3 *5,2,3 scratched using 9,6

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  5,1a/1,9,6

Race 5:  5,2,3,1 *5,2,3,1 scratched using 9,6

Race 6:  9,10,5

Race 7:  7,2,4

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 6:

Race 5:  5,2,3,1 *5,2,3,1 scratched using 9,6

Race 6:  9,10,5

Race 7:  7,2

Race 8:  3

Race 9:  3,10,9

Race 10: 5,3,2

$1.00 Ticket:  $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  9,10,5,6

Race 7:  7,2,4,3

Race 8:  3,7,5

Race 9:  3,10

Race 10: 5,3,2

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  7,2,4

Race 8:  3,7,5

Race 9:  3,10,9,4

Race 10: 5,3,2,9

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 


Information and content on this website is for entertainment and information use only. Any reliance made on such information is at the sole discretion and risk of the user.
Terms & Conditions | Privacy Policy
Print Friendly, PDF & Email