A Winning Day at the Races!

August 24th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,938/21,394 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,852/21,394. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*No Picks Friday…

*Saturday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#8 Geopolitics 4-5                       18 1st $2.90
#6 Empire Magic 7-2                   17 2nd $3.00
#5 Paulas Star Sister 8-1            16 3rd $3.10
#4 Steal the Rhythm 10-1          15

Race 2:

#4 Spirit Prince 9-2                     33 4th
#6 Main Beach 8-1                      32 scratched
#1 Crystal Quest 8-1                   31
#3 Vesting (IRE) 8-1                    31 3rd $3.70

Race 3:

#1 Lord Flintshire 3-1                30 1st $8.80
#3 Topic Changer 7-2                 29 3rd $2.70
#11 Feathers Road 15-1 AE       28 scratched
#4 Addicted to You 6-1              28
#9 Write Off Jerry 6-1                 27 2nd $5.40

Race 4:

#4 Costa Terra 7-2                      33 2nd $5.10
#6 Can’t Hush This 5-2             33 3rd $2.70
#5 Jace’s Road 7-2                       32
#2 Arro Smash 9-2                      31 1st $7.30

Race 5:

#7 Mischievous Angel 9-2         34 4th
#1a Bring Theband Home 7-5   33 1st $4.30
#4 Mid Day Image 6-1                33
#9 Twenty Six Black 8-1             32 2nd $4.20

Race 6:

#8 Thunder Roll 6-1                    20 2nd $5.60
#12 States’ Right 3-1 AE            20 scratched
#1 Insubordination (IRE) 6-1    19 4th
#4 Hands of Time 5-2                 19 3rd $3.30
#7 Chanticleer 6-1                       18

Race 7:

#10 Sovereignty 8-1                    21 4th
#3 Tip Top Thomas 3-1              20 1st $6.80
#8 C K Wonder 4-1                      19
#1 Freaky 10-1                             19

Race 8:

#8 Slapintheface 6-1                  30 2nd $7.00
#5 Rhetorical 2-1                        29 3rd $2.50
#12 Rabaja 10-1                          29
#10 Willintoriskitall 8-1            28 4th

Race 9:

#4 Silver Knott (GB) 1-1            43 3rd $2.10
#1 Soldier Rising (GB) 8-1        42 scratched
#2 Measured Time (GB) 7-5      41 2nd $2.70
#6 Grand Sonata 10-1                38

Race 10:

#5 Scylla 7-2                                38 2nd $3.90
#3 Vahva 1-1                                38 3rd $2.20
#1 Positano Sunset 15-1            37 4th
#2 Chi Town Lady 20-1              36

Race 11:

#6 Mullikin 8-5                            41 1st $5.30
#5 Run Classic 5-1                      40 scratched
#1 Gun Pilot 3-1                          38 2nd $4.70 Ex $25.60
#8 Cagliostro 9-2                         37 4th

Race 12:

#1 World Record 8-1                  43
#3 Domestic Product 9-2          42 1st $11.00
#2 Speak Easy 8-1                       41
#10 Jefferson Street 12-1          40

Race 13:

#4 Corporate Power 15-1           41
#7 Dornoch 5-2                            40
#8 Fierceness 3-1                         40
#3 Unmatched Wisdom 8-1       39

Race 14:

#8 Treaty Obligation 7-2           17
#7 Always Be Smart 8-1             16
#2 Storm Ready 4-1                    16
#9 Trumptastic 9-2                     15

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  8,6

Race 2:  4,6,1,3 *6 scratched using 4,1,3,5

Race 3:  1,3

Race 4:  4,6,5,2

Race 5:  7,1a/1,4

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  4,6,1,3 *6 scratched using 4,1,3,5

Race 3:  1,3

Race 4:  4,6,5,2

Race 5:  7,1a/1,4

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  1,3,11,4 *11 scratched using 1,3,4,9

Race 4:  4,6,5

Race 5:  7,1a/1,4

Race 6:  8,12,1 *12 scratched using 8,1,4

Race 7:  10,3,8

$.50 Ticket:  $162

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  4,6

Race 5:  7,1a/1,4,9

Race 6:  8,12,1,4 *12 scratched using 8,1,4,7

Race 7:  10,3,8,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  7,1a/1,4

Race 6:  8,12,1,4 *12 scratched using 8,1,4,7

Race 7:  10,3,8

Race 8:  8,5,12,10

Race 9:  4,1 *1 scratched using 4,2

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  8,12,1,4 *12 scratched using 8,1,4,7

Race 7:  10,3,8,1

Race 8:  8,5,12,10

Race 9:  4,1,2 *1 scratched using 4,2,6

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 5 (7-11):

Race 7:  10,3,8,1

Race 8:  8,5,12,10

Race 9:  4,1,2 *1 scratched using 4,2,6

Race 10: 5,3

Race 11:  6,5,1 *5 scratched using 6,1,8

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Pick 6:

Race 8:  8,5,12,10

Race 9:  4

Race 10: 5,3

Race 11:  6,5,1 *5 scratched using 6,1,8

Race 12:  1,3,2

Race 13:  4,7,8

$1.00 Ticket:  $216

Pick 5 (9-13):

Race 9:  4,1,2 *1 scratched using 4,2,6

Race 10: 5,3,1,2

Race 11:  6,5,1 *5 scratched using 6,1,8

Race 12:  1,3,2

Race 13:  4,7

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 10: 5,3,1,2

Race 11:  6,5,1 *5 scratched using 6,1,8

Race 12:  1,3,2

Race 13:  4,7,8

Race 14:  8,7,2

$.50 Ticket:  $162

Late Pick 4:

Race 11:  6,5,1,8

Race 12:  1,3,2,10

Race 13:  4,7,8,3

Race 14:  8,7,2

$.50 Ticket:  $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 


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