August 25th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,946/21,408 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,860/21,408. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Sunday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#1 Bellacose 2-1 30 scratched
#4 Accelerating 8-5 29 1st $2.80
#5 Carmen’s Candy Jar 2-1 29 2nd $2.60
#2 Central to Success 6-1 28 3rd

Race 2:

#1 Annexperience 5-2 19 2nd $5.20
#5 Calling Card 5-1 18
#3 Swift Magic 7-2 18
#6 More Therapy 9-2 17 3rd $4.30

Race 3:

#4 Dr. Kraft 3-1 33 3rd $2.30
#5 Silver Satin 9-2 32 1st $8.50
#2 Elysian Meadows 4-1 31
#3 Bourbon Chase 2-1 31 2nd $4.50

Race 4:

#1 Dakota Gold 6-1 35 1st $18.80
#4 Spirit of St Louis 1-2 34 2nd $2.20 Ex $29.80
#2 City Man 3-1 33 3rd $2.20 Tri $50.48
#5 Jerry the Nipper 10-1 32 4th Spr $128

Race 5:

#6 Doc Sullivan 8-5 34 2nd $2.10
#4 Pandagate 4-5 34 1st $3.40
#2 Skyler’s Starship 10-1 33 scratched
#5 Liberty Central 8-1 32 3rd $2.40

Race 6:

#2 Grace and Grit 4-1 18 scratched
#7 Tahila 2-1 18 2nd $3.10
#4 Charlotte’s Heart 3-1 17 1st $8.10 Ex $20.60
#9 Bam’s Bliss Kiss 10-1 16 3rd $3.90 Tri $88

Race 7:

#4 Starts Now 12-1 30
#7 Island Fox 9-2 29
#6 She Takes Cash 15-1 28 4th
#9 Lakeside Getaway 7-2 28 scratched

Race 8:

#9 Caldwell Luvs Gold 6-1 33
#2 Landed 5-2 32 1st $5.50
#4 Dolomite 5-1 31 2nd $3.30
#8 My Mane Squeeze 8-5 31 scratched

Race 9:

#8 In the Chase 6-1 32 4th
#10 Mo Plex 5-2 31 1st $4.00
#7 Under Who’s Radar 3-1 30
#1 Smilensaycheese 6-1 30

Race 10:

#1 Spinning Colors 8-1 31
#5 Silver Skillet 8-5 30
#4 Whatlovelookslike 7-2 30 3rd $6.30
#7 Moonage Daydream 6-1 29 1st $29.00

Race 11:

#9 In All My Dreams 8-1 18
#1 North End Lady 9-2 17 1st $8.00
#2 Capital Spending 7-2 17
#5 Luna Patina 15-1 16

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 1,4,5

Race 2: 1,5,3

Race 3: 4,5,2

Race 4: 1,4

Race 5: 6,4

$.50 Ticket: $54

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 1,5,3,6

Race 3: 4,5,2,3

Race 4: 1,4,2

Race 5: 6,4

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4: 1,4,2

Race 5: 6,4

Race 6: 2,7,4

Race 7: 4,7,6,9

Race 8: 9,2

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5: 6,4

Race 6: 2,7,4,9

Race 7: 4,7,6,9

Race 8: 9,2,4,8

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 6: 2,7,4

Race 7: 4,7,6,9

Race 8: 9,2

Race 9: 8,10

Race 10: 1

Race 11: 9,1,2

$1.00 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 4,7,6,9

Race 8: 9,2,4,8

Race 9: 8,10,7

Race 10: 1,5,4

Race 11: 9,1,2

$.50 Ticket: $216

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 9,2,4,8

Race 9: 8,10,7

Race 10: 1,5,4

Race 11: 9,1,2,5

$.50 Ticket: $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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