A Winning Day at the Races!

August 28th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,418/23,772 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,973/23,772. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*No “Membership” needed, all content will continue to be posted here daily through the Saratoga meet…

*Thank you for all the well wishes!!…Dealing with a significant health issue, got quite a scare…Will post Picks when up to it…

*Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks & Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Oh 5-1                                 18 1st $19.20
#4 Back to Khali 15-1            17
#7 San Antonio Sara 9-2       17 3rd $2.70
#9 Factory Setting 5-2           16 2nd $3.50

Race 2:

#6 Cadenza 4-1                       19 1st $3.90 Dbl $60.00
#10 Market Hours 9-2            18
#8 Mousseline 6-1                  18
#4 Big Imagination 6-1          17

Race 3:

#7 The Boondocker 8-5          28 4th
#1 Mo Go 3-1                            28 3rd $3.10
#3 Blown Cover 5-1                 27
#2 Shattuck 9-2                        26 1st $8.60

Race 4:

#3 Alluring Angel (GB) 10-1  34 4th
#5 Kathynmarissa 9-5             33 1st $3.70
#7 Immensitude (FR) 6-1        32 2nd $4.80
#8 Noir (FR) 4-1                        32

Race 5:

#6 Bye Bye Miles 5-2                31 4th
#2 Uncle Jim 8-1                        30 3rd $3.90
#4 Tactical Trackstar 4-1         29
#1 Bob’s Carrot 6-1                   28

Race 6:

#5 Absolute Smoke 4-1             19 4th
#1 Lake Ariel 6-1                        18
#6 Rina’s Revenge 6-1               18 1st $9.50
#8 Magic in My Eyes 9-2           17 2nd $6.20

Race 7:

#6 One More Freud 6-1             29 scratched 
#3 Capital Partner (GB) 5-2      28 3rd $2.10
#5 Dr. Agne 7-2                            28 4th
#4 Caroline St. Beat 9-2             27 scratched 

Race 8:

#10 Disclaimer 10-1                    20 scratched 
#4 Cromwell 10-1                        19
#2 A Bourbon for Toby 7-2         19 2nd $5.30
#7 Orgonite 6-1                            18 3rd $3.90

Race 9:

#4 Barksdale 8-1                           33
#9 Twenty Four Mamba 5-2       32 2nd $3.30
#5 Reddington 9-2                        31 3rd $3.30
#1 Bramito 6-1                              30 1st $11.00

Race 10:

#1 Cynane 4-1                                31 1st $6.40
#4 Competitive Threat 2-1          30 3rd $2.30
#8 Life Advice 6-1                         29
#3 Aviso 5-1                                    28 4th

Race 11:

#9 Chief No Way (IRE) 9-2          18
#6 Lough Currane 15-1                17
#8 Billy White Shoes 4-1             16
#2 Repurpose (GB) 7-2                 16

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,4,7,9

Race 2:  6,10,8,4

Race 3:  7,1

Racc 4:  3,5,7

Race 5:  6,2,4

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,10,8,4

Race 3:  7,1

Race 4:  3,5,7,8

Race 5:  6,2,4,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  7,1,3

Race 4:  3,5,7

Race 5:  6,2,4

Race 6:  5,1,6

Race 7:  6,3 *6 scratched using 3,5

$.50 Ticket:  $81

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  3,5,7,8

Race 5:  6,2,4,1

Race 6:  5,1,6

Race 7:  6,3,5 *6 scratched using 3,5,7

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  6,2,4

Race 6:  5,1,6

Race 7:  6,3,5 *6 scratched using 3,5,7

Race 8:  10,4,2,7 *10 scratched using 4,2,7,11

Race 9:  4,9,5

$.50 Ticket:  $162

Pick 6:

Race 6:  5,1,6,8

Race 7:  6,3,5 *6 scratched using 3,5,7

Race 8:  10,4,2 *10 scratched using 4,2,7

Race 9:  4,9

Race 10: 1,4

Race 11:  9

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  6,3,5 *6 scratched using 3,5,7

Race 8:  10,4,2,7 *10 scratched using 4,2,7,11

Race 9:  4,9,5

Race 10: 1,4

Race 11:  9,6,8,2

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  10,4,2,7 *10 scratched using 4,2,7,11

Race 9:  4,9,5

Race 10: 1,4,8

Race 11:  9,6,8,2

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 


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