
A Winning Day at the Races!
August 30th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays
*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,965/21,439 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,872/21,439. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…
*Friday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…
Saratoga Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#7 Incanto (IRE) 3-1 20
#8 Gate to Wire 2-1 19 1st $5.90
#2 Gene and Jude 9-2 18 3rd $3.90
#3 Tiz Dashing 5-1 17 scratched
Race 2:
#1 Scythian 3-1 18 1st $8.20
#9 Real Savvy 8-1 17 2nd $4.50 Ex $33
#3 Sounds Like a Plan 8-1 16 scratched
#2 Iron Max 7-2 16
Race 3:
#6 Cut the Cord 5-2 30 1st $7.50 Dbl $29.60
#4 Mighty Atlas 2-1 29 4th
#5 Leftembehind 5-1 28 3rd $3.20
#3 Neural Network 3-1 28 2nd $2.80 Spr $156
Race 4:
#4 Dillinger 2-1 31 2nd $2.70
#1a Tommy Two Socks 5-2 30 1st e $6.90 Ex $13.80
#7 Show Time 9-5 29
#5 Turn Up the Trees 12-1 28
Race 5:
#1 Backstretch Rose 5-2 29 1st $3.50
#2 Pitch Clock 7-5 29 scratched
#5 Pam Pam 4-1 28 3rd
#3 Devil Blue Dress 10-1 27 scratched
Race 6:
#6 The Process 9-2 34 3rd $3.50
#5 The Big Torpedo 5-2 33
#1 West Hollywood 2-1 33 1st $4.70
#4 Yo Daddy 8-1 32 2nd $4.50
Race 7:
#8 Gaga’s Hamsome 10-1 17
#11 Melle Mel 3-1 AE 17 scratched
#9 Divine Works 6-1 16 2nd $4.10
#4 Very Cosmopolitan 9-2 15 3rd $4.30
#6 Bouvier 6-1 15
Race 8:
#8 Dark Magic 6-1 19
#10 Deemer 4-1 18 2nd $4.80
#4 Orie 9-2 17
#2 National Archive 7-2 17 4th
Race 9:
#10 Off Script 7-5 19 2nd $2.60
#11 Endless Vow 5-1 AE 18 scratched
#1 Moonlight Gal 6-1 17
#7 Early On 3-1 16 4th
#5 Valtellina 8-1 16 1st $23.20
Race 10:
#4 Emirates Road 9-2 31 1st $5.20
#1 Chileno 6-5 30 scratched
#2 Watasha 12-1 29 scratched
#8 Harvard 8-1 28 2nd $4.60 Ex $17.40
Race 11:
#5 Candi Girl 9-2 29
#10 Linarite 6-1 28
#9 Tipsy Runner 6-1 27
#2 Hurricane Debbie 3-1 27
Race 12:
#9 Sebastianthe First 6-1 17
#1 Daybright Delights 9-2 16
#4 Oreno 15-1 15
#2 New York Scrappy 5-2 15
Saratoga Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 7,8,2,3
Race 2: 1,9,3,2
Race 3: 6,4
Race 4: 4,1a/1
Race 5: 1,2 *2 scratched using 1,5
$.50 Ticket: $64 $166.75
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 1,9,3,2
Race 3: 6,4
Race 4: 4,1a/1,7,5
Race 5: 1,2,5,3
$.50 Ticket: $64 $42.37
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 4,1a/1,7
Race 5: 1,2,5
Race 6: 6,5,1
Race 7: 8,11,9,4
$.50 Ticket: $54
Pick 5 (5-9):
Race 5: 1,2 *2 scratched using 1,5
Race 6: 6,5,1,4
Race 7: 8,11,9,4
Race 8: 8,10,4
Race 9: 10,11,1 *11 scratched using 10,1,7
$.50 Ticket: $144
Pick 4 (6-9):
Race 6: 6,5,1
Race 7: 8,11,9,4
Race 8: 8,10,4,2
Race 9: 10,11,1,7 *11 scratched using 10,1,7,5
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 6:
Race 7: 8,11,9,4
Race 8: 8,10,4
Race 9: 10
Race 10: 4,1 *1 scratched using 4,2
Race 11: 5,10,9
Race 12: 9,1
$1.00 Ticket: $144
Late Pick 5:
Race 8: 8,10,4,2
Race 9: 10,11,1,7 *11 scratched using 10,1,7,5
Race 10: 4,1 *1 scratched using 4,2
Race 11: 5,10,9
Race 12: 9,1
$.50 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 4:
Race 9: 10,11,1,7 *11 scratched using 10,1,7,5
Race 10: 4,1,2,8
Race 11: 5,10,9
Race 12: 9,1,4,2
$.50 Ticket: $96
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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