A Winning Day at the Races!

August 30th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,430/23,795 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,981/23,795. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*No “Membership” needed, all content will continue to be posted here daily through the Saratoga meet…

*Thank you for all the well wishes!!…Dealing with a significant health issue, got quite a scare…Will post Picks when up to it…

*Saturday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks & Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#7 Waitin’onasunnyday 4-1         18 4th
#9 Jolted 7-2                                    18
#2 Neigh Baby 3-1                          17 2nd $6.00
#3 Imagine John 5-1                      16 1st $14.80

Race 2:

#8 Twirling Lad 5-1                        17 2nd $3.70
#1 Coach Ryan 3-1                          16
#4 You’re Lookin Good 9-2           16
#5 Constant Chaos 10-1                15

Race 3:

#3 Trust Fund 9-2                           33 1st $6.70
#2 Braciole 12-1                              32
#5 What’s Up Bro 5-2                     32
#1 Runaway Joke 7-2                      31 4th

Race 4:

#6 Set 3-1                                          34 2nd $3.50
#5 Creditworthy 5-2                        33 1st $10.40 Ex $42.40
#7 Twisted Filigree 6-1                   32 3rd $3.70 Tri $192
#1 Final Verdict 4-1                         31

Race 5:

#2 Tough Street 3-1                         31 2nd $4.60
#5 Mitole’s Girl 15-1                        29
#9 Bobby M’s Girl 15-1                    28
#1a Malu 4-1                                      28 scratched 

Race 6:

#9 Silent Scheme 15-1                     20
#3 Accost 3-1                                     20 4th
#1 Stradale 5-2                                  19 2nd $3.00
#4 Talkin 9-2                                      19 1st $20.60

Race 7:

#3 Delightful Claire 6-5                   32 2nd $2.70
#5 Long Neck Paula 8-5                   31 4th
#4 Stone Smuggler 8-1                     29
#1 Flat Out Time 10-1                      28 3rd $3.20

Race 8:

#6 Dragones 5-2                                21 2nd $4.30
#8 Ima Big Bad Wolf 6-1                  19 3rd $6.10
#7 Buntus Foclora 12-1                    19
#2 Our Magical Moon 5-1                18 4th

Race 9:

#4 Shoot It True 5-2                          31 1st $3.60
#12 Miriam’s Fire (GB) 12-1            29
#7 Briland 5-1                                     28 scratched 
#2 Girls Rock 6-1                                28 4th

Race 10:

#4 La Mehana (FR) 2-1                     37 4th
#8 Bellezza (IRE) 4-1                         35 1st $7.50
#1 Marksman Queen (GB) 8-1         34
#5 In Time (FR) 15-1                          33 scratched 

Race 11:

#8 Tommy Jo 2-1                               33 1st $4.00
#5 Percy’s Bar 6-1                              32 2nd $3.60 Ex $13.00
#4 Mythical 5-2                                  32
#1 Ornellaia 9-2                                  31 scratched

Race 12:

#4 Surveillance 7-2                            36 4th
#8 Victory Way 4-1                             35 3rd $4.80
#5 Acoustic Ave 8-1                            34 1st $15.60
#7 Whatchatalkinabout 3-1              34 2nd $4.20 Spr $1,918

Race 13:

#12 Main Beach 9-2                           33
#5 Debt Limit (FR) 3-1                       32
#7 Irish Gent (IRE) 10-1                     31
#10 Without Caution 8-1                   30

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  7,9,2

Race 2:  8,1,4

Race 3:  3,2,5,1

Race 4:  6,5

Race 5:  2,5,9,1a *1a scratched using 2,5,9,8

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  8,1,4,5

Race 3:  3,2,5,1

Race 4:  6,5

Race 5:  2,5,9,1a *1a scratched using 2,5,9,8

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  3,2,5,1

Race 4:  6,5,7

Race 5:  2,5,9,1a *1a scratched using 2,5,9,8

Race 6:  9,3,1

Race 7:  3,5

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  6,5

Race 5:  2,5,9,1a *1a scratched using 2,5,9,8

Race 6:  9,3,1,4

Race 7:  3,5

$.50 Ticket:  $32

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  2,5,9,1a *1a scratched using 2,5,9,8

Race 6:  9,3,1,4

Race 7:  3,5

Race 8:  6,8,7,2

Race 9:  4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  9,3,1,4

Race 7:  3,5

Race 8:  6,8,7,2

Race 9:  4,12,7,2 *7 scratched using 4,12,2,5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (7-11):

Race 7:  3,5

Race 8:  6,8,7,2

Race 9:  4,12,7,2 *7 scratched using 4,12,2,5

Race 10: 4,8

Race 11:  8,5,4

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 6:

Race 8:  6

Race 9:  4

Race 10: 4,8,1,5

Race 11:  8,5,4,1

Race 12:  4,8,5

Race 13:  12,5,7

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 9:  4,12,7,2 *7 scratched using 4,12,2,5

Race 10:  4,8,1

Race 11:  8,5,4,1

Race 12:  4,8,5

Race 13:  12,5

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 10: 4,8,1,5

Race 11:  8,5,4,1

Race 12:  4,8,5

Race 13:  12,5,7

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 


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