A Winning Day at the Races!

August 31st, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,973/21,451 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,879/21,451. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Saturday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 Printer’s Alley 6-5                 18 4th
#9 Bernie Goes Boom 8-1          17
#3 Friday Surprise 5-2                17 2nd $3.60
#7 Executive Order 6-1               16 1st $12.60

Race 2:

#3 Royal Presence 7-2                19 scratched 
#9 Executive 12-1                       18 3rd $8.30
#5 Battle Drum (FR) 4-1            18
#2 Authentic Gallop 8-1            17 2nd $5.40

Race 3:

#6 Your Man Alex 9-2                29 4th
#7 Nano Man 7-2                        28
#1 Street Rod 6-1                        27
#3 Twisted Filigree 3-1              27 2nd $4.30

Race 4:

#2 Torpedo Run 6-1                   16 scratched
#7 Confabulation 5-2                 15 2nd $2.90
#4 Conniving 9-2                        14 1st $9.90 Ex $20.20
#8 Shakin the Belle 3-1              14 4th

Race 5:

#2 Top Gunner 6-1                    34 scratched 
#5 Federal Judge 2-1                 33 1st $3.80
#7 Ocean’s Reserve 15-1           32
#4 Light Man 8-1                        31 3rd $2.80

Race 6:

#2 Cat Chat 15-1                        19
#10 Black Dog 8-1                      18
#6 Brindi (IRE) 5-2                     18 4th
#5 Laurice 7-2                             17 1st $9.80

Race 7:

#4 Zadorsky 5-2                         32 2nd $2.70
#5 Cara’s Time 7-2                     31
#9 Miss Enchanted 6-1             30 1st $12.20
#3 Best Impression 10-1           29

Race 8:

#3 Tap Into This 3-1                  20 3rd $2.70
#4 Dapper Moon 5-1                  19 1st $10.80
#2 Guns Loaded 6-1                   18 2nd $6.40 Tri $171
#1 Luca’s Mischief 12-1             18

Race 9:

#2 Fly Right 10-1                       31 3rd $8.00
#5 Unleash the Power 6-1        31
#9 Samburu (GB) 7-2                 30 4th
#8 Victors Valiant 8-1               29

Race 10:

#7 Two Sharp 7-5                       33 2nd $2.80
#3 Tricky Temper 7-2                32
#9 Brightwork 9-2                      31 1st $7.10
#5 Carmelina 10-1                     30

Race 11:

#7 Pondering 6-1                        32
#11 Quietside 3-1                       31
#10 Bellacose 15-1                      31
#8 The Queens M G 7-2             30

Race 12:

#4 Eternal Hope (IRE) 5-1        39
#7 McKulick (GB) 3-1                 38
#1 War Like Goddess 7-5           37
#3 Parnac (FR) 12-1                    35

Race 13:

#7 Devilsgotacause 6-1             29
#12 Palace View (IRE) 7-2         28
#6 Jhirsch 5-1                              28
#4 Miztertonic 8-1                      27

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  4,9,3

Race 2:  3,9,5,2 *3 scratched using 9,5,2,6

Race 3:  6,7,1,3

Race 4:  2,7 *2 scratched using 7,4

Race 5:  2,5 *2 scratched using 5,7

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  3,9,5,2 *3 scratched using 9,5,2,6

Race 3:  6,7,1,3

Race 4:  2,7,4 *2 scratched using 7,4,8

Race 5:  2,5,7 *2 scratched using 5,7,4

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  6,7,1,3

Race 4:  2,7,4,8

Race 5:  2,5 *2 scratched using 5,7

Race 6:  2,10,6

Race 7:  4,5

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  2,7,4,8

Race 5:  2,5,7,4

Race 6:  2,10,6,5

Race 7:  4,5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  2,5,7,4

Race 6:  2,10,6,5

Race 7:  4,5

Race 8:  3,4

Race 9:  2,5,9

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  2,10,6,5

Race 7:  4,5

Race 8:  3,4

Race 9:  2,5,9

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 5 (7-11):

Race 7:  4,5,9,3

Race 8:  3,4,2

Race 9:  2,5,9

Race 10: 7,3

Race 11:  7,11,10

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Pick 6:

Race 8:  3,4

Race 9:  2,5,9

Race 10: 7,3,9

Race 11:  7,11

Race 12:  4,7,1

Race 13:  7,12

$1.00 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 9:  2,5,9,8

Race 10: 7,3,9

Race 11:  7,11,10,8

Race 12:  4,7,1

Race 13:  7,12

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 10: 7,3,9,5

Race 11:  7,11,10,8

Race 12:  4,7,1

Race 13:  7,12,6

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 

 


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