August 6th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

• August 6, 2022
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,160/17,008, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,606/17,008. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*5 on top winners on Friday’s Saratoga card for us…15 on top winners from 30 races this week at Saratoga…

*Saturday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#7 Battle of Normandy 2-1           19 1st $8.30
#2 Alexis Zorba (GB) 5-2               18 2nd $3.50 Ex $25.20
#5 Red Route One 5-2                    18
#6 Moonflyer 12-1                           17 3rd $6.50

Race 2:

#5 Mostly Harmless 3-1                  16 2nd $4.10
#6 Afilada 5-2                                    15 3rd $2.70
#4 She Caught My Eye 4-1              14 1st $6.80 Tri $68
#1 School of Thought 6-1                14

Race 3:

#2 Khali Magic 9-5                           28 4th
#3 Quality Stones 12-1                    27
#7 Mosienko 4-1                               26 1st $17.40
#4 Miss Alacrity 4-1                         26 2nd $5.70

Race 4:

#8 Turn of Events 6-1                        33
#1 Eyes On Target 2-1                       32 3rd $2.20
#2 Good Governance (GB) 6-5         32 1st $6.30
#5 Famished 15-1                               31

Race 5:

#2 Safe Conduct 6-1                           36
#1 Public Sector (GB) 2-1                  35 4th
#7 Sifting Sands (GB) 5-1                  34 2nd $8.70
#4 Duke of Hazzard (FR) 6-1             33 3rd $6.90

Race 6:

#3 Perform 7-2                                    20
#2 Disarm 5-2                                     20 1st $5.70
#1a Point Proven 2-1                         19
#4 Arthur’s Ride 10-1                        18 2nd $10.80

Race 7:

#6 War Like Goddess 1-2                   42 1st $2.80
#2 Virginia Joy (GER) 5-2                  40 3rd $2.10
#1 Temple City Terror 12-1               38 2nd $6.70 Tri $40
#3 Petricor (GB) 6-1                            36

Race 8:

#8 Saint Tapit 8-5                                32 1st $5.30
#3 Scilly Cay 10-1                                31
#6 Hometown 8-1                                30
#4 Prince of Pharoahs 10-1                29

Race 9:

#1 Matareya 2-5                                     36 3rd $2.10
#6 Hot Peppers 5-1                                32 2nd $6.60
#5 November Rein 10-1                        31
#7 Chi Town Lady 15-1                         30 1st $36.00

Race 10:

#1 Americanrevolution 5-1                  43 scratched
#6 Life Is Good 6-5                                 42 1st $3.70
#4 Olympiad 2-1                                     41 4th
#2 Hot Rod Charlie 9-2                          39 3rd

Race 11:

#4 Nations Pride (IRE) 7-2                    41 1st $6.20
#6 Annapolis 5-2                                    40 2nd $4.80 Ex $29.20
#10 Stone Age (IRE) 9-2                        38
#3 Emmanuel 8-1                                    37

Race 12:

#9 Biondi 7-2                                            16
#10 Conquist 15-1                                   15 4th
#2 Your Mission 5-2                                15
#8 Dreampoint 8-1                                  14

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  7,2,5 7

Race 2:  5,6,4,1 4

Race 3:  2,3,7 7

Race 4:  8,1,2 2

Race 5:  2,1 x

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,6,4,1 4

Race 3:  2,3,7,4 7

Race 4:  8,1,2 2

Race 5:  2,1,7 x

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  2,1,7 x

Race 6:  3,2,1a 2

Race 7:  6,2 6

Race 8:  8,3,6 8

Race 9:  1,6 x

$.50 Ticket:  $54

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  3,2,1a 2

Race 7:  6,2,1 6

Race 8:  8,3,6 8

Race 9:  1,6 x

$.50 Ticket:  $27

Pick 6:

Race 7:  6,2 6

Race 8:  8,3,6 8

Race 9:  1 x

Race 10: 1,6,4 *1 scratched using 6,4,2 6

Race 11:  4,6,10 4

Race 12:  9,10,2 x

$1.00 Ticket:  $162

Late Pick 5:

Race 8:  8,3,6,4 8

Race 9:  1,6 x

Race 10: 1,6,4 *1 scratched using 6,4,2 6

Race 11:  4,6,10 4

Race 12:  9,10,2,8 x

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 9:  1,6 x

Race 10: 1,6,4,2 6

Race 11:  4,6,10,3 4

Race 12:  9,10,2,8 x

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.