A Winning Day at the Races!

August 8th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,358/23,675 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,931/23,675. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*No “Membership” needed, all content will continue to be posted here daily through the Saratoga meet…

*Middle Pick 4 for us last Friday at Saratoga$377.75 on a $48 ticket…

*Early Pick 5 for us last Saturday at Saratoga$1,102.50 on a $144 ticket…

*Middle Pick 5 (3-7) for us last Saturday at Saratoga$1,527.25 on a $144 ticket…

*Middle Pick 4 (4-7) for us last Saturday at Saratoga$413.25 on a $54 ticket…

*Friday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Napoleon Solo 5-2               17 1st $9.00
#1 Running On Bourbon 8-1   16 2nd $4.50 Ex $35.40
#4 World Wide Web 4-1            16
#3 Max Money 9-2                     15

Race 2:

#3 Billionaires Row 5-2            29 1st $5.90 Dbl $24.40
#5 Global Prosperity 4-1          28 2nd $4.60 Ex $23.40
#4 Film Academy 5-1                28 4th
#6 Alexis Zorba (GB) 8-5          27 3rd $2.30 Spr $80

Race 3:

#8 Pampered 6-1                        19 4th
#6 Social Scene (GB) 5-1           18
#4 Deep Learning 3-1                17 1st $6.70
#7 Fraudster 9-2                         17 3rd $3.80

Race 4:

#7 He’s Got This 4-1                   29 2nd $3.70
#2 Valenzan Day 2-1                  28 1st $3.70 Ex $11.80
#1a Winter’s Ghost 7-5              28 3rd $2.20 Tri $18.00
#1 Brew Pub 7-5                           27 scratched 

Race 5:

#11 Diliello 2-1 AE                     17 3rd $2.10
#12 Cristobal 9-5 AE                  17 scratched 
#10 Moonlight Drive 5-2           16 scratched 
#2 Lawyer Mason 6-1                 15 1st $8.80
#7 Truman’s Commander 3-1   14
#6 Constant Chaos 20-1             14

Race 6:

#5 Funny Factor 10-1                 18
#8 Tactics 7-2                               17
#6 Empires King 2-1                   16
#2 Escape Hall 9-2                       15 3rd $3.20

Race 7:

#2 Salamis 3-1                             19 1st $6.70
#6 Royal Presence 8-1                18
#1 Apalta 7-2                                17
#8 Blast Furnace 4-1                   17 4th

Race 8:

#6 Maggie Go (ARG) 4-1            36
#2 Whiskey Decision 6-1           35 4th
#1 Be Your Best (IRE) 9-5          34 scratched 
#3 Ozara (IRE) 6-1                       33 1st $9.20

Race 9:

#4 Three B’s 9-2                          28 1st $11.40
#1 Storm the Streets 5-2           27 scratched
#7 Backtrack 7-2                          27
#6 Uncle Jim 4-1                          26 2nd $3.70

Race 10:

#8 Wicked Improbable 6-1       19 3rd $3.00
#3 Johny’s Rendezvous 7-2       18 2nd $3.20
#5 Antietam 9-2                          17
#4 Favorable Scenario 6-1         16 1st $9.20

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,1,4,3

Race 2:  3,5,4,6

Race 3:  8,6,4

Race 4:  7,2,1a/1

Race 5:  11,12 *12 scratched using 11,2

$.50 Ticket:  $144 $354.75

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  3,5,4,6

Race 3:  8,6,4,7

Race 4:  7,2,1a/1

Race 5:  11,12,10 *12,10 scratched using 11,2,7

$.50 Ticket:  $72 $68.25

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  8,6,4,7

Race 4:  7,2,1a/1

Race 5:  11,12,10 *12,10 scratched using 11,2,7

Race 6:  5,8,6

Race 7:  2,6,1

$.50 Ticket:  $162

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  7,2,1a/1

Race 5:  11,12,10,2 *12,10 scratched using 11,2,7,6

Race 6:  5,8,6

Race 7:  2,6,1

$.50 Ticket:  $54

Pick 6:

Race 5:  11,12,10,2 *12,10 scratched using 11,2,7,6

Race 6:  5,8,6

Race 7:  2,6,1

Race 8:  6

Race 9:  4,1 *1 scratched using 4,7

Race 10: 8,3

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  5,8,6,2

Race 7:  2,6,1,8

Race 8:  6,2,1 *1 scratched using 6,2,3

Race 9:  4,1,7 *1 scratched using 4,7,6

Race 10: 8,3

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  2,6,1,8

Race 8:  6,2,1,3

Race 9:  4,1,7 *1 scratched using 4,7,6

Race 10: 8,3,5

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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