August 9th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,881/21,302 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,809/21,302. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Friday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Dazzling Cruiser 3-1 19
#9 Vina Arana (IRE) 4-1 18
#1 Shade of Pale 6-1 18
#3 Time Stone 7-2 17

Dirt Selections

#10 Goodnight My Angel 9-2
#2 Silvology 6-1
#3 Time Stone 7-2
#5 Dazzling Cruiser 3-1
#7 Appellate 8-1

Race 2:

#1 Donegal Surges 5-2 35
#6 Whittington Park 6-1 34
#3 Drake’s Passage 3-1 33
#2 Sheriff Bianco 9-2 32

Race 3:

#4 Donegal Forever 5-2 36
#3 Power Seeker 5-1 35
#2 Classic Catch 9-2 34
#6 Cooke Creek 2-1 33

Race 4:

#7 Write Off Jerry 10-1 29
#6 Addicted to You 10-1 28
#2 King of Comedy 3-1 28
#8 Yo Daddy 2-1 27

Dirt Selections

#12 Paddington 5-2
#8 Yo Daddy 2-1
#11 Strapped 4-1
#1a Unlimitedpotential 8-1
#7 Write Off Jerry 10-1

Race 5:

#7 Bourbon’s Fault 12-1 19
#1 Pentathlon 3-5 19
#1a Upstanding 3-5 18
#3 Duration 5-1 17

Race 6:

#2 A Million Stories 6-1 18
#11 Man of Mischief 5-2 AE 18
#6 Vibrant Express 3-1 17
#9 Keepinitreal 7-2 17
#1 Dominican Pirate 15-1 16

Race 7:

#9 Cigarette Boat 6-1 34
#4 Works for Me 7-2 33
#5 Yarrow 3-1 32
#7 Alexis Zorba (GB) 6-1 32

Dirt Selections

#12 Miracle Worker 8-1
#6 Urban Legend 4-1
#1 Daufuskie Island 5-2
#4 Works for Me 7-2
#3 Spirit’s Mischief 12-1

Race 8:

#7 Kant Hurry Love 2-1 34
#4 Leeloo 9-5 33
#5 Cara’s Time 7-2 32
#1 Cousin Kristi 5-1 31

Race 9:

#4 Breath Away (GB) 9-2 33
#6 Tax Implications (GB) 7-5 32
#9 Caroline Street 10-1 31
#2 Elounda Queen (IRE) 5-1 30

Dirt Selections

#14 Street Jam 7-2
#15 Kiss Me Hardy 2-1
#12 Lady Moscato 3-1
#13 Into Happiness 8-1

Race 10:

#6 Twisted Filigree 5-1 31
#11 Big Prankster 7-2 30
#5 Nano Man 8-1 29
#2 Your Man Alex 8-1 29

Dirt Selections

#13 On the Hill 2-1
#1 Boss Tweed 10-1
#7 Empire Sky 8-1
#15 Bourbon’s Hope 15-1
#14 Freedsdale 6-1

Saratoga Selections

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 5,9,1,3 Dirt: 10,2,3,5

Race 2: 1,6,3

Race 3: 4,3

Race 4: 7,6,2 Dirt: 12,8,11

Race 5: 7,1/1a

$.50 Ticket: $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 1,6,3,2

Race 3: 4,3,2

Race 4: 7,6,2,8 Dirt: 12,8,11,1a/1

Race 5: 7,1/1a

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 7,6,2,8 Dirt: 12,8,11,1a/1

Race 5: 7,1/1a

Race 6: 2,11,6,9

Race 7: 9,4,5,7 Dirt: 12,6,1,4

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 5: 7,1/1a

Race 6: 2,11,6,9

Race 7: 9,4,5 Dirt: 12,6,1

Race 8: 7,4

Race 9: 4,6 Dirt: 14,15

Race 10: 6,11 Dirt: 13,1

$1.00 Ticket: $192

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 2,11,6,9

Race 7: 9,4,5 Dirt: 12,6,1

Race 8: 7,4

Race 9: 4,6 Dirt: 14,15

Race 10: 6,11,5 Dirt: 13,1,7

$.50 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 9,4,5,7 Dirt: 12,6,1,4

Race 8: 7,4

Race 9: 4,6,9,2 Dirt: 14,15,12,13

Race 10: 6,11,5,2 Dirt:13,1,7,15

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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