A Winning Day at the Races!

December 16th , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,125/15,418, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6,829/15,418. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*All content will continue to be posted here on the Free Page through December…

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#4 My Delicious 6-1                     16
#7 Wicked Happy 7-2                   15 2nd $3.10
#2 Boss Cara 5-2                           15 1st $11.60
#3 Alita 7-5                                    14 4th

Race 2 :

#7 Rejected Again 8-1                  30 4th
#3 Mi Tres Por Ciento  5-2          29
#2 Aristocratic 6-1                        28 1st $10.80
#5 Baby I’m Perfect 7-2                28 2nd $7.20

Race 3 :

#8 Strong Point 8-5                       14 *Best Bet
#2 Synonymous 6-1                       12
#3 Simple Sugar 8-1                      11 3rd $6.20
#1 Favorite Impulse 20-1             10

Race 4 :

#4 Thereisastormbrewin 2-1        27 1st $4.80
#1a Jaa Mode 6-1                            26 scratched
#8 Mandatory Payout 9-2              25 3rd $2.40
#2 Mr. Briggs 8-1                             25

Race 5 :

#8 Matty’s Marauder 4-1               26
#1 Brockmoninoff 10-1                  25 2nd $13.40
#11 Run Casper Run 6-1                24 4th
#2 Hanger One 9-2                          23 3rd $4.10

Race 6 :

#8 Giocare 3-1                                 29 2nd $4.60
#2 Perceived 6-1                              28
#4 Peruvian Boy 4-1                        27 3rd $3.30
#1 Roman Empire 9-2                     27 4th

Race 7 :

#1a Hagler 2-5                                   28 1st $2.70
#1 Life Is Great 2-5                           28 scratched
#3 Bold Leader 9-2                            27 4th
#4 Florida Gator 8-1                         26 3rd $2.40

Race 8 :

#3 Mrtandroseysboy 12-1               12
#9 Workingman’s Dude 5-2            12
#10 Devious Banker 4-1                   11
#8 Kong Loves a Fight 6-1               10

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  4,7,2,3 2

Race 2 :  7,3 x

Race 3 :  8 x

Race 4 :  4,1a/1,8 *1a scratched using 4,8,2 4

Race 5 :  8,1,11,2 x

$.50 Ticket :  $48

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  7,3,2,5 2

Race 3 :  8,2 x

Race 4 :  4,1a/1,8,2 4

Race 5 :  8,1,11,2 x

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Pick 6 :

Race 3 :  8 x

Race 4 :  4,1a/1,8 *1a scratched using 4,8,2 4

Race 5 :  8,1,11 x

Race 6 :  8,2,4 x

Race 7 :  1a/1 1a

Race 8 :  3,9,10,8

$1.00 Ticket :  $108

Late Pick 5 :

Race 4 :  4,1a/1,8,2 4

Race 5 :  8,1,11,2 x

Race 6 :  8,2,4 x

Race 7 :  1a/1 1a

Race 8 :  3,9,10

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Late Pick 4 :

Race 5 :  8,1,11,2 x

Race 6 :  8,2,4,1 x

Race 7 :  1a/1,3 1a

Race 8 :  3,9,10

$.50 Ticket :  $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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