July 27th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,830/21,223 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,775/21,223. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Saturday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#7 West Beach 5-2 20 4th
#10 Barricade 8-1 19
#9 Bestfriend Rocket 8-1 19
#3 Atomic Age 7-2 18

Race 2:

#1 Leo’s Reward 8-1 17
#5 Tinebar 3-1 17
#8 Crescendo’s Rein 6-1 16 scratched
#6 Noonzio 8-1 15 1st $17.80

Race 3:

#6 Perfect Flight 8-1 30
#2 Dangerous Ride 8-1 29 scratched
#1a Admundson 3-1 28 1st $3.50
#4 Natural Harbor 6-1 28 3rd $2.90

Race 4:

#5 Speak Easy 1-1 32 1st $3.50
#4 Mariachi 6-1 30 2nd $4.40 Ex $12.20
#1 Notah 10-1 29
#3 General Banker 8-1 28

Race 5:

#4 Who’s the King 5-2 33 4th
#8 Special Dispatch 12-1 32
#1 Have You Heard 6-1 31
#10 Game Warden 7-2 31 1st $10.00

Race 6:

#5 Subrogate 7-2 41
#4 Baby Yoda 7-2 40 4th
#6 Skelly 6-5 39 2nd $2.70
#1 Nakatomi 5-2 38 1st $9.30

Race 7:

#10 Tiztastic 6-1 20
#3 American Promise 20-1 20
#1 Invictus 3-1 19
#6 Noble Confessor 6-1 19 3rd $4.10

Race 8:

#2 Tipple 12-1 20
#1 Scarlet Poppy (IRE) 2-1 19
#8 Day Dawning 10-1 18
#5 Aunt Nona 10-1 18

Race 9:

#8 West Hollywood 4-1 19 1st $8.30
#1 Sea Singer (IRE) 12-1 18
#12 Risk Tolerance 3-1 18
#10 Drunk On Sake 15-1 17

Race 10:

#2 Seize the Gray 6-1 38 4th
#6 Fierceness 9-5 37 1st $5.60
#1 Sierra Leone 1-1 37 2nd $2.20
#3 Batten Down 5-1 36 3rd $3.20

Race 11:

#7 Topic Changer 10-1 30
#8 Whistler’s Honor 9-2 29 4th
#4 Gem Mint Ten 6-1 28 1st $15.40
#2 Rabaja 3-1 28

Race 12:

#4 Summer Whirl 5-2 19
#10 North End Lady 5-1 18
#1 Miss City Girl 9-2 17
#12 In All My Dreams 10-1 17

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 7,10,9,3

Race 2: 1,5,8,6

Race 3: 6,2,1a/1,4

Race 4: 5

Race 5: 4,8,1

$.50 Ticket: $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 1,5,8,6 6

Race 3: 6,2,1a/1,4 1a

Race 4: 5,4 5

Race 5: 4,8,1,10 10

$.50 Ticket: $64 $174.25

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 5,4

Race 5: 4,8,1,10

Race 6: 5,4,6,1

Race 7: 10,3,1,6

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 4,8,1,10

Race 6: 5,4,6

Race 7: 10,3,1

Race 8: 2,1,8

Race 9: 8,1,12

$.50 Ticket: $162

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6: 5,4

Race 7: 10,3,1,6

Race 8: 2,1,8,5

Race 9: 8,1,12,10

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 7: 10,3,1

Race 8: 2,1,8,5

Race 9: 8,1,12

Race 10: 2,6

Race 11: 7,8

Race 12: 4

$1.00 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 8: 2,1,8,5

Race 9: 8,1,12,10

Race 10: 2,6

Race 11: 7,8,4

Race 12: 4,10,1

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 9: 8,1,12,10

Race 10: 2,6,1

Race 11: 7,8,4,2

Race 12: 4,10,1,12

$.50 Ticket: $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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