A Winning Day at the Races!

December 22nd, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66%  of the time 11,726/17,928, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 8,123/17,928. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Thursday’s Full Card Gulfstream Park  Picks/Plays Below…

Gulfstream Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Always Royal 3-1                       14 3rd $2.10
#5 Turf Accountant 2-1                 13 2nd $3.20
#6 Luminant 8-1                             12 scratched
#4 Bet the Howes 8-1                     11 4th

Race 2:

#5 Grand Bay 9-2                            27 1st $7.20
#6 Extendo 8-5                                27 scratched
#4 Face Abarrio 6-1                        26 scratched
#1 Christensen 5-1                         25 4th

Race 3:

#4 Easy as A.B.C. 1-1                      12 1st $3.60 Dbl $15.60
#7 Discreetly Thrifty 5-1               11
#6 Seax 5-1                                       10 3rd $2.40
#1 Mousefast 9-2                             10 2nd $3.00

Race 4:

#5 Spicey Ginger 8-5                      17 1st $4.00 Pk 3 $25.40
#3 Wildcat Star 4-1                         14 4th
#2 Lady Lookout 9-2                       13
#1 Marthamaywhovier 5-1            12 3rd $3.20

Race 5:

#4 Principled Stand (GB) 9-5        32 3rd $3.20
#5 Border Town 7-2                         31 4th
#1 Inhalation 5-1                             30
#7 Journeyman 12-1                        29 2nd $13.40

Race 6:

#7 Triple Start 9-5                            17
#1 Devil’s Cay 5-1                            16 1st $9.60
#2 Dream On Baby 6-1                    15 3rd $7.00
#4 Changeordersonny 9-2              15

Race 7:

#2 Dr Post 7-5                                    35
#1 Endorsed 2-1                                33 1st $5.40
#4 Paco’s Pico 6-1                             32 3rd $3.00
#9 Secret Alliance 12-1                    31

Race 8:

#4 Dr. Duke 10-1                               32
#1 Detroit City 7-2                            32
#10 Full Disclosure 4-1                    31 1st $25.80
#7 Not Phar Now 9-2                        30 4th

Race 9:

#2 Mr. American 5-2                         16
#1 Cosmic Speculation 9-2              16
#7 Blue Maverick 8-1                        15
#8 Bernardo’s Legacy 2-1                 14

Gulfstream Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  3,5 x

Race 2:  5,6,4 *6,4 scratched using 5,1 5

Race 3:  4,7,6 4

Race 4:  5

Race 5:  4,5,1 x

$.50 Ticket:  $27

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,6,4,1 5

Race 3:  4,7 4

Race 4:  5,3,2,1 5

Race 5:  4,5,1 x

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 4:  5,3,2 5

Race 5:  4,5 x

Race 6:  7,1,2,4 1

Race 7:  2,1 1

Race 8:  4,1,10,7 10

Race 9:  2,1

$.20 Ticket:  $76.80

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  4,5 x

Race 6:  7,1,2,4 1

Race 7:  2,1 1

Race 8:  4,1,10,7 10

Race 9:  2,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  7,1,2,4 1

Race 7:  2,1 1

Race 8:  4,1,10,7 10

Race 9:  2,1,7,8

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 


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