A Winning Day at the Races!

December 4th , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,083/15,354, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6,801/15,354. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Oaklawn Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#2 Fenwick 5-2                                19 *Best Bet
#7 Long Term 2-1                            18 2nd $3.90
#3 Opportunity Set 5-1                  17 scratched
#1 Script 9-2                                     16 1st $8.90

Race 2 :

#3 Robyn and Eli 2-1                       16 2nd $2.70
#4 Autumn Glory 4-1                      15 1st $17.80 Ex $32.60
#9 Valentia Island 8-1                     14
#8 Sweet Lies 6-1                             13

Race 3 :

#8 Artemus Citylimits 3-1               33 2nd $3.10
#7 Competitive Saint 5-1                 32
#9 Cucina 4-1                                     31 3rd $3.10
#5 Scuttlebuzz 4-1                             31 1st $9.50

Race 4 :

#9 Regal Quality 5-2                         28
#1 Runningforhome 7-2                   28 scratched
#4 Kumar 6-1                                      27 1st $20.20
#5 Sicilia Mike 10-1                           26 4th

Race 5 :

#5 Hard Place 7-2                               19
#6 Rosebug 3-1                                   18
#8 Empress At War 8-1                      18
#3 Marketsegmentation 5-1             17 1st $18.40

Race 6 :

#7 Stjames 20-1                                   18 4th
#2 Fiery Heart 3-1                               17 3rd $2.90
#5 Carpe’s Dream 4-1                         17 1st $14.00
#10 Kobe’s Legacy 12-1                      16

Race 7 :

#2 Lady Rocket 8-5                              34 1st $4.40
#6 Truth Hurts 5-1                               32 3rd $4.30
#7 Sharp Starr 7-2                                31 4th
#4 So Darn Hot 10-1                            30

Race 8 :

#1 Mo Donegal 8-5                              31 1st $4.90
#7 Zandon 5-2                                      30 2nd $3.00
#3 Judge Davis 5-1                               29
#2 Who Hoo Thats Me 6-1                 28

Race 9 :

#5 Nest 2-1                                            32 1st $5.50
#7 Magic Circle 7-2                              31 3rd $3.30
#6 Tap the Faith 3-1                            30
#3 Venti Valentine 5-1                        29 2nd $5.40

Race 10 :

#1 Following Sea 5-1                           41 2nd $5.10
#3 American Revolution 5-2              40 1st $7.50 Ex $38.80
#5 Independence Hall 7-2                   38
#2 Plainsman 12-1                                37 3rd $5.60

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  2,7 x

Race 2 :  3,4,9,8 4

Race 3 :  8,7,9 x

Race 4 :  9,1 *1 scratched using 9,4 4

Race 5 :  5,6 x

$.50 Ticket :  $48

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  3,4,9,8 4

Race 3 :  8,7,9,5 5

Race 4 :  9,1 *1 scratched using 9,4 4

Race 5 :  5,6,8,3 3

$.50 Ticket :  $64 $713.75

Pick 6 :

Race 5 :  5,6 x

Race 6 :  7,2,5 5

Race 7 :  2 2

Race 8 :  1,7 1

Race 9 :  5 5

Race 10 : 1,3,5 3

$1.00 Ticket :  $36

Late Pick 5 :

Race 6 :  7,2,5,10 5

Race 7 :  2,6,7 2

Race 8 :  1,7 1

Race 9 :  5,7 5

Race 10 : 1,3,5,2 3

$.50 Ticket :  $96 $221.50

Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  2,6,7 2

Race 8 :  1,7,3 1

Race 9 :  5,7 5

Race 10 : 1,3,5,2 3

$.50 Ticket :  $36 $29.62

Oaklawn Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#5 Candywrapper Crazy 4-1             12 scratched
#7 Itsy Bitsy Betty 2-1                       11 2nd $2.40
#3 Dixie Penny 7-2                             10 1st $13.40 Ex $25.20
#6 My Coralena 6-1                             9 4th

Race 2 :

#5 Home Brew 9-5                             30 1st $2.80
#2 Wicked Genius 2-1                       29 2nd $2.60
#6 Royal Connection 4-1                  28 4th
#1 Charter Oak 5-1                            28 3rd $2.80

Race 3 :

#6 Knight’s Cross 5-2                        31 1st $4.60
#4 Hunka Burning Love 3-1             30 2nd $3.60 Ex $16
#1 Red Again 5-1                                29
#3 River Echo (GB) 9-2                      28

Race 4 :

#4 Indimaaj 2-1                                   32 2nd $3.60
#3 Prodigious Bay 7-2                        31 3rd $3.20
#1 Warrior’s Map 8-1                          30
#2 Taishan 3-1                                     30 1st $5.40

Race 5 :

#5 Pepper Pike 7-2                               27 4th
#12 American Dubai 5-2                     27 1st $3.40
#8 Ike 6-1                                               26 scratched
#1 Chicory Blue 10-1                           25 3rd $4.60

Race 6 :

#7 Sir Michael 7-2                                28 1st $6.00
#10 Smart Time 5-1                             27
#2 Capture the Glory 9-2                    26
#3 American Joey 6-1                          25 4th

Race 7 :

#9 Pressure 4-1                                     17 1st $12.60 Dbl $55
#3 Switzer 5-2                                       17 4th
#10 Life On the Nile 10-1                   16 3rd $7.20
#12 Scotch No Rocks 12-1                  15

Race 8 :

#5 Lamutanaatty 4-1                            31
#4 Edge to Edge 3-1                              30 1st $5.80
#8 Name Rejected 9-2                          29 3rd $3.40
#2 Money Mike 5-1                                29

Race 9 :

#2 Willful Woman 9-2                         33 4th
#8 Mariah’s Princess 8-1                     32 1st $6.60
#9 Amendment Nineteen 9-2            31 2nd $3.00
#7 Semble Juste (IRE) 8-1                   31

Race 10 :

#10 Big Success 6-1                               14
#6 You Vee Cee 5-1                                13 3rd
#3 Serbian Sailor 6-1                             12
#5 Topf Road Rules 7-2                         12 2nd

Oaklawn Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  5,7,3 *5 scratched using 7,3,6 3

Race 2 :  5,2 5

Race 3 :  6,4,1 6

Race 4 :  4,3 x

Race 5 :  5,12,8 *8 scratched 5,12,1 12

$.50 Ticket :  $54

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  5,2,6 5

Race 3 :  6,4,1,3 6

Race 4 :  4,3 x

Race 5 :  5,12,8 *8 scratched 5,12,1 12

$.50 Ticket :  $36

Late Pick 5 :

Race 6 :  7,10,2,3 7

Race 7 :  9,3 9

Race 8 :  5,4,8,2 4

Race 9 :  2,8,9 8

Race 10 : 10,6,3 x

$.50 Ticket :  $144

Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  9,3,10,12 9

Race 8 :  5,4,8,2 4

Race 9 :  2,8,9 8

Race 10 : 10,6,3 x

$.50 Ticket :  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 

 


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