December 4th, 2025 Free Picks/Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,734/24,320 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 11,205/24,320. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#2 Waveless 9-5 18
#1 Relevate 7-5 17
#4 Laylani Lou 8-1 16
#3 Formaggio 3-1 15

Race 2:

#4 Love’m Or Liam 6-1 19
#3 Time to Win 1-1 18
#1 Salvation 2-1 18
#2 Roger Roger 6-1 17

Race 3:

#7 Spirit Dragon 2-1 28
#4 Shadow Surge 8-5 27
#2 Tapwrits Temper 5-1 26
#3 Dark Vector 6-1 25

Race 4:

#2 Light the Way 3-1 32
#4 Acoustic Ave 2-1 31
#6 Exact Estimate 7-2 30
#1 Breslau 4-1 29

Race 5:

#5 Red Velvet Cake 7-2 17
#1 Three Nines Fine 3-1 16
#7 Forever to Go 5-2 15
#6 Sassetti 12-1 14

Race 6:

#7 Foxy Cara 3-1 27
#8 Divine Grace 9-2 26
#4 Floge 4-1 25
#5 Rodeo Star 5-1 25

Race 7:

#10 Chief Liam 10-1 29
#5 Russian Realm 7-2 28
#1 Cut the Cord 4-1 27
#2 Palace Boss 5-1 27

Race 8:

#5 Lou 10-1 27
#11 Frizzante 7-2 27
#7 Aero Star 8-1 26
#2 Smilensaycheese 6-1 25

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 2,1

Race 2: 4,3,1

Race 3: 7,4

Race 4: 2,4,6 *4 scratched using 2,6,1

Race 5: 5,1,7 *5 scratched using 1,7,6

$.50 Ticket: $54

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 4,3,1

Race 3: 7,4

Race 4: 2,4,6 *4 scratched using 2,6,1

Race 5: 5,1,7 *5 scratched using 1,7,6

$.50 Ticket: $27

Pick 6:

Race 3: 7,4

Race 4: 2,4,6 *4 scratched using 2,6,1

Race 5: 5,1,7 *5 scratched using 1,7,6

Race 6: 7

Race 7: 10,5,1

Race 8: 5,11,7

$1.00 Ticket: $162

Late Pick 5:

Race 4: 2,4,6 *4 scratched using 2,6,1

Race 5: 5,1,7 *5 scratched using 1,7,6

Race 6: 7,8

Race 7: 10,5,1

Race 8: 5,11,7

$.50 Ticket: $81

Late Pick 4:

Race 5: 5,1,7 *5 scratched using 1,7,6

Race 6: 7,8

Race 7: 10,5,1,2

Race 8: 5,11,7,2

$.50 Ticket: $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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