December 5th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,364/22,087 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,181/22,087. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues will post Picks/Plays when able…

*$40.70 on top winner for us last Thursday at Churchill Downs…

*6 on top winners last Friday at Churchill Downs…

*6 on top winners last Saturday at Churchill Downs…

*Early and Middle Pick 5 for us last Saturday at Churchill Downs…

*$554.77 on a $96 ticket…$1,523.85 on a $128 ticket…

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#4 Linda’s Jewel 3-1 14
#3 Vague 3-1 13
#1 Have a Happy 4-1 12
#6 Quoin 9-2 11

Race 2:

#7 Arrebato 8-1 26
#1 Devil’s Cay 3-1 26
#5 Thank You Jon 6-5 25
#4 Whenlovetakesover 15-1 24

Race 3:

#4 Looks First 9-5 15
#2 My Angel 5-2 14
#1 Corri Felice 2-1 13
#3 Sherman’s Marlin 12-1 12

Race 4:

#6 Princess Becca 6-5 28
#1 Empire Magic 4-1 27
#2 Fast and Frisky 7-2 26
#5 Brooklyn Dantz 20-1 25

Race 5:

#1 Exploration 5-2 19
#6 Happy Henry 9-5 18
#7 Luca On Point 8-1 17
#2 Stronsino 3-1 16

Race 6:

#2 Paddington 6-5 30
#1a Arrow Speed 2-1 29
#1 Melt With You 2-1 28
#6 Ice Road 8-1 27

Race 7:

#2 Everyoneloveslinda 3-1 32
#8 Willow Bend 6-1 31
#6 Fancy Azteca 5-1 30
#1 Shesalittle Edgy 6-1 29

Race 8:

#2 Uncle George 3-1 28
#1 Quick Hammer 5-2 27
#8 Always Charming 20-1 27
#6 Musical Heart 12-1 26

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 4,3,1

Race 2: 7,1,5

Race 3: 4,2,1

Race 4: 6,1

Race 5: 1,6

$.50 Ticket: $54

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 7,1,5,4

Race 3: 4,2,1

Race 4: 6,1,2

Race 5: 1,6

$.50 Ticket: $36

Pick 6:

Race 3: 4,2,1

Race 4: 6

Race 5: 1,6

Race 6: 2

Race 7: 2,8,6

Race 8: 2,1

$1.00 Ticket: $36

Late Pick 5:

Race 4: 6,1,2

Race 5: 1,6,7,2

Race 6: 2,1a/1

Race 7: 2,8,6

Race 8: 2,1

$.50 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 4:

Race 5: 1,6

Race 6: 2,1a/1,6

Race 7: 2,8,6,1

Race 8: 2,1,8,6

$.50 Ticket: $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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