December 1st, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,359/22,078 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,179/22,078. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues will post Picks/Plays when able…

Happy Thanksgiving!!

*6 on top winners 11/17 at Aqueduct…$7.60…$4.00…$8.30…$2.70…$35.20…$10.80

*Early & Late Pick 5/4’s & Pick 6 for us as well 11/17 at Aqueduct…

*Pick 6 $4,302 on a $81 ticket…

*Early Pick 5 $598.25 on a $108 ticket…Late Pick 5 $841.75 on a $144 ticket…

*Early Pick 4 $133 on a $48 ticket…Late Pick 4 $203.50 on a $64 ticket…

*Early Pick 5 for us last Friday at Aqueduct…$295.25 on a $54 ticket…

*Early & Late Pick 5 for us last Sunday at Aqueduct…

*Early Pick 5 $165.25 on a $72 ticket…Late Pick 5 $348.75 on a $108 ticket…

*$40.70 on top winner for us Thursday at Churchill Downs…

*6 on top winners Friday at Churchill Downs…

*6 on top winners yesterday at Churchill Downs…

*Early and Middle Pick 5 for us yesterday at Churchill Downs…

*$554.77 on a $96 ticket…$1,523.85 on a $128 ticket…

*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#2 The Taco Lady 7-2 18 3rd $2.10
#3 Truth and Beauty 2-1 18 4th
#1 Shop Lifting 8-5 17 2nd $2.50
#5 On Command 5-2 16 1st $7.60

Race 2:

#6 Broadway Lights 7-5 29 1st $3.10
#4 Shadyside 5-2 28 3rd $2.10
#3 Vehemente 2-1 27 2nd $3.00
#5 Power Driver 15-1 26 scratched

Race 3:

#6 Gentle Breeze 7-2 27 scratched
#7 Freeze Pop 5-1 27
#3 Finale Denile 2-1 26
#2 Beary Funny 7-2 26 1st $4.70

Race 4:

#8 Refuah 3-1 28 3rd $2.50
#5 Two for Charging 8-1 27 scratched
#4 Runaway Joke 8-5 27 1st $3.60
#1 He’s Got It 10-1 26 2nd $4.30

Race 5:

#4 Lady Wisdom 5-1 16
#8 Dreamworkin 4-1 15
#2 Willful Mama 5-2 15
#7 On a Summer Day 8-1 14

Race 6:

#9 D C Boy’s 8-1 16
#10 Executive Move 5-2 16
#8 Van Vollenhoven 10-1 15
#5 English Castle 6-1 14

Race 7:

#9 Spiritual Lady 9-2 28
#2 Next On Stage 5-2 27
#1 Pam Pam 3-1 26
#4 Street View 10-1 26

Race 8:

#3 Julia Shining 7-5 34
#2 Golden Degree 3-1 32
#6 Courbe 5-1 31
#8 Ringy Dingy 8-1 30

Race 9:

#11 Naughty Destiny 3-1 15
#2 Majulu 6-1 14
#5 Dream On Cara 9-2 13
#9 She’s a Natural 8-1 12

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 2,3,1,5

Race 2: 6,4

Race 3: 6,7,3 *6 scratched using 7,3,2

Race 4: 8,5,4 *5 scratched using 8,4,1

Race 5: 4,8,2

$.50 Ticket: $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 6,4

Race 3: 6,7,3,2

Race 4: 8,5,4,1

Race 5: 4,8,2

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3: 6,7,3,2

Race 4: 8,5,4,1

Race 5: 4,8,2

Race 6: 9,10,8,5

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 6:

Race 4: 8,5,4 *5 scratched using 8,4,1

Race 5: 4,8,2

Race 6: 9,10 *10 scratched using 9,8

Race 7: 9,2

Race 8: 3

Race 9: 11,2,5

$1.00 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 4,8,2,7

Race 6: 9,10,8,5

Race 7: 9,2,1

Race 8: 3,2

Race 9: 11,2,5,9

$.50 Ticket: $192

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 9,10,8,5

Race 7: 9,2,1,4

Race 8: 3,2

Race 9: 11,2,5,9

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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