A Winning Day at the Races!

February 14th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 15,960/24,663 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 11,354/24,663. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Fair Grounds Picks/ Plays below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Lost Horizon 4-5                   31
#1 I’m Buzzy 5-2                         30
#4 Sassy Princess 5-1                 28
#3 Minnesota Munny 10-1        27

Race 2:

#4 Galinda 6-5                             30
#6 Rina’s Revenge 6-1                28
#1 Pinky Brier 2-1                        27
#5 Blue Note 8-1                          27

Race 3:

#6 Good Lord 1-1                         29
#2 Fort Nelson 2-1                       28
#5 Salming 9-2                              26
#1 Middle Market 10-1                25

Race 4:

#6 Arctic Beast 4-5                      31
#4 Time to Roll 5-2                      30
#5 Royal Riddle 6-1                      28
#2 Combat Mission 9-2                27

Race 5:

#6 Syl’s Pleasure 10-1                  14
#7 Mo Attitude 7-2                        13
#2 Purple and Gold 3-1                12
#8 Furry Fox 15-1                          11

Race 6:

#3 Brew Pub 5-2                            28
#2 Divine Leader 9-2                    27
#5 Leading Role 4-1                      26
#4 Lost in Rome 3-1                      25

Race 7:

#6 Curvino 3-1                                31
#1 Baron of Sealand 9-2                30
#9 Sinister Smile 7-2                      30
#3 Leftembehind 8-1                      29

Race 8:

#6 Bold Strength 2-1                      32
#5 Shadow Banking 5-2                 31
#7 Tiger Twenty Four 5-1              30
#3 Brazenly 6-1                                29

Race 9:

#3 National Identity 2-1                34
#2 Acoustic Ave 4-1                        33
#4 El Grande O 7-2                          32
#7 The Wine Steward 5-2               31

Race 10:

#8 Who’s Your Zaddy 8-1              17
#7 Pride of the Union 5-2              16
#1 Hurricane Kaz 6-1                     15
#3 Dinghy Bar 12-1                         15

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,1

Race 2:  4,6,1

Race 3:  6,2

Race 4:  6,4

Race 5:  6,7,2

$.50 Ticket:  $36

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  4,6,1,5

Race 3:  6,2

Race 4:  6,4,5

Race 5:  6,7,2

$.50 Ticket:  $36

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  6,2

Race 4:  6,4,5,2

Race 5:  6,7,2

Race 6:  3,2,5

Race 7:  6,1,9

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  6,4

Race 5:  6,7,2,8

Race 6:  3,2,5,4

Race 7:  6,1,9

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 5:  6,7,2

Race 6:  3,2

Race 7:  6,1,9

Race 8:  6,5

Race 9:  3

Race 10: 8,7,1

$1.00 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  3,2,5,4

Race 7:  6,1,9

Race 8:  6,5

Race 9:  3,2,4

Race 10: 8,7,1

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  6,1,9

Race 8:  6,5

Race 9:  3,2,4,7

Race 10: 8,7,1,3

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Fair Grounds Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#8 Rani 9-2                                18
#4 Yaudacity 8-1                       17
#6 Spare Me 7-2                        16
#5 Niche 6-1                              16

Race 2:

#2 Trombone 7-2                       21
#9 Vivo Stavolta 6-1                 20
#7 Deep Flame 7-2                    19
#8 Mojacar 9-2                           18

Race 3:

#5 Usually Wrong 6-5               36
#7 Autodrive 8-1                        34
#3 Mondogetsbuckets 6-1        33
#1 Can’t Deny It 12-1                32

Race 4:

#7 Fun On the Bayou 8-1          19
#6 Goodall 5-2                             18
#8 Best Beach 10-1                     18
#1 Island Flower 7-2                   17

Race 5:

#11 Mighty Hankerin 6-1           18
#9 Good Family 8-1                     18
#1 Ocala Gala 3-1                         17
#12 Wooten Warrior (IRE) 6-1   16

Race 6:

#7 Attache 9-2                               33
#5 Maximum Bourbon 7-2          32
#8 Fully Volatile 10-1                   31
#4 Banned for Life 8-1                  31

Race 7:

#10 Silver Shot 6-1                        20
#3 Marauder 6-1                             19
#2 Kelz 9-2                                       18
#8 Awesome Gun 5-1                     17

Race 8:

#8 Feather Boa (SAF) 8-1             33
#4 Expensive Queen (IRE) 6-1    32
#1 Medoro 9-5                                31
#2 Oversubscribed (GB) 5-2         31

Race 9:

#6 Hit Show 9-5                              37
#2 Accelerize 4-1                            36
#5 Time to Win 4-1                        35
#7 Stowaway 8-1                             35

Race 10:

#9 Lagynos 7-2                               36
#7 Kupuna 3-1                                35
#2 Brilliant Berti 4-1                     34
#5 Cameo Performance 6-1          33

Race 11:

#3 Bella Ballerina 2-1                   32
#5 Powered by Family 9-2            31
#7 Majestical 4-1                            30
#1 Just Singing 7-2                         29

Race 12:

#4 Paladin 8-5                                 33
#2 Golden Tempo 3-1                    32
#3 Carson Street 8-1                      31
#7 Courting 6-1                               30

Fair Grounds Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  8,4,6,5

Race 2:  2,9,7,8

Race 3:  5,7,3

Race 4:  7,6,8

Race 5:  11,9,1

$.50 Ticket:  $216

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  2,9,7

Race 3:  5,7,3

Race 4:  7,6,8,1

Race 5:  11,9,1,12

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4:  7,6,8,1

Race 5:  11,9,1,12

Race 6:  7,5

Race 7:  10,3,2

Race 8:  8,4,1,2

$.50 Ticket:  $192

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5:  11,9,1,12

Race 6:  7,5

Race 7:  10,3,2,8

Race 8:  8,4,1,2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 7:  10,3,2,8

Race 8:  8,4,1,2

Race 9:  6,2,5

Race 10: 9,7

Race 11:  3,5,7

Race 12:  4,2

$1.00 Ticket:  $115.20

Late Pick 5:

Race 8:  8,4,1,2

Race 9:  6,2,5

Race 10: 9,7,2

Race 11:  3,5,7

Race 12:  4,2

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  8,4,1,2

Race 9:  9,7

Race 10: 3,5,7,1

Race 11:  4,2,3,7

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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