A Winning Day at the Races!
February 15th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,656/22,548 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,400/22,548. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Early Pick 5/4 for us yesterday at Aqueduct…$395.75 on a $16 ticket…$90.37 on a $12 ticket…
*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Fair Grounds Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#5 Tale of the Tail 9-5 14 4th
#7 Global Charmer 8-1 13 2nd $8.00
#6 Bubbe Dearest 7-2 13
#3 Sweet Lilac 8-1 12 scratched
Race 2:
#3 Radio Red 8-5 33 1st $4.70
#2 Exploration 5-1 32 scratched
#6 Ignite the Light 9-2 31 2nd $5.00 Ex $19.40
#4 What’s Up Bro 4-1 30
Race 3:
#4 Doc Sullivan 5-2 34 3rd $2.70
#2 Mama’s Gold 1-1 34
#3 Locke and Key 4-1 33 4th
#6 Shipsational 15-1 32 2nd $10.80
Race 4:
#8 Trade Secret 3-1 27 3rd $4.20
#7 Vegas Weekend 8-1 26
#3 R Funny Bizness 10-1 25 2nd $7.70
#6 Shezanarticqueen 10-1 25 1st $37.20
Race 5:
#3 Centavo 6-1 28
#8 Prince of Joy 8-1 27
#6 Strong Light 9-2 26
#7 Rerally 4-1 25 scratched
Race 6:
#8 Accidental Bid 1-1 27
#1a Solo Fight 7-2 26
#9 Cattani 9-2 25
#2 Stormy’s Dreaming 8-1 24
Race 7:
#8 Patty Van Twinkle 7-2 29
#3 Despo’s Dream 8-1 28
#6 Grammy Girl 5-2 27
#1 Thirteen Red Flags 8-1 27
Race 8:
#1 Liberty Central 8-5 30
#7 Boss Three O Two 8-1 29
#2 He Has It All 10-1 28
#3 Willintoriskitall 10-1 27
Race 9:
#7 Wajda 1-1 15
#2 Shakin the Belle 8-1 14
#4 Dialbolico 6-1 13
#1 Dancinginthepark 12-1 12
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 5,7,6
Race 2: 3,2,6 *2 scratched using 3,6,4
Race 3: 4,2
Race 4: 8,7,3,6
Race 5: 3,8,6
$.50 Ticket: $108
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 3,2,6,4
Race 3: 4,2
Race 4: 8,7,3,6
Race 5: 3,8,6,7
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 4 (3-6):
Race 3: 4,2
Race 4: 8,7,3,6
Race 5: 3,8,6,7
Race 6: 8,1a/1,9
$.50 Ticket: $48
Pick 6:
Race 4: 8,7,3,6
Race 5: 3,8,6
Race 6: 8
Race 7: 8,3,6
Race 8: 1 *1 scratched using 7
Race 9: 7
$1.00 Ticket: $36
Late Pick 5:
Race 5: 3,8,6,7
Race 6: 8,1a/1,9
Race 7: 8,3,6
Race 8: 1,7,2,3
Race 9: 7
$.50 Ticket: $72
Late Pick 4:
Race 6: 8,1a/1
Race 7: 8,3,6,1
Race 8: 1,7,2,3
Race 9: 7,2,4,1
$.50 Ticket: $64
Fair Grounds Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#7 Save the Queen 9-2 18
#10 Menu Please (IRE) 5-1 17
#6 Tempting Eve 3-1 16 2nd $3.80
#1 Contorted 6-1 16
Race 2:
#2 California Sunset 5-2 30 2nd $2.40
#1 Pretty Sassy 3-1 29 1st $3.00
#5 Golden Gamble 2-1 28 scratched
#3 Trust Fund Philly 3-1 28 3rd
Race 3:
#2 Rosalba the Wicked 7-2 17 2nd $2.80
#1 Canal Street 3-1 16 1st $6.20 Ex $13.20
#8 Moonie Pie 5-2 15 3rd $2.40 Tri $26.60
#9 The Rain Is Gone 5-1 15
Race 4:
#5 Bundle 9-2 20
#8 Spying 6-1 19
#2 Atarah 3-1 18 3rd $3.20
#1 Velvet Devil 9-2 18 2nd $5.00
Race 5:
#6 St. Armands Key 8-1 30 1st $10.80
#11 My Boy Tony 6-1 29
#3 Sand Pipes 4-1 29 4th
#7 Sicilian Defense 7-2 28 2nd $7.80
Race 6:
#7 Pronghorn 8-1 21
#3 Fall Colors 9-2 20
#4 Daring Madison 7-2 19
#1 Ahavah 3-1 19
Race 7:
#8 Development Fee 7-2 18
#1 Valiant Humor 4-1 17
#3 Unique Mischief 10-1 16
#6 Cat Fast 12-1 16
Race 8:
#4 Gilded Ruler 8-1 36
#2 Kavod 8-1 35
#6 Mansa Musa (IRE) 7-2 34
#10 No Nay Hudson 9-2 33
Race 9:
#1 Only in America 4-1 20
#2 Cromwell 3-1 19
#7 Morlock 7-2 18
#3 Coffee Talk 4-1 17
Race 10:
#5 Nanda Dea (ARG) 7-2 37
#14 Stir Crazy 6-1 36
#8 Tufani 10-1 35
#6 Join the Dance 8-1 34
Race 11:
#4 Hall of Fame 4-1 38
#8 Komorebino Omoide 8-1 37
#7 Batten Down 4-1 36
#6 Maycocks Bay 10-1 35
Race 12:
#3 Unit Economics (GB) 5-1 36
#2 Gigante 7-2 35
#1 What Say Thee 9-2 34
#8 Taking Candy 4-1 33
Race 13:
#6 Simply Joking 4-1 33
#3 Ballerina d’Oro 7-2 32
#2 Good Cheer 6-5 31
#1 Anonima 6-1 30
Race 14:
#9 Built 5-1 34
#4 East Avenue 9-5 33
#3 Vassimo 8-1 32
#2 Jonathan’s Way 4-1 31
Fair Grounds Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 7,10,6,1
Race 2: 2,1,5,3
Race 3: 2,1
Race 4: 5,8,2
Race 5: 6,11,3,7
$.50 Ticket: $192
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 2,1,5,3
Race 3: 2,1,8
Race 4: 5,8,2,1
Race 5: 6,11,3
$.50 Ticket: $72
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 5,8,2,1
Race 5: 6,11,3,7
Race 6: 7,3,4,1
Race 7: 8,1
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick (7-10):
Race 7: 8,1,3,6
Race 8: 4,2,6,10
Race 9: 1,2,7
Race 10: 5,14,8,6
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 6:
Race 9: 1,2,7
Race 10: 5,14,8
Race 11: 4,8,7
Race 12: 3,2
Race 13: 6,3,2
Race 14: 9
$1.00 Ticket: $162
Late Pick 5:
Race 10: 5,14,8,6
Race 11: 4,8,7
Race 12: 3,2
Race 13: 6,3,2
Race 14: 9,4,3
$.50 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 4:
Race 11: 4,8,7,6
Race 12: 3,2
Race 13: 6,3,2,1
Race 14: 9,4,3,2
$.50 Ticket: $64
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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