February 16th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 15,980/24,693 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 11,368/24,693. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*5 on top winners Saturday at Aqueduct…

*6 on top winners Saturday at Fair Grounds…

*Pick 6 for us Saturday at Fair Grounds…$486.94 on a $115.20 ticket…

*Presidents’ Day Full Card Oaklawn Park Picks/ Plays below…

Oaklawn Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#1 River Wind 6-1 16 1st $10.40
#6 Love Supreme 5-2 15
#7 Quick to Charm2-1 15 2nd $2.60
#3 Grace Me 5-1 14 3rd $3.60

Race 2:

#1 Relevate 5-1 15
#9 Belvedere Club 9-2 14
#7 Ahhsexygirlfriend 10-1 13
#6 Donita 6-1 13

Race 3:

#3 Jet Pack 5-2 26 1st $8.20
#10 Blue Dazzler 4-1 25 3rd $3.80
#7 Dark Fury 3-1 25
#1 Laura Branigan 5-1 24 2nd $7.40

Race 4:

#8 Carolo Rapido 3-1 31
#1 Systematic Change 5-2 30 1st $12.40
#7 Papa Yo 5-1 29 scratched
#2 Mena 10-1 28 2nd $5.20

Race 5:

#12 Huckaby 3-1 12 3rd $2.10
#9 Pearcy Road 7-2 11 3rd $2.10
#3 Bali Deen 15-1 10
#5 Cool Under Fire 15-1 9 1st $19.20

Race 6:

#10 Bettera 4-1 27
#11 Ga Mo Tak (CHI) 3-1 26 1st $8.80
#8 Brittany’s Dream 10-1 25
#1 Cobblestone Bridge 5-2 25

Race 7:

#4 Strato 8-1 26 4th
#7 King Peanut 3-1 25 2nd $5.80
#6 Azteca Warrior 12-1 24 3rd $6.80
#12 Natorade 9-2 23

Race 8:

#7 Barb 5-2 30 2nd $4.60
#5 Camp Evans 10-1 29 scratched
#10 Anthonian 9-2 28
#2 The Warden 3-1 28

Race 9:

#8 Ewing 6-5 33
#9 Oscar’s Hope 5-2 31 1st $7.20
#1 Dirty Rich 8-1 30 scratched
#4 Swung 6-1 29 3rd $5.40

Race 10:

#10 Crisis Manager 5-2 32
#8 Dance Some Mo 3-1 31
#3 Gun Runner Charlie 7-2 30 1st $6.80
#4 Faust 6-1 29 4th

Race 11:

#5 Go Go Ro Ro 3-1 14
#3 More Power 6-1 13 1st $14.80
#13 My Russian 4-1 AE 13 4th
#2 Conway 5-1 12
#1 Golden City Street 15-1 11

Oaklawn Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 1,6,7

Race 2: 1,9,7,6

Race 3: 3,10,7

Race 4: 8,1

Race 5: 12,9

$.50 Ticket: $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 1,9,7,6

Race 3: 3,10,7,1

Race 4: 8,1,7

Race 5: 12,9

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 3,10,7,1

Race 4: 8,1

Race 5: 12,9

Race 6: 10,11,8,1

Race 7: 4,7,6,12

$.50 Ticket: $128

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 8,1

Race 5: 12,9

Race 6: 10,11,8,1

Race 7: 4,7,6,12

$.50 Ticket: $32

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 12,9,3,5

Race 6: 10,11,8,1

Race 7: 4,7,6,12

Race 8: 7,5,10,2

Race 9: 8

$.50 Ticket: $128

Pick 6:

Race 6: 10,11

Race 7: 4,7,6,12

Race 8: 7

Race 9: 8

Race 10: 10,8,3

Race 11: 5,3,13

$1.00 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 4,7,6,12

Race 8: 7,5,10,2

Race 9: 8

Race 10: 10,8,3

Race 11: 5,3,13,2

$.50 Ticket: $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 7,5,10,2

Race 9: 8,9

Race 10: 10,8,3,4

Race 11: 5,3,13,2

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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