February 19th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 15,987/24,704 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 11,371/24,704. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*5 on top winners last Saturday at Aqueduct…

*6 on top winners last Saturday at Fair Grounds…

*Pick 6 for us last Saturday at Fair Grounds…$486.94 on a $115.20 ticket…

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Park Picks/ Plays below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#1 Cararra 4-1 28
#4 Broadway Lights 2-1 28
#6 Bobby Jean 6-1 27
#5 Vino Frizzante 5-1 26

Race 2:

#7 Radio Red 7-2 33
#4 Chileno 5-1 32
#3 Antonio of Venice 4-1 31
#1 Bourbon Chase 2-1 31

Race 3:

#6 New York Scrappy 2-1 27
#3 Apollo Code 7-5 27
#1 Fric and Frac 5-1 26
#7 Capt Jax Parrow 6-1 25

Race 4:

#8 Lucky Dude 5-1 28
#2 Master of Arms 5-2 27
#6 Stolen Base 3-1 27
#4 Graywing 8-1 26

Race 5:

#4 Take Me to Londyn 3-1 26
#8 Tammy’s Cruiser 8-1 25
#6 Spirit of Esther 2-1 25
#5 Cara’s Chianti 8-1 24

Race 6:

#3 Princess Ny 8-1 29
#2 Meg’s Foxy Grey 4-5 28
#1 Brunch With Amy 3-1 27
#7 Looks First 5-1 26

Race 7:

#3 Burninhunkoflove 3-1 30
#5 Roar of the Crowd 8-1 29
#2 Play 5-2 28
#1 Shoot the Nickel 5-1 27

Race 8:

#9 Sequential 7-2 28
#1 Magnanimous Max 4-1 27
#2 Ambridge 9-2 27
#10 Smallchangegeep 6-1 26

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 1,4

Race 2: 7,4,3,1

Race 3: 6,3

Race 4: 8,2,6,4

Race 5: 4,8,6,5

$.50 Ticket: $128

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 7,4,3,1

Race 3: 6,3

Race 4: 8,2,6

Race 5: 4,8,6,5

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 6:

Race 3: 6,3

Race 4: 8,2,6

Race 5: 4,8,6

Race 6: 3,2

Race 7: 3

Race 8: 9,1,2

$1.00 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 4: 8,2,6

Race 5: 4,8,6

Race 6: 3,2,1

Race 7: 3,5,2,1

Race 8: 9,1,2

$.50 Ticket: $162

Late Pick 4:

Race 5: 4,8,6,5

Race 6: 3,2,1

Race 7: 3,5,2

Race 8: 9,1,2

$.50 Ticket: $54

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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