A Winning Day at the Races!

February 28th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,008/24,741 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 11,388/24,741. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Middle Pick 4 for us last Saturday at Gulfstream Park$1,061.15 on a $48 ticket…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Gulfstream Park Picks/ Plays below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#6 Sfumato 4-1                         19
#7 Bargain Purchase 5-1         18
#5 Bounty Banker 2-1              17
#1 Central Spirit 12-1               17

Race 2:

#5 Interstatelovesong 8-5        31
#1 Nycon 3-1                               30
#3 Paradise 7-5                           29
#2 Current Yield 6-1                  28

Race 3:

#5 Rare Society 6-1                   28
#7 Howling Wind 3-1                27
#1 Queens Over Threes 4-1     27
#8 Carol T 12-1                           26

Race 4:

#2 One Nine Hundred 4-5        35
#4 Acoustic Ave 3-1                    33
#3 Bold Journey 9-2                    32
#5 Full Moon Madness 4-1        31

Race 5:

#4 Hours in a Day 2-1                 28
#9 Skylander 3-1                          27
#11 Centavo 15-1                         26
#2 Knox 9-2                                   25

Race 6:

#5 Atira 8-1                                   17
#12 Sugartown Sweetie 5-1       16
#4 Daylight Dreamer 7-2            16
#6 Barbour County 8-1                15

Race 7:

#2 Fireballin 4-1                           29
#5 Calling Card 2-1                      28
#9 Sir Kartrite 7-2                         27
#8 Mozambique 5-1                      26

Race 8:

#2 Full Screen 8-5                         36
#4 Yo Daddy 5-1                            34
#1 Ridgewood Runner 12-1         33
#5 Counterspy 15-1                       32

Race 9:

#9 V Cruizer 12-1                          33
#3 Dreamlike 4-1                           32
#8 Bramito 8-1                               31
#7 Mr Skylight 12-1                       31

Race 10:

#6 Iron Honor 6-5                         34
#7 Exhibition Only 15-1               33
#2 Hammond 5-1                           32
#1 Balboa 6-1                                  32

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  6,7,5

Race 2:  5,1,3

Race 3:  5,7,1

Race 4:  2,4

Race 5:  4,9,11

$.50 Ticket:  $81

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,1,3

Race 3:  5,7,1

Race 4:  2,4

Race 5:  4,9,11,2

$.50 Ticket:  $36

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  5,7,1

Race 4:  2,4

Race 5:  4,9,11,2

Race 6:  5,12,4

Race 7:  2,5,9

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  2,4

Race 5:  4,9,11,2

Race 6:  5,12,4,6

Race 7:  2,5,9

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 5:  4,9

Race 6:  5,12,4,6

Race 7:  2,5,9

Race 8:  2

Race 9:  9,3,8,7

Race 10: 6,7,2

$1.00 Ticket:  $288

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  5,12,4,6

Race 7:  2,5,9

Race 8:  2,4

Race 9:  9,3,8,7

Race 10: 6,7,2

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  2,5,9

Race 8:  2,4

Race 9:  9,3,8

Race 10: 6,7,2,1

$.50 Ticket:  $36

Gulfstream Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1 Noble Confessor 5-1               33
#12 Uncatalyzed (GB) 9-2           32
#3 Smooth Breeze 7-2                  31
#9 Revolutionnaire (FR) 10-1     31

Race 2:

#7 Al Loud 8-1                                20
#11 Gilded Bandit 10-1                 19
#8 Quentin B 7-2                            19
#1 Sovereign Law 4-1                    18

Race 3:

#1 Zeppelin 7-2                               31
#3 I C Light 10-1                             30
#8 Behold the King 15-1                30
#2 Vasy (IRE) 8-1                             29

Race 4:

#1 Battle of Normandy 6-1            35
#7 Wolfie’s Dynaghost 1-1             34
#4 Tiz Dashing 10-1                        33
#8 Fort Washington 4-1                  32

Race 5:

#7 Criteria 9-5                                 21
#8 Royal Crescent 9-2                    20
#6 Bold Fact 4-1                              19
#4 Power Aura 15-1                        18

Race 6:

#5 Sapphire Beach (IRE) 7-2         32
#10 Spirit Doll 4-1                           31
#9 Sister Troienne 6-5                    31
#7 Connect the Stars 20-1             30

Race 7:

#6 Knightsbridge 1-5                       38
#5 Mika 3-1                                        36
#2 Flying Liam 12-1                         34
#1 Bernin Hot 20-1                           33

Race 8:

#1 Tenacious Leader 4-1                 34
#8 Burnham Square 5-1                  34
#9 Chapman’s Peak 9-2                   33
#3 Cruise the Nile 6-1                      32

Race 9:

#9 Prevent 9-2                                   33
#11 Horsepower 4-1                         32
#6 Ciao Chuck 6-1                            32
#10 Palazzi 12-1                                31

Race 10:

#4 Candy Quest 5-2                          33
#3 Venencia (FR) 6-1                        32
#9 No Show Sammy Jo (GB) 9-5     32
#1 Gallant Greta 12-1                       31

Race 11:

#8 She Be Smooth 5-1                      33
#9 On Time Girl 9-5                          32
#7 Swing Vote 3-1                              31
#4 Omaha Bay 6-1                             30

Race 12:

#9 Lush Lips (GB) 2-1                       36
#10 Crevalle d’Oro 5-2                     35
#6 Movin’ On Up 3-1                        34
#1 Silver Moonlight 15-1                 33

Race 13:

#2 Without (IRE) 8-1                        34
#7 Zverev 5-1                                      34
#6 Anegada 9-2                                  33
#3 Layabout 5-2                                 33

Race 14:

#1 Jackson Hole 8-1                          34
#4 Commandment 2-1                      33
#6 Chief Wallabee 9-2                       32
#10 Solitude Dude 5-1                       32

Gulfstream Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  1,12,3

Race 2:  7,11,8,1

Race 3:  1,3,8,2

Race 4:  1,7

Race 5:  7,8

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  7,11,8,1

Race 3:  1,3,8,2

Race 4:  1,7

Race 5:  7,8,6,4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  1,3,8,2

Race 4:  1,7

Race 5:  7,8,6

Race 6:  5,10,9

Race 7:  6,5

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  1,7,4,8

Race 5:  7,8,6

Race 6:  5,10,9

Race 7:  6,5

$.50 Ticket:  $36

Pick 5 (6-10):

Race 6:  5,10,9

Race 7:  6,5

Race 8:  1,8,9,3

Race 9:  9,11,6

Race 10: 4,3,9

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Pick 4 (7-10):

Race 7:  6,5

Race 8:  1,8,9,3

Race 9:  9,11,6,10

Race 10: 4,3,9,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 9:  9,11,6

Race 10: 4,3,9

Race 11:  8,9,7

Race 12:  9,10,6

Race 13:  2,7,6,3

Race 14:  1,4

$.20 Ticket:  $129.60

Late Pick 5:

Race 10:  4,3,9

Race 11:  8,9,7,4

Race 12:  9,10,6

Race 13:  2,7,6,3

Race 14:  1,4

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 11:  8,9,7,4

Race 12:  9,10

Race 13:  2,7,6,3

Race 14:  1,4,6,10

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 

 


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