January 11th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,171/20,171, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,274/20,171. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Early Pick 5/4 for us last Friday at Aqueduct…$292.75 on a $81 ticket…$110.25 on a $48 ticket…

*Pick 6 for us last Friday at Aqueduct…$2871 on a $72 ticket…

*Late Pick 5/4 for us last Friday at Aqueduct…$596.50 on a $108 ticket…$105.25 on a $36 ticket…

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#3 Memphis 2-1 27
#2 South Street 9-2 26
#1 Opportunity Set 5-2 25
#4 Screw Loose 4-1 24

Race 2:

#7 Simple Sugar 4-1 25
#5 Cupids Girl 8-5 24
#2 High School Crush 6-1 24
#3 Diamond Collector 23

Race 3:

#4 I’m Buzzy 3-1 27
#8 Slack Tide 6-1 26
#5 Jackie the Joker 7-2 25
#3 Honorable Lilly 20-1 24

Race 4:

#3 Try It Again 8-1 26
#8 Roja Ligera 5-1 25
#1 Bern Rosey Bern 7-2 25
#4 Fuligni 8-1 24

Race 5:

#9 Locke and Key 5-1 29
#2 Horse Be With You 15-1 28
#8 Shpilkes 7-2 27
#3 Signal Corps 3-1 27

Race 6:

#2 Nyxed 9-5 18
#8 La Girvina 5-2 17
#1 Misintention 7-2 16
#5 Risk Free 7-2 15

Race 7:

#1 Starship Defiant 5-1 30
#3 Desert Dalliance 8-1 29
#8 Royal Poppy 7-2 28
#1a Taming the Tigress 5-1 27

Race 8:

#12 Needed 7-2 14
#13 Rezoom 8-1 13
#4 Miss Nyquist 15-1 12
#1 No Layups 6-1 12

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 3,2,1

Race 2: 7,5,2

Race 3: 4,8,5 *8 scratched using 4,5,3

Race 4: 3,8,1 *3 scratched using 8,1,4

Race 5: 9,2,8,3

$.50 Ticket: $162

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 7,5,2

Race 3: 4,8,5 *8 scratched using 4,5,3

Race 4: 3,8,1 *3 scratched using 8,1,4

Race 5: 9,2,8,3

$.50 Ticket: $54

Pick 6:

Race 3: 4,8 *8 scratched using 4,5

Race 4: 3,8,1 *3 scratched using 8,1,4

Race 5: 9,2,8,3

Race 6: 2

Race 7: 1/1a,3,8

Race 8: 12,13,4

$1.00 Ticket: $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 4: 3,8,1 *3 scratched using 8,1,4

Race 5: 9,2,8,3

Race 6: 2,8

Race 7: 1/1a,3,8

Race 8: 12,13,4,1

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 5: 9,2,8,3

Race 6: 2,8

Race 7: 1/1a,3,8

Race 8: 12,13,4,1

$.50 Ticket: $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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