
A Winning Day at the Races!
January 18th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,545/22,368 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,321/22,368. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Dealing with health issues will post Picks/Plays when able…
*Early Pick 4 for us yesterday at Aqueduct…$1,672.75 on a $64 ticket…
*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Fair Grounds Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#2 Accelerina 6-1 26 3rd $3.40
#3 Wild Iris 8-5 25
#7 Lem Me Drink 6-1 25 4th
#4 Lady Laoban 6-1 24 1st $15.00
Race 2:
#7 York Tavern 6-5 27 3rd $2.20
#5 Janssen 7-2 26 1st $5.60
#1 Just Be Honest 9-2 25
#6 Deputy Connect 9-2 24
Race 3:
#1a La Banquera 8-5 26 1st $4.50
#1 Enfuega 8-5 25
#5 La Grotte 9-2 24 4th
#4 Big Hazel 15-1 23
Race 4:
#3 Sundaeswithsandy 7-5 29 1st $3.40
#6 Montebello 3-1 28 2nd $3.70 Ex $18.20
#4 Eric From Miami 6-1 27
#1 Allure of Money 8-1 26
Race 5:
#6 Toxic Gray 6-5 33 3rd $2.10
#4 Squire Creek 8-1 32
#2 Ridgewood Runner 5-1 31 2nd $5.10
#3 Spun and Won 7-2 30
Race 6:
#7 Stjames 8-1 27 scratched
#10 Ice Road 4-1 27 3rd $3.00
#2 Whiskey N Soda 2-1 26 4th
#5 Winter’s Ghost 6-1 25 2nd $5.90
Race 7:
#10 Shipsational 10-1 32 3rd $6.50
#4 Quick to Accuse 5-2 31 4th
#6 Silo Ridge 6-1 30
#1a Crazy Mason 3-1 30 1st $8.10
Race 8:
#9 Running Away 3-1 30 1st $5.10
#3 Ramify 5-2 29 4th
#7 My Sherrona 9-2 28 2nd $6.30
#6 Ruth 8-1 27
Race 9:
#3 Vamonos Vamonos 4-1 15 1st $7.20 Dbl $23.60
#6 Cada Dia Mejor 6-1 14
#13 Play the Gray 10-1 13
#4 Whiskey Frens 7-2 12 3rd $4.50
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 2,3,7,4
Race 2: 7,5
Race 3: 1a/1,5
Race 4: 3,6,4
Race 5: 6,4,2,3
$.50 Ticket: $96
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 7,5,1,6
Race 3: 1a/1,5
Race 4: 3,6,4,1
Race 5: 6,4,2,3
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 4 (3-6):
Race 3: 1a/1,5
Race 4: 3,6,4,1
Race 5: 6,4,2,3
Race 6: 7,10,2,5
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 6:
Race 4: 3,6
Race 5: 6
Race 6: 7,10,2 *7 scratched using 10,2,5
Race 7: 10,4,6,1a/1
Race 8: 9,3
Race 9: 3,6,13
$1.00 Ticket: $144
Late Pick 5:
Race 5: 6,4,2,3
Race 6: 7,10,2 *7 scratched using 10,2,5
Race 7: 10,4,6,1a/1
Race 8: 9,3
Race 9: 3,6,13,4
$.50 Ticket: $192
Late Pick 4:
Race 6: 7,10,2,5
Race 7: 10,4,6,1a/1
Race 8: 9,3
Race 9: 3,6,13,4
$.50 Ticket: $64
Fair Grounds Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#8 Springtown 6-1 28
#7 Kenmore West 3-1 27 2nd $3.60
#3 Givemeasecond 4-1 26
#1 Benji Star 9-2 26 1st $3.80
Race 2:
#3 The Rain Is Gone 4-1 14 4th
#10 C C Short Drive 7-2 13 1st $10.00
#7 Wosiemaks 6-1 12
#9 Kalil 6-1 11
Race 3:
#12 My Boy Tony 9-2 32
#6 Sand Pipes 3-1 31
#5 News At Nine 5-1 30
#4 Curlin’s Gesture 12-1 29
Dirt Selections
#15 My Noble Knight 6-1 scratched
#4 Curlin’s Gesture 12-1 2nd $6.80
#2 National Eclipse 20-1 1st $15.20 Ex $84.40
#10 Rock N Roll Bolt 8-1 scratched
#3 Devilsgotacause 15-1 3rd $3.80 Tri $395.40
Race 4:
#5 Margie’s Intention 6-1 14 1st $5.00
#10 Eve of Eve 8-1 13
#3 Thundering Desire 6-1 12 4th
#6 A Wicked Number 6-1 12
Race 5:
#12 Just Surprise Me 8-1 16
#3 Silent Breeze 8-1 15 4th
#5 Pair of Socks 7-2 14 1st $3.20
#9 Hard Line 6-1 13
Race 6:
#1 Nobals 9-5 38
#11 Bear River 6-1 37
#6 Mischievous Rogue 9-2 36
#8 Swift as I Am 15-1 35
Dirt Selections
#10 Over and Ollie 12-1 2nd $4.20
#7 Uncashed 15-1
#3 Kavod 12-1 1st $9.80
#4 Demolition Duke 10-1 3rd $3.40
#5 Felix 15-1 scratched
Race 7:
#7 Cromwell 9-2 19 2nd $4.20
#1 Yinzer 9-2 18
#5 Doroteo 3-1 18 3rd $3.40
#6 Hypnus 10-1 17
Race 8:
#3 Stir Crazy 5-1 34
#10 Join the Dance 10-1 33
#7 Austere 10-1 32
#1 Cupids Crush 4-1 32
Dirt Selections
#3 Stir Crazy 5-1 1st $6.00
#4 Strikingly Spun 12-1 3rd $3.40
#11 Tryinmyheartout 20-1
#6 Way to Be Marie 6-1 scratched
#1 Cupids Crush 4-1
Race 9:
#3 Simply Joking 3-1 32 1st $5.40 Dbl $15.60
#6 Gowells Delight 8-1 31 scratched
#1 Chasten 4-1 30 4th
#2 Golden Gamble 7-2 30
Race 10:
#7 Gigante 7-2 37
#9 What Say Thee 6-1 36
#1 Northen Invader 5-1 35
#5 Idratherbeblessed 8-1 34
Dirt Selections
#13 Tonka Warrior 12-1
#12 Money Supply 20-1
#4 Duke of Carthania 30-1
#8 Higgins Boat 8-1
#5 Idratherbeblessed 8-1
Race 11:
#4 Heroic Move 8-1 38
#5 Skinner 9-2 37
#10 Maycocks Bay 10-1 36
#1 Hit Show 5-2 35
Race 12:
#11 Disco Time 9-2 32
#13 Built 3-1 31
#8 Tough Catch 10-1 30
#4 Magnitude 6-1 29
Fair Grounds Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 8,7,3,1
Race 2: 3,10,7,9
Race 3: 12,6 Dirt: 4,2
Race 4: 5,10,3
Race 5: 12,3,5
$.50 Ticket: $144 $249.85
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 3,10,7
Race 3: 12,6,5 Dirt: 4,2,3
Race 4: 5,10,3,6
Race 5: 12,3,5,9
$.50 Ticket: $72 $130.20
Pick 5 (4-8):
Race 4: 5,10,3,6
Race 5: 12,3,5,9
Race 6: 1,11 Dirt: 10,7
Race 7: 7,1,5
Race 8: 3,10,7,1 Dirt: 3,4,11,6
$.50 Ticket: $192
Pick 4 (5-8):
Race 5: 12,3,5,9
Race 6: 1,11 Dirt: 10,7
Race 7: 7,1,5
Race 8: 3,10,7,1 Dirt: 3,4,11,6
$.50 Ticket: $48
Pick 6:
Race 7: 7,1,5
Race 8: 3,10,7,1 Dirt: 3,4,11,6
Race 9: 3,6,1 *6 scratched 3,1,2
Race 10: 7 Dirt: 12
Race 11: 4,5
Race 12: 11
$1.00 Ticket: $72
Late Pick 5:
Race 8: 3,10,7,1 Dirt: 3,4,11,6
Race 9: 3,6,1,2
Race 10: 7,9,1 Dirt: 12,4,5
Race 11: 4,5,10
Race 12: 11,13
$.50 Ticket: $144
Late Pick 4:
Race 9: 3,6,1,2
Race 10: 7,9,1 Dirt: 12,4,5
Race 11: 4,5,10,1
Race 12: 11,13,8,4
$.50 Ticket: $96
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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