July 13th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,760/21,107 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,721/21,107. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Saturday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#3 Gerlin’s Empire 6-1 17 2nd $4.80
#2 Mischief Maxey 9-2 16 3rd $3.00
#7 Mezcalifornia 8-1 16 4th
#4 Dare to Breeze 4-5 15 1st $3.10 Spr $184

Race 2:

#2 Mysterious Night 8-5 38 *Best Bet scratched
#4 Talk of the Nation 2-1 36 2nd $2.20
#5 Carl Spackler (IRE) 2-1 36 1st $3.50
#1 Call Me Harry 15-1 35 4th

Race 3:

#1a Top Gunner 2-1 33 1st $5.60
#2 Poppy’s Pride 6-1 32
#6 Milton the Monster 9-2 32
#4 Celestial Glaze 3-1 31 3rd $3.20

Race 4:

#3 Classic Legacy 5-2 32 2nd $2.40
#4 Kunshan Bridge 8-1 32
#2 Illuminare 7-5 31 1st $4.10
#8 J D Factor 6-1 30 scratched

Race 5:

#3 Rebel Red (GB) 5-1 33 1st $6.70
#1a Unit Economics 6-5 32 2nd $2.80 Ex $13.40
#8 Samburu (GB) 8-1 32 4th
#4 Hunt Ball 8-1 31 3rd $4.50 Spr $195

Race 6:

#1 Turriga 5-1 29
#7 Stolen Future 7-2 28 4th
#11 Strictly Taboo 6-1 28 1st $7.70
#9 Quick Power Nap 8-1 27

Race 7:

#1 Tough Catch 8-1 19 1st $15.00
#7 Munson 6-1 18 4th
#3 Tenacious Leader 5-2 18
#6 Sam’s Rocket 5-1 17

Race 8:

#3 Upstanding 4-1 20 3rd $5.00
#2 Point Clear 5-1 19
#7 Commuted 5-1 19
#4 Reynolds Channel 6-1 18 1st $21.60

Race 9:

#8 Irish Aces 2-1 35 3rd $2.70
#9 Beuys (IRE) 5-1 34
#7 George W 8-1 33 4th
#3 Phileas Fogg 12-1 32

Race 10:

#10 Chili Flag (FR) 9-2 39
#3 Mission of Joy 10-1 38
#6 Whitebeam (GB) 4-1 37 1st $11.60
#8 Neecie Marie 12-1 37

Race 11:

#8 Mo Plex 6-1 33 1st $5.70
#1 Mentee 6-5 33 scratched
#6 Studlydoright 7-2 32 2nd $2.70 Ex $15.40
#7 War Tax 15-1 31

Race 12:

#6 Sugar Gray Leonard 6-1 29
#9 Rithm Nic 9-2 28 1st $6.60
#5 Heymackit’sjack 8-1 27
#7 Three Zero 6-1 27

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 3,2,7,4

Race 2: 2,4 *2 scratched using 4,5

Race 3: 1a/1,2,6,4

Race 4: 3,4,2

Race 5: 3,1a/1

$.50 Ticket: $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 2,4 *2 scratched using 4,5

Race 3: 1a/1,2,6,4

Race 4: 3,4,2,8

Race 5: 3,1a/1,8,4

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 3,4,2,8

Race 5: 3,1a/1

Race 6: 1,7,11,9

Race 7: 1,7,3,6

$.50 Ticket: $64 $171

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 3,1a/1

Race 6: 1,7,11,9

Race 7: 1,7,3

Race 8: 3,2,7

Race 9: 8,9

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6: 1,7,11,9

Race 7: 1,7,3,6

Race 8: 3,2,7,4

Race 9: 8,9

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 7: 1,7,3,6

Race 8: 3,2,7

Race 9: 8

Race 10: 10,3,6

Race 11: 8,1 *1 scratched using 8,6

Race 12: 6,9

$1.00 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 8: 3,2,7,4

Race 9: 8,9,7,3

Race 10: 10,3,6

Race 11: 8,1,6 *1 scratched using 8,6,7

Race 12: 6,9

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 9: 8,9,7,3

Race 10: 10,3,6,8

Race 11: 8,1,6 *1 scratched using 8,6,7

Race 12: 6,9,5

$.50 Ticket: $72

Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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