July 19th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,271/23,517 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,873/23,517. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*No “Membership” needed, all content will continue to be posted here daily through the Saratoga meet…

*Middle Pick 5 Races (3-7) for us last Saturday at Saratoga…$967 on a $108 ticket…

*Late Pick 5 for us Wednesday at Saratoga…$847.75 on a $96 ticket…

*Early Pick 4 for us Thursday at Saratoga…$277.50 on a $48 ticket…

*Middle Pick 5 for us Thursday at Saratoga…$546.75 on a $144 ticket…

*Saturday’s Full Card Saratoga & Monmouth Park Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#1 Shakti 9-2 15 1st $14.60
#8 Atenea 3-1 14
#7 Blue Highway 8-1 14
#4 Belloro 5-2 13 3rd $2.60

Race 2:

#10 Come Full Circle 10-1 16
#5 Oat Coutour 8-1 16 2nd $4.00
#8 English Castle 5-2 15 1st $3.40
#2 Trinity River 2-1 15

Race 3:

#3 Not for Hire 7-2 29 4th
#5 Bosun 5-2 28 1st $6.60
#4 On the Ledge 9-2 27 3rd $2.40
#7 Identity Crisis 5-1 27

Race 4:

#6 Strong State 9-2 30 1st $8.30
#7 Claire’s Run 8-1 29
#4 Justthefactsjack 5-1 28
#3 Paula’s a Star 7-2 28 2nd $5.30

Race 5:

#1a Rhetorical 4-5 33 1st $3.00 Dbl $14
#8 Activist Investing 4-1 32 2nd $3.20
#1 Clear Conscience 4-5 31
#2 Oh Really 8-1 30 3rd $2.10

Race 6:

#6 Alimara (FR) 3-1 32
#11 Cailin Dana 12-1 31 scratched
#9 Can’t Fool Me 15-1 30
#2 Curlin’s Angel 5-2 30 3rd $2.50

Race 7:

#8 Growth Equity 5-2 19 2nd $5.00
#4 Emphasis 4-1 18 1st $12.60 Ex $52.00
#5 Franklin Delano 8-1 18
#2 Honey’s to Blame 20-1 17

Race 8:

#2 Greystone 10-1 34 scratched
#7 Mayor of Midnight 5-1 33
#9 Padiddle 7-2 32 4th
#6 Bettrluckythangood 6-1 31 3rd $5.50

Race 9:

#6 Pipsy (IRE) 7-2 37
#4 Kairyu (IRE) 6-1 36
#7 Future Is Now 5-2 35 1st $6.40
#5 Pandora’s Gift (IRE) 5-1 35

Race 10:

#1 Immersive 8-5 35 2nd $2.10
#3 Scottish Lassie 9-2 34 1st $6.70
#2 Sweet Seraphine 8-1 33 scratched
#6 La Cara 2-1 32 scratched

Race 11:

#4 Mullikin 7-2 42 2nd $2.60
#5 Book’em Danno 5-2 41 1st $4.80
#7 Baby Yoda 6-1 40
#6 Nash 8-1 39

Race 12:

#6 Stars and Strides 7-5 33
#11 Singleminded 15-1 32
#9 Invictus 4-1 31
#3 Vekoma Rides 10-1 30

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 1,8,7,4

Race 2: 10,5,8,2 *2 scratched using 10,5,8,3

Race 3: 3,5

Race 4: 6,7,4,3

Race 5: 1a/1

$.50 Ticket: $64 $171.50

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 10,5,8,2 *2 scratched using 10,5,8,3

Race 3: 3,5,4,7

Race 4: 6,7,4,3

Race 5: 1a/1,8

$.50 Ticket: $64 $20.37

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 3,5,4

Race 4: 6,7,4,3

Race 5: 1a/1,8

Race 6: 6,11,9,2 *11 scratched using 6,9,2,4

Race 7: 8,4

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 6,7,4,3

Race 5: 1a/1,8

Race 6: 6,11,9,2 *11 scratched using 6,9,2,4

Race 7: 8,4,5,2

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 1a/1,8

Race 6: 6,11,9,2 *11 scratched using 6,9,2,4

Race 7: 8,4,5

Race 8: 2,7,9 *2 scratched using 7,9,6

Race 9: 6,4,7

$.50 Ticket: $108

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6: 6,11,9,2 *11 scratched using 6,9,2,4

Race 7: 8,4,5,2

Race 8: 2,7,9,6 *2 scratched using 7,9,6,1

Race 9: 6,4

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 7: 8,4

Race 8: 2,7,9 *2 scratched using 7,9,6

Race 9: 6,4,7

Race 10: 1

Race 11: 4,5

Race 12: 6

$1.00 Ticket: $36

Late Pick 5:

Race 8: 2,7,9,6 *2 scratched using 7,9,6,1

Race 9: 6,4,7,5

Race 10: 1,3,2,6

Race 11: 4,5

Race 12: 6

$.50 Ticket: $64

Late Pick 4:

Race 9: 6,4,7

Race 10: 1,3,2,6

Race 11: 4,5,7,6

Race 12: 6,11,9

$.50 Ticket: $72

Monmouth Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Forward Deployed 4-1 28 2nd $3.20
#10 Notable Exchange 6-1 27
#8 Victory Badge 5-1 27
#2 Obeissante 9-2 26 3rd $3.20

Race 2:

#7 Noticeable 5-2 19
#2 Always Authentic 7-2 17
#1 Risuko 6-1 16 2nd $4.60
#6 Estefania Light 5-1 15

Race 3:

#4 Freedom Glider 3-1 18
#11 Investment Mandate 4-1 17 1st $8.00
#5 Gallant Lad 6-1 16 3rd $4.00
#6 Team of Rivals 8-1 15 4th

Race 4:

#3 Valentinian 3-1 30 2nd $3.00
#8 Shifty Gold 9-2 29
#5 Cartucho 7-2 28 3rd $2.80
#6 Mr. Papagiorgio 7-2 28 1st $8.60

Race 5:

#3 Spaliday 7-2 35
#5 Segesta 3-1 34 1st $7.60
#1 Grayosh 4-1 33 3rd $3.40
#2 Sacred Wish 5-2 33 2nd $2.60

Race 6:

#3 Classic Catch 5-2 36 4th
#4 Just a Touch 3-5 35 2nd $2.10
#6 Surface to Air 8-1 33 1st $41.40
#1 Gran Yaco 30-1 31

Race 7:

#9 Assertiveness 10-1 31
#12 Shrug 12-1 30
#13 Concord Green 20-1 29 4th
#11 Equivoque 10-1 29

Race 8:

#2 Yara’s Quest 5-1 28 4th
#6 Mister Lincoln 3-1 27 scratched
#4 Lord Berrier 7-2 26
#9 Pedro Nunes 4-1 25

Race 9:

#1 Buccherino 5-1 35 4th
#7 Nothing Better 3-1 34 2nd $3.20
#6 Isivunguvungu (SAF) 5-2 33
#8 Eamonn 9-2 32 3rd $4.20

Race 10:

#5 Dorth Vader 4-1 36 4th
#1 Candied 3-1 35 3rd $2.20
#4 Majestic Oops 6-1 34 2nd $6.20
#2 Occult 6-1 33

Race 11:

#3 Redistricting (GB) 7-2 38 1st $4.60
#4 Limited Liability 4-1 37
#7 Rebel Red (GB) 9-2 36
#1 Corruption 8-1 35 scratched

Race 12:

#6 Gosger 9-2 40 2nd $3.80
#8 Goal Oriented 4-1 39 3rd $2.40
#2 Journalism 4-5 39 1st $2.80 Tri $25.60
#4 Burnham Square 5-1 38

Race 13:

#2 Drakon 6-1 27 2nd $4.20
#4 Consultant 6-1 26
#6 More Than Work 7-2 25 3rd $3.00
#3 Be Here 6-1 25 4th

Race 14:

#7 Go Irish 5-2 26
#2 Midnight Story 8-1 25
#3 Doin This 6-1 24
#8 Boardwalk Jack 3-1 24

Monmouth Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 5,10,8,2

Race 2: 7,2

Race 3: 4,11,5,6

Race 4: 3,8,5

Race 5: 3,5

$.50 Ticket: $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 7,2

Race 3: 4,11,5,6

Race 4: 3,8,5,6

Race 5: 3,5,1,2

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 4,11,5,6

Race 4: 3,8,5

Race 5: 3,5,1,2

Race 6: 3,4

Race 7: 9,12,13,11

$.50 Ticket: $192

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 3,8,5,6

Race 5: 3,5

Race 6: 3,4,6,1

Race 7: 9,12,13,11

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 3,5

Race 6: 3,4

Race 7: 9,12,13,11

Race 8: 2,6,4,9 *6 scratched using 2,4,9,10

Race 9: 1,7,6,8

$.50 Ticket: $128

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6: 3,4

Race 7: 9,2,13,11

Race 8: 2,6,4,9 *6 scratched using 2,4,9,10

Race 9: 1,7,6,8

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (7-11):

Race 7: 9,12,13,11

Race 8: 2,6,4,9 *6 scratched using 2,4,9,10

Race 9: 1,7,6

Race 10: 5,1

Race 11: 3,4,7

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 6:

Race 8: 2,6,4,9 *6 scratched using 2,4,9,10

Race 9: 1,7,6,8

Race 10: 5,1,4

Race 11: 3,4,7

Race 12: 6,8,2

Race 13: 2,4,6

$.20 Ticket: $259.20

Pick 4 (9-12):

Race 9: 1,7,6,8

Race 10: 5,1,4,2

Race 11: 3,4,7

Race 12: 6,8,2

$.50 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 10: 5,1,4,2

Race 11: 3,4,7

Race 12: 6,8,2

Race 13: 2,4,6

Race 14: 7,2,3

$.50 Ticket: $162

Late Pick 4:

Race 11: 3,4,7,1

Race 12: 6,8,2

Race 13: 2,4,6,3

Race 14: 7,2,3,8

$.50 Ticket: $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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