A Winning Day at the Races!

July 24th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,814/21,194 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,762/21,194. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Wednesday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Macaw 4-5                         15 scratched
#1 Two Tons of Fun 9-2       14 1st $6.70
#5 Shakin the Belle 5-1        13 3rd $2.40
#8 Conniving 8-1                   12 2nd $5.00 Tri $68.48

Race 2:

#7 Pay the Juice 7-2             18 3rd $3.70
#9 Army Proud 6-1               17
#1 Pandemic Hero 9-2         17
#3 Iron Max 6-1                     16 4th

Race 3:

#6 Mel’s Baby Sister 6-1      27
#9 Chasing Daylight 9-5      26
#1 Shehanah 10-1                 25 3rd $7.80
#3 Echo in Eternity 6-1        25 1st $13.00

Race 4:

#1 Big Ego 6-5                       27 scratched 
#10 Irie Man 12-1                 26
#8 Stanley Rough 10-1        25
#4 Jake’s Orchard 12-1        24 3rd $4.50

Race 5:

#7 Funny Uncle 10-1           29 1st $13.60
#10 Waitlist 4-1                    28
#6 Scat Tu Tap 3-1               28
#1a Devilsgotacause 9-2     27 3rd $3.10

Race 6:

#5 Spinning Colors 6-1       30 1st $13.40 Dbl $182
#7 Overacting 7-2                 29
#6 Can’t Fool Me 8-1           28 2nd $7.50
#3 Spooky Lady 3-1              28

Race 7:

#4 Clearly Unhinged 5-1     34 3rd $3.10
#8 Munnys Gold 2-1             33 4th
#6 Spirit Wind 3-1                33 1st $12.00
#1 Accede 4-1                        32 2nd $6.10 Spr $183.40

Race 8:

#4 Street Ready 6-1              32
#2 Bourbon Day 9-2              31 2nd $2.80
#8 Kalik 3-1                            30 scratched
#11 Paros 7-2                         30 1st $9.10

Race 9:

#7 Lu’s Redemption 4-1       19 3rd $3.40
#4 Lucky and Gorgeous 7-2 17
#10 Saving Memories 10-1  16 4th
#6 Tongue Twister 5-1          16 1st $10.20

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,1,5 *2 scratched using 1,5,8

Race 2:  7,9,1,3

Race 3:  6,9

Race 4:  1,10,8,4 *1 scratched using 10,8,4,5

Race 5:  7,10,6

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  7,9,1,3

Race 3:  6,9,1,3

Race 4:  1,10,8,4 *1 scratched using 10,8,4,5

Race 5:  7,10,6

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  6,9,1,3

Race 4:  1,10,8,4 *1 scratched using 10,8,4,5

Race 5:  7,10,6,1a/1

Race 6:  5,7,6

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 6:

Race 4:  1 *1 scratched using 10

Race 5:  7,10,6

Race 6:  5,7,6,3

Race 7:  4,8,6

Race 8:  4,2

Race 9:  7,4

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  7,10,6,1a/1

Race 6:  5,7,6,3

Race 7:  4,8,6

Race 8:  4,2,8 *8 scratched using 4,2,11

Race 9:  7,4

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  5,7,6,3

Race 7:  4,8,6,1

Race 8:  4,2,8,11

Race 9:  7,4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 


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