A Winning Day at the Races!

July 30th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,320/23,604 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,907/23,604. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*No “Membership” needed, all content will continue to be posted here daily through the Saratoga meet…

*5 on top winners last Saturday at Saratoga

*Early Pick 5 for us last Sunday at Saratoga$738.25 on a $108 ticket…

*Wednesday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays below…

Saratoga Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#7 Memento (FR) 4-1
#1 Holey Moley 6-1 2nd $3.30
#5 Hidden Path 3-1 1st $8.20
#4 Sa’ad (FR) 10-1

Race 2:

#4 Embraceable Gal 3-1               29 2nd $2.50
#1 Stone Smuggler 7-5                 28 scratched 
#2 Mitole’s Girl 6-1                       28 4th
#5 Army Gal 5-2                             27 scratched

Race 3:

#3 Chocolatechocolate 5-2         16 2nd $4.30
#6 Sunset Sizzle 2-1                     16 1st $5.70 Ex $21.20
#2 Laughing Lady 5-2                   15 3rd $2.30 Tri $45
#4 Stirred Up 9-2                           14 4th Spr $68

Race 4:

#5 Hush of a Storm 3-1               36
#6 Corruption 7-5                         35
#3 Bourbon Day 8-1                     34
#7 Master Piece (CHI) 5-1           33

Race 5:

#2 Noguchi 4-1                              19
#3 V Cruizer 10-1                          18
#7 Discotheque 6-1                       18
#1 Career Risk 9-2                         17

Race 6:

#11 Keto Drink 2-1 AE                 20
#8 Lima Lima 12-1                        19
#4 Snow Face Princess 6-1          19
#3 Blanchett 8-1                            18
#2 Mackinac 5-1                            17

Race 7:

#6 Cognoscenti 4-1                       29
#5 The Paddock Pastor 9-2          28
#1 Brigade Commander 5-2         28
#3 Outtawaterbury 8-1                 27

Race 8:

#5 My Mane Squeeze 3-1             34
#7 Cupid’s Heart 8-1                     33
#8 Sterling Silver 5-2                    33
#2 Dolomite 5-1                             32

Race 9:

#2 Kyla’s Kause 8-5                       16
#8 Good Mission 7-2                     15
#1a Gattatiz 6-1                             14
#5 Fifi La Fume 6-1                        13

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 2:  4,1 *1 scratched using 4,2

Race 3:  3,6,2

Race 4:  5,6,3,7 *5 scratched using 6,3,7,1

Race 5:  2,3,7,1

Race 6:  11,8,4 *11 scratched using 8,4,3

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 3:  3,6

Race 4:  5,6,3,7 *5 scratched using 6,3,7,1

Race 5:  2,3,7,1

Race 6:  11,8,4,3 *11 scratched using 8,4,3,2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  3,6,2

Race 4:  5,6 *5 scratched using 6,3

Race 5:  2,3,7,1

Race 6:  11,8,4,3 *11 scratched using 8,4,3,2

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 4:  5,6 *5 scratched using 6,3,7,1

Race 5:  2,3,7,1

Race 6:  11,8,4,3 *11 scratched using 8,4,3,2

Race 7:  6,5

Race 8:  5,7

Race 9:  2

$1.00 Ticket:  $128

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  2,3,7,1

Race 6:  11,8,4,3 *11 scratched using 8,4,3,2

Race 7:  6,5,1

Race 8:  5,7,8

Race 9:  2,8

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  11,8,4,3 *11 scratched using 8,4,3,2

Race 7:  6,5,1,3

Race 8:  5,7,8,2

Race 9:  2,8

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 


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