July 31st, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

• July 28, 2024
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,841/21,245 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,782/21,245. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Wednesday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 Hold Hard (IRE) 6-1
#3 Zarak the Brave (FR) 1-1
#8 Lighting Rod 8-1
#1 Hidden Path 12-1

Race 2:

#2 Certified Loverboy 8-5          32 3rd $2.20
#6 Squire Creek 2-1                    31 1st $6.40
#4 Super Chief 9-2                      30 4th
#5 Lucency 6-1                             29

Race 3:

#7 Egyptian Quest 3-1               16
#3 Braca 15-1                               15
#8 Irish Tenor 2-1                       15
#6 Bustino Santino 4-1              14

Dirt Selections

#8 Irish Tenor 2-1 1st $3.50
#3 Braca 15-1
#6 Bustino Santino 4-1 3rd $3.00
#9 The Commish 10-1 4th

Race 4:

#5 Toscano 3-1                           29
#8 Bob John Ray 5-2                  28
#3 Hagrid’s Flame 8-1               27
#2 Boys Code 6-1                        27 4th

Race 5:

#7 Ada May 12-1                        18
#9 Cara’s Dreamweaver 9-2     17
#8 National Archive 4-1           17
#5 Marvelous Madison 7-2       16

Dirt Selections

#7 Ada May 12-1 4th
#9 Cara’s Dreamweaver 9-2 scratched
#1 Slightly Busy 6-1 1st $6.60
#4 Jackpot Julie 12-1 3rd $3.30
#6 Grace and Grit 8-1 scratched

Race 6:

#10 Mascara 4-1                         16
#7 Linda’s Jewel 3-1                  16
#1 Divorced of Course 5-1        15
#2 Graceful Warrior 9-2            15

Dirt Selections

#13 Melle Mel 5-2
#7 Linda’s Jewel 3-1
#1 Divorced of Course 5-1

Race 7:

#4 Khozy My Boy 4-1                28
#9 Hatch 5-2                               27
#6 Daddy Knows 8-1                 27
#5 Ram 6-1                                  26

Race 8:

#10 Midnight Mile (IRE) 5-1    34
#3 Spirit And Glory (IRE) 5-2   33
#6 Mouffy 9-2                              33
#5 Sister Lou Ann 8-1                32

Dirt Selections

#2 Hot Fudge 20-1

Race 9:

#5 Bold Ambition 7-2                18
#6 Dark Devil 9-2                       17
#3 Confabulation 6-1                16
#8 Always Be Smart 8-1            16

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 2:  2,6

Race 3:  7,3,8,6 Dirt: 8,3,6,9

Race 4:  5,8,3,2

Race 5:  7,9,8,5 Dirt: 7,1,4

Race 6:  10,7 Dirt: 13,7

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Early Pick 4:

Race 3:  7,3,8,6 Dirt: 8,3,6,9

Race 4:  5,8,3,2

Race 5:  7,9,8,5 Dirt: 7,1,4

Race 6:  10,7 Dirt: 13,7

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  5,8

Race 5:  7,9,8 Dirt: 7,1,4

Race 6:  10,7 Dirt: 13,7

Race 7:  4,9

Race 8:  10,3 Dirt: 2

Race 9:  5

$1.00 Ticket:  $48

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  7,9,8,5 Dirt: 7,1,4

Race 6:  10,7,1 Dirt: 13,7,1

Race 7:  4,9,6

Race 8:  10,3,6 Dirt: 2

Race 9:  5,6

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  10,7,1,2 Dirt: 13,7,1

Race 7:  4,9,6,5

Race 8:  10,3,6,5 Dirt: 2

Race 9:  5,6

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.