July 31st, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,325/23,613 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,912/23,613. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*No “Membership” needed, all content will continue to be posted here daily through the Saratoga meet…

*5 on top winners last Saturday at Saratoga…

*Early Pick 5 for us last Sunday at Saratoga…$738.25 on a $108 ticket…

*Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Honoree 5-2 17
#6 Wazey’s Charm 9-2 16
#8 Stickupwithoutagun 10-1 15
#1 Caroline St. Beat 3-1 15

Dirt Selections

#9 The Obliterator 2-1 2nd $2.30
#2 Force 10-1 4th
#1 Caroline St. Beat 3-1 scratched
#4 Twirling Lad 3rd $2.40

Race 2:

#4 Devilish Grin 7-2 18
#6 Great Actress 6-1 17
#8 Oscar’s Encore 6-1 16
#7 Scorch 9-2 16

Dirt Selections

#16 Whatarewedoing 3-1 scratched
#2 Dolce Vino 9-2
#7 Scorch 9-2 3rd $2.10
#8 Oscar’s Encore 6-1 scratched
#5 Choppin Brockley 12-1

Race 3:

#7 Lady Orient 5-2 28 *Best Bet 2nd $3.00
#4 D’s a Rock 7-2 26 3rd $2.40
#2 Sassy Shenanigans 4-1 25
#1 Maxaluna 8-1 24 1st $19.20

Race 4:

#4 Carolina Smokeshow 4-5 29 3rd $2.10
#3 Sailaway 4-1 28 1st $6.90
#7 Spirit of Esther 5-1 27 2nd $5.70 Tri $50
#2 Freud’s Fancy 15-1 26 scratched

Race 5:

#2 Roseberns Dream 15-1 17
#1a Maria Callas 7-5 17
#4 Ryan Elizabeth 7-2 16
#3 Neshika 10-1 15

Dirt Selections

#1 My Devine One 7-5 4th
#4 Ryan Elizabeth 7-2 scratched
#2 Roseberns Dream 15-1 3rd
#3 Neshika 10-1 scratched
#6 Cosmic Candy Girl 15-1 2nd $4.70

Race 6:

#11 Cara’s Dreamchaser 20-1 16
#5 Encantar 8-1 16 2nd $5.60
#8 Run On States 5-2 15 scratched
#3 Back to Khali 10-1 15

Race 7:

#8 Moon Gate 8-1 28
#6 Beautiful Crazy 6-1 27
#3 Quick Power Nap 6-1 26
#9 Numero Seis 8-5 26

Dirt Selections

#11 Geez Eloise 2-1 2nd $2.20
#2 Madeline’s Promise 10-1 scratched
#1a Elegant 12-1 3rd $2.50
#10 City Blocks 8-1 1st $15.20 Tri $45

Race 8:

#3 Royal Tryst 9-2 30
#1a Bold Endeavor 7-5 29 2nd $2.20
#1 Winter’s Ghost 7-5 28 3rd $2.20
#4 Khafre 8-5 28 1st $5.40

Race 9:

#9 Whatchatalkinabout 2-1 35
#2 Bank Frenzy 3-1 34
#6 Cicciobello 15-1 33
#5 The Wine Steward 6-1 32

Race 10:

#10 Bread to Run 8-1 28
#3 Duboff 3-1 28
#2 Sweet Dutchess 4-1 27
#9 Annelle 6-1 26

Dirt Selections

#13 Always Practical 7-2
#12 She’s Cool 4-1
#1a Soundbite 8-1
#10 Bread to Run
#7 Stamp of Approval 20-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 5,6,8,1 Dirt: 9,2,4

Race 2: 4,6,8,7 Dirt: 2,7,5

Race 3: 7,4

Race 4: 4,3

Race 5: 2,1a/1,4 Dirt: 1,2,3

$.50 Ticket: $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 4,6,8,7 Dirt: 2,7,5

Race 3: 7,4

Race 4: 4,3,7

Race 5: 2,1a/1,4,3 Dirt: 1,4,2,3

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 7,4

Race 4: 4,3,7

Race 5: 2,1a/1,4 Dirt: 1,2,3

Race 6: 11,5,8,3 *8 scratched using 11,5,3,9

Race 7: 8,6,3,9 Dirt: 11,2,1a,10

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 4,3

Race 5: 2,1a/1,4,3 Dirt: 1,4,2,3

Race 6: 11,5,8,3 *8 scratched using 11,5,3,9

Race 7: 8,6,3,9 Dirt: 11,2,1a,10

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 5: 2,1a/1,4 Dirt: 1,2,3

Race 6: 11,5,8 *8 scratched using 11,5,3

Race 7: 8,6,3,9 Dirt: 11,2,1a,10

Race 8: 3,1a/1

Race 9: 9

Race 10: 10,3,2 Dirt: 13,12,1a

$1.00 Ticket: $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 11,5,8,3 *8 scratched using 11,5,3,9

Race 7: 8,6,3,9 Dirt: 11,2,1a,10

Race 8: 3,1a/1,4

Race 9: 9,2

Race 10: 10,3,2 Dirt: 13,12,1a

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 8,6,3,9 Dirt: 11,2,1a,10

Race 8: 3,1a/1,4

Race 9: 9,2

Race 10: 10,3,2,9 Dirt: 13,12,1a,10

$.50 Ticket: $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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