July 4th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

• July 3, 2024
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,709/21,030 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,683/21,030. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Happy Fourth of July!!…

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Monmouth Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Italian Soiree 7-2                19 1st $7.50
#6 Yellow 2-1                            18 2nd $2.60 Ex $17.60
#1 As Catch Can 3-1                17 4th
#2 Home Wrecker 8-1              16 3rd $2.50 Spr $63.40

Race 2:

#6 Sedona 1-1                           31 *Best Bet 2nd $2.30
#3 Miz Sense 5-2                      29 4th
#1 Toned Up 10-1                     28
#2 Sweet Mystery 5-1              27 3rd $3.00

Race 3:

#5 Midnight Mile (IRE) 2-1    33 2nd $2.90
#4 Lady Beth 5-2                      32 3rd $2.10
#2 Moonage Daydream 10-1  31 4th
#1 Mouffy 7-5                            30 1st $4.00

Race 4:

#4 Silvology 8-5                        19
#5 Patty Brown Eyes 5-2         19 2nd $3.70
#1 No Tricks 12-1                     18
#6 Headline Numbers 3-1       17 1st $5.50

Race 5:

#3 Enigmatic 2-1                       29 scratched
#6 Call Her Bluff 6-1                 28 1st $12.00
#1 Just Music 7-2                       27 2nd $4.20 Ex $31.60
#4 Cover the Spread 6-1           27 4th

Race 6:

#3 Son of a Birch 6-1                33 3rd $3.80
#4 Outlaw Kid 5-1                     32 1st $10.80
#2 Thin White Duke 8-1          31
#1 Heaven Street 2-1                30

Race 7:

#6 Catch a Wave 2-1                 30 1st $5.70
#2 Be Like Clint 7-2                   29 3rd $3.60
#1 Going Concern (GB) 9-5      29
#4 Scat Tu Tap 12-1                   28

Race 8:

#3 Emery 6-5                              34 1st $3.20 Dbl $11.80
#5 Autumn Evening 6-1           33 4th
#4 Halina’s Forte 5-2                32 3rd
#1 Mystic Lake 5-2                    32 2nd $3.60

Race 9:

#8 Devil Arrow 5-1                    17
#1 Bossy Jeans 5-2                     16 1st $7.20
#5 Tongue Twister 9-2              16
#10 Saving Memories 15-1       15

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,6,1

Race 2:  6

Race 3:  5,4,2,1

Race 4:  4,5

Race 5:  3,6,1 *3 scratched using 6,1,4

$.50 Ticket:  $36

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,3

Race 3:  5,4,2,1

Race 4:  4,5

Race 5:  3,6,1 *3 scratched using 6,1,4

$.50 Ticket:  $24

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  5,4,2,1

Race 4:  4,5

Race 5:  3,6,1,4

Race 6:  3,4,2,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  4,5

Race 5:  3,6,1 *3 scratched using 6,1,4

Race 6:  3,4,2,1

Race 7:  6,2,1

Race 8:  3

Race 9:  8,1

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  3,6,1 *3 scratched using 6,1,4 6

Race 6:  3,4,2,1 4

Race 7:  6,2,1 6

Race 8:  3,5,4 3

Race 9:  8,1,5 1

$.50 Ticket:  $162 $521.25

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  3,4,2,1

Race 7:  6,2,1

Race 8:  3,5,4

Race 9:  8,1,5

$.50 Ticket:  $54 $69.75

Monmouth Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Flip My Id 6-1                      26 4th
#7 Ben’s Sunny Island 9-5      25
#9 Explosive Exchange 7-2     25 2nd $3.80
#2 Moving in Stereo 10-1        24
#4 Awesomenewyear 4-1         24

Race 2:

#6 Golden Juan 2-1                   29 2nd $2.60
#5 Itwasthedevilsidea 6-1       27
#3 King of Hollywood 5-2        26 1st $5.20
#7 Assembly Point (BRZ) 5-1  25 scratched

Race 3:

#7 Up Her Sleeve 4-1                28
#8 Bizymaline 3-1                     28 1st $4.80
#1 Anador (FR) 9-2                    27 2nd $3.20
#6 Never So Lucky (IRE) 6-1    27

Race 4:

#2 St. Erling 7-2                       15
#5 Smuggler’s Gold 4-1          15 2nd $4.40
#4 J J Zo Zo 6-1                         14 3rd $3.00
#8 Howler 15-1                         13 1st $24.60

Race 5:

#5 Horsepower 5-2                16 1st $5.00
#6 Sebastianthe First 3-1     15
#2 Big Z Og 4-1                       15 4th
#8 Be There 9-2                      14 2nd $5.80

Race 6:

#10 Authenticate Now 6-1   17
#2 Me Governor 2-1               16 1st $6.40
#1 Tiz Purple 3-1                    15 2nd $3.20
#7 A Cozy Thing 10-1            15 4th

Race 7:

#9 Live High Live Low 5-2   28 1st $6.20
#5 Ice the Kicker 7-2             27
#7 Rapture Bay 3-1                27 4th
#2 Frizzante 9-2                     26 2nd $8.00
#4 Searcy 10-1                         25 scratched

Race 8:

#3 Long Astride 3-1              15 3rd $3.00
#5 Rossington 6-1                 14
#8 The Heights 7-2                13 4th
#7 Imaginized 7-2                  13 1st $7.00

Monmouth Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  3,7,9,2

Race 2:  6,5,3

Race 3:  7,8,1

Race 4:  2,5,4

Race 5:  5,6

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,5,3,7

Race 3:  7,8,1,6

Race 4:  2,5,4

Race 5:  5,6

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 3:  7,8,1,6

Race 4:  2,5,4

Race 5:  5,6

Race 6:  10,2,1

Race 7:  9,5

Race 8:  3,5,8

$.20 Ticket:  $86.40

Late Pick 5:

Race 4:  2,5,4,8

Race 5:  5,6,2

Race 6:  10,2,1

Race 7:  9,5

Race 8:  3,5,8

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 5:  5,6

Race 6:  10,2,1,7

Race 7:  9,5,7,2

Race 8:  3,5,8,7

$.50 Ticket:  $64 $83.95

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.