July 6th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,725/21,056 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,696/21,056. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Monmouth Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Showcase 8-5 19 1st $3.40
#6 Western Wolf 10-1 18 scratched
#3 Protected 4-1 17 2nd $6.20 Ex $17.60
#1 Tiz Freedom 5-2 17 3rd $3.00 Tri $35.20

Race 2:

#3 Domestic Product 6-5 31 1st $3.40
#1 Billal 8-5 30 3rd
#4 Save the Trees 4-1 29 4th

Race 3:

#5 Run Curtis Run 7-5 32 4th
#2 Script 5-2 31 2nd $6.10
#1 Senbei 3-1 30 1st $6.70
#6 Fore Harp 8-1 29 3rd $4.70 Spr $290

Race 4:

#1 Play Good Pay Good 7-5 27 2nd $3.20
#5 Low Society 2-1 27 1st $4.50
#6 Five to Two 5-1 26 3rd $2.50 Tri $22.40
#3 Grammy Girl 9-2 25

Race 5:

#4 Gentleman Joe 2-1 31 2nd $2.20
#5 Kneedeepinsnow 5-2 31 scratched
#1 Digital 5-1 30 scratched
#2 Six Percent 6-1 29 3rd $2.50

Race 6:

#1 Legend of Time (GB) 5-2 33 3rd $2.20
#4 Trikari 7-2 32 1st $12.40
#2 White Palomino 5-1 31 2nd $4.20 Tri $122
#3 Royal Majesty (GB) 6-1 31 4th Spr $274.40

Race 7:

#6 Refuah 8-1 28 2nd $8.20
#4 Vespucci 1-1 27
#1 Big Night Out 8-1 27
#7 Andy Cant 4-1 26

Race 8:

#1 Everso Mischievous 5-2 35
#3 Prevalence 5-2 34 4th
#4 Coastal Mission 7-2 33 2nd $3.80
#2 Ninetyprcentmaddie 6-1 33 3rd $3.40

Race 9:

#9 Sy B 15-1 33
#2 Dynamic Pricing 5-1 33
#7 She Feels Pretty 2-1 32 3rd $2.30
#1 Pin Up Betty 10-1 31 4th

Race 10:

#6 Victors Valiant 6-1 31 2nd
#2 Torigo 5-2 30
#4 Alexis Zorba (GB) 2-1 30 3rd
#1 Dissolved 10-1 29

Race 11:

#1a Research Results 1-1 19
#6 Side Eye 4-1 18
#8 Prospero (IRE) 8-1 18
#1 Creditworthy 1-1 17

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 5,6,3,1

Race 2: 3,1

Race 3: 5,2

Race 4: 1,5

Race 5: 4,5,1 *5,1 scratched using 4,2,6

$.50 Ticket: $48

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 3,1

Race 3: 5,2,1

Race 4: 1,5,6,3

Race 5: 4,5,1 *5,1 scratched using 4,2,6

$.50 Ticket: $36

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4: 1,5

Race 5: 4,5,1,2 *5,1 scratched using 4,2,6

Race 6: 1,4

Race 7: 6,4,1,7

Race 8: 1,3

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5: 4,5 *5 scratched using 4,2

Race 6: 1,4,2,3

Race 7: 6,4,1,7

Race 8: 1,3,4,2

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 6: 1,4

Race 7: 6,4

Race 8: 1,3,4

Race 9: 9,2,7

Race 10: 6,2,4 *2 scratched using 6,4,1

Race 11: 1a/1

$1.00 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 6,4,1,7

Race 8: 1,3

Race 9: 9,2,7,1

Race 10: 6,2,4 *2 scratched using 6,4,1

Race 11: 1a/1,6,8

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 1,3,4

Race 9: 9,2,7,1

Race 10: 6,2,4,1

Race 11: 1a/1,8,6

$.50 Ticket: $72

Monmouth Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#1 Air Masque 5-2 15 2nd $3.20
#8 Vivid Artiste 5-1 14
#3 One Fine Wine 7-2 13 3rd $3.20
#7 Let Her Run 9-2 12 1st $13.80

Race 2:

#4 Festinate 3-1 26 1st $3.40
#5 Grated Coconut 2-1 26 scratched
#3 Run Cory Run 9-5 25 2nd $2.80
#2 El de Leo 6-1 24 3rd $2.60

Race 3:

#1 The Drunk Neighbor 7-2 16
#2 Attrayant 5-2 16 2nd $2.80
#8 New Spell 3-1 15 1st $5.80
#3 Editor’s Choice 4-1 14

Race 4:

#8 Groovy Sensation 8-1 14 3rd $9.40
#1 Allison Park 7-2 13
#7 Lady Marleen 3-1 12
#5 J Willard 6-1 11 4th

Race 5:

#9 Fast Fixer 3-1 27 2nd $3.60
#8 Eddie the Great 9-2 26 1st $6.40 Ex $20
#1 Fly Fly Away 6-1 25 scratched
#4 Wood Be Wild 5-1 25 scratched

Race 6:

#3 Flag Song Flyin 3-1 14 3rd $2.80
#7 S K Moon 6-1 13 4th
#2 Yumyum Eat Em Up 5-2 12
#6 Classy Chick 4-1 11 1st $4.80

Race 7:

#4 Bazzarina 8-1 27 *Best Bet
#3 Shogun Be Fast 9-2 25 1st $8.60
#8 Oy Vey 2-1 24 3rd $2.40
#7 Dreaming of Abba 7-2 23 4th

Race 8:

#4 I’m On Fire 7-2 29
#7 Pogi 6-1 28 3rd $2.10
#5 Grouch 8-1 27 1st $11.00
#3 Jasper’s Pride 5-1 26 3rd $2.20

Race 9:

#11 The Classy One 6-1 27
#2 Bingo’s Birkin 12-1 26
#3 Sea Maiden 15-1 26
#9 Joy and Prosperity 10-1 25

Race 10:

#1 She Can Scat 8-5 28
#7 Bornforgreatness 7-2 26
#6 General Robinson 8-1 25
#3 Buckin’ Lucky 5-2 25

Monmouth Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 1,8,3,7

Race 2: 4,5,3 *5 scratched 4,3,2

Race 3: 1,2

Race 4: 8,1,7

Race 5: 9,8

$.50 Ticket: $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 4,5 *5 scratched 4,3

Race 3: 1,2,8,3

Race 4: 8,1,7,5

Race 5: 9,8,1,4

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 5: 9,8,1,4

Race 6: 3,7,2

Race 7: 4,3,8

Race 8: 4,7,5

Race 9: 11,2,3,9

Race 10: 1,7

$.20 Ticket: $172.80

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 3,7,2,6

Race 7: 4,3

Race 8: 4,7,5

Race 9: 11,2,3,9

Race 10: 1,7

$.50 Ticket: $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 4,3,8,7

Race 8: 4,7,5,3

Race 9: 11,2,3,9

Race 10: 1,7

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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