A Winning Day at the Races!

June 15th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,634/20,910 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,614/20,910. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Late Pick 5/4 for us last Thursday at Saratoga…Pick 5 $4,358.75 on a $72 ticket…Pick 4 $2,981.50 on a $48 ticket…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Monmouth Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Tinebar 8-1                            19
#6 Iron Man Ira 6-5                   18 4th
#5 Accidental Bid 5-1                18 2nd $9.90
#4 Hagrid’s Flame 6-1               17 1st $17.80

Race 2:

#5 Dark Devil 2-1                      17 2nd $3.30
#4 Get It to Matthew 6-1         16
#1 Remember the Chief 9-2    15
#3 Guile 10-1                              15 3rd $6.10

Race 3:

#1 Dea Matrona (FR) 5-2         28
#4 Soca 7-2                                 28
#7 Catskill Humor 4-1              27
#10 Isn’t She Khozy 20-1         26

Dirt Selections

#4 Soca 7-2 scratched
#3 Next On Stage 8-1 1st $4.10
#10 Isn’t She Khozy 20-1
#11 Blenheim Baby 7-2 2nd $2.50
#6 Highway Harmony 5-1 scratched

Race 4:

#4 Timeout 5-2                          19 1st $4.40
#3 Reynolds Channel 7-2         18 3rd $2.60
#1 Foxhole 6-1                           17 4th
#5 Military Road 7-5                 17 2nd $2.80

Race 5:

#4 Jackson’s Dixie 5-2               29
#7 Gone and Forgotten 3-1      28 2nd $3.60
#1 Voleuse 4-1                            28
#5 Athena Beach 4-1                 27 3rd $3.40

Race 6:

#1 Then 5-1                                20 4th
#7 Storm Ready 5-1                  19 2nd $6.50
#9 Final Edition (IRE) 4-1       18 3rd $3.00
#3 Kick a Buck 6-1                    18

Race 7:

#1a Mentee 6-5                          19 1st $3.10
#5 Colloquial 6-1                       19 2nd $3.60 Ex $10
#3 Faster Gator 12-1                 18 scratched
#1 Nudge 6-5                              18 4th

Race 8:

#10 Marco T 5-2                        29 1st $4.70
#1 Super Lucky Lady 6-1         28 4th
#12 Act of Congress 3-1           27
#3 Gram 10-1                             27

Race 9:

#9 Dude N Colorado 5-1         32
#4 Ocean Atlantique 3-1         31 2nd $3.60
#1 Belouni (FR) 2-1                  30 1st $4.00
#2 Ruse 8-1                                30

Race 10:

#2 Big Pond 4-1                        34
#9 Leave No Trace 6-1             33
#3 Accede 6-1                            32 1st $10.20
#4 Morning Matcha 12-1        32

Race 11:

#2 Fancypants Juliana 9-2      28 2nd $5.30
#1 Dusk 10-1                             27
#6 Kant Call It 7-2                    27
#9 Latest Edition 5-1               26 1st $12.60

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  3,6,5,4

Race 2:  5,4,1

Race 3:  1,4 Dirt: 4,3 *4 scratched using 3,10

Race 4:  4,3,1,5

Race 5:  4,7

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,4,1,3

Race 3:  1,4 Dirt: 4,3 *4 scratched using 3,10

Race 4:  4,3,1,5

Race 5:  4,7,1,5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4:  4,3,1,5

Race 5:  4,7,1

Race 6:  1,7,9,3

Race 7:  1a/1,5

Race 8:  10,1,12

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5:  4,7

Race 6:  1,7,9,3

Race 7:  1a/1,5,3

Race 8:  10,1,12,3

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 6:  1,7,9

Race 7:  1a/1

Race 8:  10,1,12

Race 9:  9,4,1

Race 10: 2,9,3

Race 11:  2,1,6

$1.00 Ticket:  $243

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  1a/1,5,3

Race 8:  10,1,12,3

Race 9:  9,4,1

Race 10: 2,9,3

Race 11:  2,1,6

$.50 Ticket:  $162

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  10,1,12,3

Race 9:  9,4,1

Race 10: 2,9,3

Race 11:  2,1,6,9

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Monmouth Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1 Always Audacious 7-2            15 3rd $3.00
#6 Highland Holiday 8-1             14
#8 Captivating Sound 9-2           13
#7 Butterfly Queen 3-1                13 1st $8.80

Race 2:

#5 Vegas Weekend 1-1                26 1st $2.20
#7 Our Little Tiger 7-2                25 4th
#4 Sweet Blindness 5-1               24 2nd $4.60
#2 Mystic Dreams 6-1                  24

Race 3:

#5 Girly the Butcher 9-2             27 1st $11.00 Dbl $14.40
#4 Wish List 5-1                           27 2nd $6.00 Ex $56
#10 Sadie the Goat 4-1               26
#7 What’s Good 5-1                     25

Race 4:

#5 Catching Heat 5-2                 28
#7 Evidencias (BRZ) 3-1            27 2nd $2.60
#1 My Two Sophia’s 7-2             26 scratched
#3 Miles of Smiles 4-1                26 1st $14.40

Race 5:

#7 Wudhooh 8-1                         18 4th
#2 Gilded Edge 5-1                     17
#5 Eastern Empress (GB) 3-1   17 1st $4.00
#10 Shade of Pale 8-1                16 2nd $6.60

Race 6:

#5 Rerally 4-1                             27
#4 Lookin At Roses 7-2             26
#6 Porch Swing 6-1                    26
#2 Vine Jet 3-1                            25 2nd $4.60

Race 7:

#6 Winning Factor 9-2             28 scratched
#13 Fatima’s Blessing 7-2        27 3rd $3.00
#4 Graded On a Curve 6-1       26 2nd $6.00
#8 Eddie the Great 12-1           25

Race 8:

#7 Castellana 5-1                       26
#2 Made Birdie 3-1                    25 1st $5.40
#6 Army of Thoughts 6-1         24
#5 Tavin 7-2                                24 1st $4.40

Race 9:

#4 No Show Sammy Jo 6-1      33 scratched
#6 Spirit And Glory 5-2            32 3rd $2.80
#1 Sacred Wish 3-1                   32 4th
#7 Tax Implications (GB) 7-2  31 1st $9.60

Race 10:

#1 Tuscan Sky 5-2                     34 1st $6.80
#5 Hades 7-2                               33 3rd $3.20
#8 Sea Streak 7-2                       32
#7 Domestic Product 3-1         32 2nd $3.20

Race 11:

#4 Grand Sonata 3-1                 39
#9 Running Bee 4-1                  38 1st $6.20
#5 Siege of Boston 7-2              37 4th
#3 Public Sector (GB) 12-1       36

Race 12:

#2 Bright Future 1-1               38
#3 Artorius 4-1                         36
#8 Coastal Mission 10-1         34
#1 Sherlock’s Jewel 8-1           34

Monmouth Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  1,6,8,7

Race 2:  5,7

Race 3:  5,4,10,7

Race 4:  5,7

Race 5:  7,2,5

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,7 5

Race 3:  5,4,10,7 5

Race 4:  5,7,1,3 3

Race 5:  7,2,5,10 5

$.50 Ticket:  $64 $89.35

Pick 6:

Race 7:  6,13,4,8

Race 8:  7,2,6,5

Race 9:  4,6,1 *4 scratched using 6,1,7

Race 10: 1,5

Race 11:  4,9,5

Race 12:  2,3

$.20 Ticket:  $115.20

Late Pick 5:

Race 8:  7,2,6,5

Race 9:  4,6,1,7

Race 10: 1,5,8

Race 11:  4,9,5

Race 12:  2,3

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 9:  4,6,1,7

Race 10: 1,5,8,7

Race 11:  4,9,5,3

Race 12:  2,3

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 


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