June 21st, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,155/23,333 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,791/23,333. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Early Pick 5 for us yesterday at Aqueduct…$650.25 on a $128 ticket…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Toned Up 9-2 28
#3 Geez Eloise 2-1 27 4th
#4 I’m Buzzy 3-1 27 3rd $2.50
#1 Warrior’s Ransom 7-2 26 2nd $6.10

Race 2:

#4 Stirred Up 5-2 14 2nd $3.40
#5 Yolo 9-5 13 3rd $2.40
#3 Kyle’s Mom 4-1 12 1st $10.00 Tri $115.48
#1 Last of My Kind 12-1 11

Race 3:

#7 Macaw 2-1 28 scratched
#3 Aint No Joke 3-1 27 1st $4.30
#4 Sunday Gilt 4-1 26 4th
#1 Arcadian 3-1 25

Race 4:

#2 Talkin in Cursive 5-1 26 4th
#7 Irish Jackson 7-2 26 2nd $3.30
#6 Spiritual Lady 6-5 25 1st $5.30
#5 Maggie T 9-2 24 3rd $3.40 Spr $157.40

Race 5:

#10 Nostalgic One 8-1 32
#4 Freedom Trail 5-1 32
#9 War Officer 9-2 31 2nd $4.90
#7 Walley World 3-1 31 1st $6.10

Race 6:

#3 I’m Due 7-2 28 3rd $2.10
#5 Friend Ofthe Devil 4-5 27 1st $2.60
#1 River of Time 12-1 27 2nd $4.20
#6 Soontobeking 5-2 26 scratched

Race 7:

#3 Toscano 7-5 29 2nd $2.10
#5 Corvus 6-1 28
#6 Dear Chairman 3-1 27 1st $8.10
#1a Three Captains 2-1 26 4th

Race 8:

#7 River Tay (IRE) 7-2 27
#3 Silent Melody 4-1 26 3rd $3.50
#4 Miss Spitfire 8-1 25 4th
#11 Freud’s Fancy 10-1 25

Race 9:

#4 Runamor 9-2 14
#9 Omaha Pistol 2-1 13 3rd $2.10
#7 Dark Magic 3-1 12 1st $5.80
#8 Gorzo 6-1 11 4th

Race 10:

#9 Annascaul 1-1 29 scratched
#5 Miss Bourbon 8-1 28 2nd $5.80
#3 Perugia 9-2 27
#2 Second Chance 15-1 26

Race 11:

#8 Day Away 12-1 16
#6 Uncommon 7-2 15
#12 Virtual 8-1 14
#11 Bourbon Milk Punch 8-5 14

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 5,3,4,1

Race 2: 4,5

Race 3: 7,3,4 *7 scratched using 3,4,1

Race 4: 2,7,6

Race 5: 10,4,9,7

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 4,5

Race 3: 7,3,4,1

Race 4: 2,7,6,5

Race 5: 10,4,9,7

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 7,3 *7 scratched using 3,4

Race 4: 2,7,6,5

Race 5: 10,4,9,7

Race 6: 3,5

Race 7: 3,5,6

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 2,7,6

Race 5: 10,4,9,7

Race 6: 3,5

Race 7: 3,5,6

$.50 Ticket: $36

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 10,4,9,7

Race 6: 3,5,1,6

Race 7: 3,5,6

Race 8: 7,3

Race 9: 4,9,7

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 6:

Race 6: 3,5

Race 7: 3

Race 8: 7,3,4

Race 9: 4,9,7

Race 10: 9,5 *9 scratched using 5,3

Race 11: 8,6,12,4

$1.00 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 3,5,6,1a/1

Race 8: 7,3,4

Race 9: 4,9,7

Race 10: 9,5 *9 scratched using 5,3

Race 11: 8,6,12,11

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 7,3,4,11

Race 9: 4,9,7,8

Race 10: 9,5,3 *9 scratched using 5,3,2

Race 11: 8,6,12,11

$.50 Ticket: $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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