June 28th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,683/20,989 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,658/20,989. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*4 on top winners on last Sunday’s Aqueduct card…$3.50…$11.80…$11.20…$14.20…

*Late Pick 5/4 for us at Aqueduct last Sunday…$9,233.25 on a $108 ticket… $726.75 on a $64 ticket…

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Check back tomorrow morning for Saturday’s Aqueduct & Churchill Downs Picks/Plays…

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#2 Shakin the Belle 5-2 14 2nd $2.60
#1 Hours in a Day 7-2 13 3rd $3.20
#5 No Surrender 3-1 12 4th
#3 Battle of Britain 9-2 12

Race 2:

#3 Nimitz Class 9-5 31 scratched
#4 St Andrews 2-1 30 2nd $2.90
#1a First Glimpse 9-2 28 3rd
#2 Fromanothamutha 3-1 28 1st $4.80

Race 3:

#4 Solib 9-5 30 *Best Bet scratched
#5 Determined Lilly 6-1 28 1st $6.00
#1 Ribot’s Valentine 6-1 27
#6 Spooky Lady 5-2 27 3rd $2.10

Race 4:

#8 Chalky Cat 6-1 28 scratched
#2 Andy Cant 5-2 28 2nd $3.10
#3 Endowed 5-1 27
#5 Ice Road 8-1 27 3rd $2.80

Race 5:

#4 On the Hill 5-1 29 2nd $5.70
#3 Big Prankster 9-5 28 3rd $2.40
#2 Apollo Code 2-1 28 4th
#1 Solo’s Fury 8-1 27

Race 6:

#5 Risk Threshold (IRE) 7-2 19 1st $6.50
#10 Stage Presence 5-1 18
#9 Scarlet Poppy (IRE) 6-1 18 2nd $4.10
#6 Out too Late (GB) 15-1 17 3rd $11.20

Race 7:

#4 Miss Lao 9-2 17 3rd $2.30
#7 Spirit of Esther 8-1 16 2nd $5.50
#3 Starts Now 5-2 15 1st $7.40 Tri $50.48
#1 Mia Nipotina 30-1 14 scratched

Race 8:

#1 Quick Hammer 2-1 28
#1a Magnificent Mile 2-1 27 2nd $2.70
#4 Rider’s Special 3-1 27 1st $8.20
#5 Twelth Man 6-1 26 4th

Race 9:

#5 Solo Empire 4-1 27 1st $10.80
#4 Frozen Four 7-2 26
#6 Podere 20-1 25
#3 Wo Hop 5-1 25

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 2,1,5,3

Race 2: 3,4,1a/1 *3 scratched using 4,1a/1,2

Race 3: 4 *4 scratched using 5

Race 4: 8,2,3

Race 5: 4,3,2

$.50 Ticket: $54

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 3,4,1a/1,2

Race 3: 4,5 *4 scratched using 5,1

Race 4: 8,2,3,5

Race 5: 4,3,2,1

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3: 4,5 *4 scratched using 5,1

Race 4: 8,2,3,5

Race 5: 4,3,2,1

Race 6: 5,10,9,6

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 4: 8,2,3 *8 scratched using 2,3,5

Race 5: 4,3,2

Race 6: 5,10,9

Race 7: 4,7,3

Race 8: 1/1a

Race 9: 5,4

$1.00 Ticket: $162

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 4,3,2

Race 6: 5,10,9,6

Race 7: 4,7,3

Race 8: 1/1a,4

Race 9: 5,4

$.50 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 5,10,9,6

Race 7: 4,7,3,1

Race 8: 1/1a,4

Race 9: 5,4,6,3

$.50 Ticket: $64 $122.12

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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