June 29th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

• June 29, 2024
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,689/20,998 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,665/20,998. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*4 on top winners on last Sunday’s Aqueduct card…$3.50…$11.80…$11.20…$14.20…

*Late Pick 5/4 for us at Aqueduct last Sunday…$9,233.25 on a $108 ticket…$726.75 on a $64 ticket…

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Churchill Downs Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 Victorious Wave 5-2           29 1st $3.70
#3 Hot Rod Rumble 3-1           28 3rd $4.00
#1 Writer’s Regret 4-1              27
#6 Hatch 9-2                              26 2nd $4.30

Race 2:

#7 Gum Island 9-2                     26
#3 Midnight Express 3-1          25 3rd $2.60
#6 Buckortwo 6-1                       25
#1 Badlands Ruler 5-2               24 1st $4.30

Race 3:

#7 High Heat 3-1                       27 scratched
#4 Colonel Vargo 9-5                27 1st $3.60
#1 Bronx Bomber 12-1              26 3rd $2.90
#6 Sagamore Mischief 8-1        25

Race 4:

#7 Vettriano 9-5                        30 1st $2.60
#2 Russian Realm 5-2               28 2nd $2.80
#5 Thethrillofvictory 8-1         27
#1 Wine Responsibly 7-2          27 scratched

Race 5:

#9 Nano Man 3-1                        16 2nd $3.50
#2 Art of Courage 2-1                15 1st $3.50
#6 Price Is Truth 7-2                  15
#5 Twisted Whisker 12-1          14

Race 6:

#6 Valenzan Day 5-2                 29 1st $3.60
#3 Goldini 3-1                             27
#1 Co Conspirator 10-1             26 4th
#7 Disappearance 8-1                25

Race 7:

#4 Move to Gold 5-2                 29 3rd $2.10
#5 Please Advise 7-2                 28 4th
#1 Mattingly 9-2                        27
#3 Neat 3-1                                 27 1st $6.40

Race 8:

#4 Kerry 5-2                               29 1st $6.50
#6 Epic Miss Justice 9-2           28
#8 Proud Mary 7-2                    28 3rd $3.80
#1 Reflexivity (IRE) 4-1            27

Race 9:

#1 Repo Rocks 2-1                     34
#4 Subrogate 7-2                        33 1st $4.90
#7 He’smyhoneybadger 4-1     32 4th
#2 Runninsonofagun 10-1       32

Race 10:

#3 Just for Luck 3-1                  32
#7 Yo Daddy 7-2                        31 2nd $3.70
#8 Skellig Island 15-1               31
#4 Into It 9-2                              30 1st $23.60

Race 11:

#5 Relate 7-2                              30
#8 Willintoriskitall 6-1            29
#6 Shadizaar 10-1                     28
#2 Emirates Road 6-1               28

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  4,3,1,6

Race 2:  7,3,6,1

Race 3:  7,4 *7 scratched using 4,1

Race 4:  7,2

Race 5:  9,2,6

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  7,3,6,1

Race 3:  7,4,1,6

Race 4:  7,2,5,1

Race 5:  9,2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4:  7,2

Race 5:  9,2,6,5

Race 6:  6,3,1,7

Race 7:  4,5,1,3

Race 8:  4,6

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5:  9,2,6,5

Race 6:  6,3

Race 7:  4,5,1,3

Race 8:  4,6,8,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 6:  6,3,1,7

Race 7:  4,5

Race 8:  4,6,8

Race 9:  1

Race 10: 3,7

Race 11:  5,8

$1.00 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  4,5,1,3

Race 8:  4,6,8

Race 9:  1,4

Race 10: 3,7

Race 11:  5,8,6,2

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  4,6,8,1

Race 9:  1,4,7,2

Race 10: 3,7

Race 11:  5,8,6,2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Churchill Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Dr Kringle 3-1                     28
#8 Hitting Bombs 6-1              27
#7 Mo Rhodes 5-1                    27 3rd $4.58
#4 Copper Echo 6-1                 26 2nd $8.96

Race 2:

#6 Tallahatchiebridge 4-1      29 4th
#3 Harold’s Cloud 3-1             28
#7 Saqeel 7-2                             27 1st $7.68
#1 Kahala 10-1                          26 3rd $7.10

Race 3:

#3 Expensive Cut 3-1              31 4th
#5 Kavod 5-2                             30 1st $6.54
#7 Can’t Hush This 7-2           29 2nd $3.84
#6 Backside Buzz 5-1               28

Race 4:

#9 Two Sharp 3-1                     20 2nd $2.44
#11 Beach Bunny 10-1            19
#2 Ghostrider 12-1                   18 scratched
#4 Hey Olivia 12-1                    17 3rd $4.76

Race 5:

#6 Scalable 7-2                         29 1st $7.64
#14 Simply Enchanting 4-1   29
#10 Lemon Muffin 3-1            28
#12 Yes Indeed 6-1                  28 2nd $5.16
#9 Promisemeanempire 8-1  27

Race 6:

#5 Hurry Hurry 6-1                 33
#3 Santos Dumont 6-1           32 4th
#8 Onthestage 12-1                31
#12 Stowaway 10-1                 31 scratched

Race 7:

#2 Ottoman Fleet (GB) 1-1    38 1st $3.40
#5 Win for the Money 9-2      37 4th
#3 Chasing the Crown 3-1      36 2nd $3.48
#1 Strong Tide 20-1                 35 3rd $4.66 Spr $139

Race 8:

#2 Shotgun Hottie 4-1           35 2nd $3.06
#4 Scylla 6-5                             34 1st $3.82 Ex $22.76
#6 Xigera 9-2                            33
#1 Free Like a Girl 6-1            32

Race 9:

#8 Brilliant Berti 8-1             33 1st $13.16
#7 First World War 4-1          32 2nd $4.84 Ex $60.32
#2 Moonlight 8-1                   31
#1 Green Light 3-1                 31 3rd $2.58

Race 10:

#6 Closethegame Sugar 7-2 35 1st $4.88 Dbl $50.36
#5 Hoist the Gold 3-1            34 3rd $3.36
#4 Tejano Twist 4-1               33 4th
#1 Anarchist 6-1                     32

Race 11:

#1 Pyrenees 12-1                    39 2nd $12.10
#7 Kingsbarns 6-1                  38 1st $21.90 Ex $171.64
#2 First Mission 6-5               38 4th
#9 Skippylongstocking 5-2   37 3rd $4.66 Spr $1,754

Race 12:

#8 Pipsy (IRE) 7-2                 34
#3 Kathynmarissa 5-1          33 3rd $4.74
#5 Poolside With Slim 5-1   32 4th
#1 Simply in Front 4-1          32

Churchill Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,8,7,4

Race 2:  6,3,7

Race 3:  3,5,7

Race 4:  9,11,2,4

Race 5:  6,14,10

$50 Ticket:  $216

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,3,7,1

Race 3:  3,5

Race 4:  9,11,2,4

Race 5:  6,14,10,12

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4:  9,11,2,4

Race 5:  6,14,10

Race 6:  5,3,8,12 *12 scratched using 5,3,8,7

Race 7:  2,5

Race 8:  2,4

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5:  6,14,10,12

Race 6:  5,3,8,12 *12 scratched using 5,3,8,7

Race 7:  2,5

Race 8:  2,4,6

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 5 (6-10):

Race 6:  5,3,8,12 *12 scratched using 5,3,8,7

Race 7:  2,5,3

Race 8:  2,4

Race 9:  8,7,2,1

Race 10: 6,5,4

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Pick 6:

Race 7:  2

Race 8:  2,4,6

Race 9:  8,7,2,1

Race 10: 6,5,4

Race 11:  1,7,2,9

Race 12:  8,3,5

$1.00 Ticket:  $86.40

Late Pick 5:

Race 8:  2,4,6

Race 9:  8,7,2,1

Race 10: 6,5,4

Race 11:  1,7,2,9

Race 12:  8,3,5

$.50 Ticket:  $216

Late Pick 4:

Race 9:  8,7,2,1

Race 10: 6,5

Race 11:  1,7,2,9

Race 12:  8,3,5,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.