A Winning Day at the Races!

June 6th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,599/20,854 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,594/20,854. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#6 Bookworm 7-5                     16
#2 Mighty Glory 8-1                 15
#1 Hours in a Day 8-1              14
#10 Dangerous Driver 7-2       14 4th

Dirt Selections 

#15 Conniving 6-1
#14 Bolt d’Plata 4-1
#1 Hours in a Day 8-1
#2 Mighty Glory 8-1
#13 Oxford Union 5-1

Race 2:

#5 Three Echoes 5-2                 29 3rd $2.50
#8 Classic of Course 7-2           28 4th
#6 Shoot the Nickel 15-1         27
#4 Brereton’s Baytown 8-1      27

Race 3:

#2 Caldo Candy 3-1                  30 1st $7.00
#5 Silver Satin 5-2                    29 3rd $2.40
#7 Land d’Oro 4-1                     28 4th
#4 Toscano 8-1                          28 2nd $7.10 Spr $672

Race 4:

#4 Manama Gold 6-1                34 2nd $3.20
#5 Almostgone Rocket 6-5      33 1st $3.00
#8 Gray Lightning 7-2              33 3rd $2.10
#2 Roman Grace 5-1                 32 scratched

Race 5:

#4 Summer Whirl 8-1               19 3rd $3.70
#1 Strictly Taboo 3-1                18 1st $9.40
#6 In the End 9-2                       17
#10 Ariana Rye 6-1                    17 scratched

Dirt Selections

#4 Summer Whirl 8-1
#10 Ariana Rye 6-1
#8 Beautiful Thief 12-1
#9 Heart of the Night 5-1
#11 Cerretta 6-1

Race 6:

#5 She’s Wicked Smart 4-1      20
#1a Audacious 6-5                     19 1st $2.90
#1 Chanteuse 6-5                       19
#2 Silvology 12-1                        18 3rd $5.80

Race 7:

#4 Miz Sense 8-1                        33 3rd $3.10
#7 Ways and Means 2-5            32 1st $2.40
#5 Sarir 15-1                                30
#3 Striker Has Dial 15-1            30 2nd $9.60

Race 8:

#5 Wind Dancer 20-1                16 3rd $21.80
#9 Mission Hill 4-1                    16 2nd $4.90
#12 Saffredi 20-1                        15
#3 Teta’s Trotter 15-1                15 1st $54.50

Dirt Selections

#16 Iron Man Ira 7-5
#14 Hagrid’s Flame 5-1
#9 Mission Hill 4-1
#15 Berning Beauty

Race 9:

#9 Long Neck Paula 2-1           29 scratched
#2 Aoraki 5-1                              28 2nd $5.10
#3 French Horn 7-2                   28 3rd $3.60
#1 Whatintheliteral 15-1         27 1st $29.00 Tri $626

Race 10:

#11 The Grey Wizard 8-1         37 1st $14.40
#5 Starting Over 9-2                 36 scratched
#1 Limited Liability 8-1            35 3rd $5.50
#9 Six Minus 15-1                      35

Dirt Selections

#14 Dai Vernon 9-5
#13 Costa Terra 5-2
#6 Champagne Juan 15-1
#5 Starting Over 9-2

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  6,2,1,10 Dirt: 15,14,1,2

Race 2:  5,8

Race 3:  2,5,7

Race 4:  4,5,8

Race 5:  4,1,6 Dirt: 4,10,8

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,8,6,4

Race 3:  2,5

Race 4:  4,5,8,2

Race 5:  4,1,6,10 Dirt: 4,10,8,9

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  2,5

Race 4:  4,5,8

Race 5:  4,1,6 Dirt: 4,10,8

Race 6:  5,1a/1

Race 7:  4,7,5,3

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  4,5,8,2

Race 5:  4,1,6,10 Dirt: 4,10,8,9

Race 6:  5,1a/1

Race 7:  4,7,5,3

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  4,1,6,10 Dirt: 4,10,8,9

Race 6:  5,1a/1

Race 7:  4,7

Race 8:  5,9,12,3 Dirt: 16,14,9,15

Race 9:  9 *9 scratched using 2

Race 10: 11,5,1 Dirt: 14,13,6

$1.00 Ticket:  $192

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  5,1a/1,2 1a

Race 7:  4,7,5,3 7

Race 8:  5,9,12,3 Dirt: 16,14,9,15 3

Race 9:  9,2,3 *9 scratched using 2,3,1 1

Race 10: 11,5 Dirt: 14,13 11

$.50 Ticket:  $144 $4,358.75

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  4,7 7

Race 8:  5,9,12,3 Dirt: 16,14,9,15 3

Race 9:  9,2,3,1 *9 scratched using 2,3,1,4 1

Race 10: 11,5,1,9 Dirt: 14,13,6,5 11

$.50 Ticket:  $64 $2,981.50

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.


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